Post Hoc Comparisions in ANOVA: A Detailed Overview

Following Up in ANOVA

The Problem: Identifying Specific Group Differences

  • A significant F ratio in ANOVA only indicates that there are statistically meaningful differences somewhere among the groups if the independent variable has more than two levels.
  • It doesn't pinpoint which groups are significantly different from each other.
  • Therefore, follow-up comparisons are necessary to examine the differences between the means of specific groups of interest.

Why Not Just Use Multiple t-tests?

  • Family-wise Type I Error: The core issue when conducting multiple tests.
    • The alpha rate (typically 0.05) represents the probability of making a Type I error (incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis) for each test.
    • Performing multiple tests on the same data increases the overall risk of making at least one Type I error.
    • The more tests conducted, the greater the likelihood of finding a statistically significant difference simply by chance.
  • Example Scenario:
    • A student analyzes a 20-item scale, performing individual t-tests on each item.
    • Even if there's no real effect, one or more items might appear significant due to chance.
    • If you conduct 20 significance tests, you would expect at least one of them to be statistically significant.
  • Diet Example:
    • Comparing three diet groups (fruit, veggie, donut) requires three comparisons: fruit vs. veggie, fruit vs. donut, and veggie vs. donut.
    • Running multiple t-tests without correction inflates the Type I error rate (e.g., to approximately 0.15), increasing the risk of falsely concluding there's a real effect.

Two Broad Approaches to Follow-Up Comparisons

  1. Post Hoc Procedures (Discussed in this video):
    • Used when there's no strong theoretical basis to expect specific differences between groups.
    • The typical application of post hoc tests is when you expect that a diet affects happiness but you don't have specific pattern.
    • It's acceptable to have a general hypothesis (e.g.,