Comprehensive Notes on Cash Flow Analysis and Case Studies
Debt Service Coverage and Cash Flow Analysis
Traditional Cash Flow
- Calculated as EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) minus debt service.
- Debt service includes principal and interest payments.
- Example:
- EBITDA: 1,348,000
- Debt Service: 264,000+1,002,000=3,660,000
- Debt Service Coverage: 1,348,000/3,660,000=3.66
- Another example of debt service includes current portion long-term debit paid: 2,530,000+1,500,000=4,030,000
- Still commonly used by bankers for analyzing C&I (commercial and industrial) and CRE (commercial real estate) loans.
- May provide inaccurate information about the true cash available due to its lack of consideration for balance sheet changes.
- Generally considered safe for real estate (CRE) but less so for C&I loans.
UCA Cash Flow
- An alternative method of cash flow calculation.
- Presents a company’s cash flow on a cash basis rather than an accrual basis.
- Accounts for changes in the balance sheet that traditional cash flow ignores.
- Credit spread software uses a UCA cash flow statement.
- Preferred method when discussing FASB 95 cash flow
Key Metrics in UCA Cash Flow
- Net Cash After Operations (NCAO)
- Represents cash remaining after covering business operations.
- A negative NCAO indicates the company did not generate sufficient cash to cover operations.
- Example: NCAO of -$444,000 indicates a significant cash deficit.
- Cash After Debt Amortization (CADA)
- Represents cash remaining after covering operations and debt payments.
- A negative CADA indicates a shortfall even after paying debts.
Comparison Example: Traditional vs. UCA Cash Flow
- Traditional Cash Flow:
- EBITDA: 1,348,000
- Debt Service: 366,000
- Available for Debt Service: 1,348,000−366,000=982,000
- UCA Cash Flow:
- Deficit of 935,000
- The difference between the two methods is approximately 1,800,000, highlighting the impact of balance sheet changes.
Balance Sheet Changes and Their Impact on Cash Flow (UCA)
- Change in Receivables:
- An increase in receivables indicates sales for which cash hasn't been collected.
- Reduces cash available to service debt.
- Example: Receivables grew by 700,000, meaning that amount is not available cash.
- Change in Inventory:
- An increase in inventory represents a use of cash (purchasing inventory).
- Reduces cash available to service debt.
- Example: Inventory increased by 573,000, representing a cash outflow.
- Change in Payables:
- A decrease in payables represents a use of cash (paying down payables).
- Reduces cash available to service debt.
- Example: Payables decreased by 425,000, representing a cash outflow.
- Combined, these changes can significantly impact available cash, potentially creating a financing requirement.
Implications of UCA Cash Flow
- Reveals whether a company needs to borrow money to cover shortfalls.
- May show a deficit even when traditional cash flow indicates a surplus.
- Highlights the importance of external financing (owners' contributions, bank loans) to cover cash deficits.
Preference of Banks and Software Capabilities
- Traditionally, bankers prefer using traditional cash flow for most credit analyses because they are more likely to approve the deal.
- Senior management and board of directors may be more familiar with traditional cash flow than UCA cash flow.
- Software can generate both traditional and FASB 95 cash flow statements.
- For non-CRE customers, it's recommended to run both methods to understand the true impact on cash.
Growing Companies and Cash Flow
- Growing companies often need to increase receivables and inventory, which consumes cash.
- This growth is sustainable only if external financing is available.
- If a bank cuts off lending, a company with a UCA cash flow deficit may face significant challenges.
- Collecting receivables and speeding up inventory turnover can help generate cash but may not eliminate the deficit.
All American Case Study
Company Overview
- A company with a significant amount of money tied up in receivables and inventory.
- Limited cash reserves.
- Cash is being consumed in the operations of the business due to growth.
- Has improving ratios that are not within their peer group.
Challenges
- Expanding operating cycle, indicating a need for more working capital.
- Receivables, inventory turn, and payables are drawn out, creating a lengthy working capital conversion cycle.
Potential Solutions and Considerations
- Equity Injection: A capital contribution by the owner might be necessary.
- Working Capital Line of Credit: If a line of credit is extended, it would be set up on a borrowing base, secured by eligible receivables and inventory.
- This requires monthly statements and discount rates applied to receivables and inventory.
- Example: Discount receivables by 70% (if under 90 days) and inventory by 50%.
- Collateral: Limited collateral available other than buildings and improvements.
- Receivables Collection: Determine governmental portions versus retail receivables, and look at the list of top vendors to verify information.
Loan Review Perspective
- The company is currently "limping along" and is considered a problem company.
- Newer regulators may recommend demonstrating an understanding of using UCA cash flow for C&I credits.
Factoring
- Factoring receivables can provide immediate cash but involves a discount (e.g., 10¢ on the dollar).
- Impacts gross profit margin (e.g., 22% gross profit margin could be significantly reduced).
Risk and Reward
- Traditionally, higher risk credits should command higher interest rates (reward).
- However, competition may lead banks to price credits down to secure the deal.
- Community banks should exercise caution when lending against floating assets due to the associated risks and maintenance requirements.
N Racing Products Case Study
Company Overview
- Owned by David and Helen Kruser (husband and wife).
- Sells "large toys" such as wave runners, snowmobiles, ATVs, and small watercraft.
Loan Requests
- Single Pay Note:
- Existing building to be sold.
- Note matures soon.
- New Loan:
- Financing for a new building in a shopping center: 390,000.
- Metal buffer building.
- Letter of Credit:
- Required by a manufacturer to display motorcycles.
Key Considerations
- The borrowers (Crusers) own the real estate and lease it back to N Racing Products.
- Primary source of repayment relies on the financial performance of N Racing Products.
- Loss of entrance from the highway impact the company business. Current building sold, now the business wants to be moved to a pad site for easy access.
- The borrowers have a contract to sell their current building. They want to start building the new location before selling. A weird request because the borrower's equity is tight to their current property and they don't have much else.
Loan Structure
- First mortgage on existing real estate.
- First mortgage on new real estate.
- No lien on rolling stock or collateral.
Potential Issues and Considerations
- Weather's impact on business sales during warmer winter times and cooler summer times.
- The existing loan is graded at a level