Comprehensive Notes on Cash Flow Analysis and Case Studies

Debt Service Coverage and Cash Flow Analysis

Traditional Cash Flow

  • Calculated as EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) minus debt service.
  • Debt service includes principal and interest payments.
  • Example:
    • EBITDA: 1,348,0001,348,000
    • Debt Service: 264,000+1,002,000=3,660,000264,000 + 1,002,000 = 3,660,000
    • Debt Service Coverage: 1,348,000/3,660,000=3.661,348,000 / 3,660,000 = 3.66
  • Another example of debt service includes current portion long-term debit paid: 2,530,000+1,500,000=4,030,0002,530,000 + 1,500,000 = 4,030,000
  • Still commonly used by bankers for analyzing C&I (commercial and industrial) and CRE (commercial real estate) loans.
  • May provide inaccurate information about the true cash available due to its lack of consideration for balance sheet changes.
  • Generally considered safe for real estate (CRE) but less so for C&I loans.

UCA Cash Flow

  • An alternative method of cash flow calculation.
  • Presents a company’s cash flow on a cash basis rather than an accrual basis.
  • Accounts for changes in the balance sheet that traditional cash flow ignores.
  • Credit spread software uses a UCA cash flow statement.
  • Preferred method when discussing FASB 95 cash flow
Key Metrics in UCA Cash Flow
  • Net Cash After Operations (NCAO)
    • Represents cash remaining after covering business operations.
    • A negative NCAO indicates the company did not generate sufficient cash to cover operations.
    • Example: NCAO of -$444,000 indicates a significant cash deficit.
  • Cash After Debt Amortization (CADA)
    • Represents cash remaining after covering operations and debt payments.
    • A negative CADA indicates a shortfall even after paying debts.
Comparison Example: Traditional vs. UCA Cash Flow
  • Traditional Cash Flow:
    • EBITDA: 1,348,0001,348,000
    • Debt Service: 366,000366,000
    • Available for Debt Service: 1,348,000366,000=982,0001,348,000 - 366,000 = 982,000
  • UCA Cash Flow:
    • Deficit of 935,000935,000
  • The difference between the two methods is approximately 1,800,0001,800,000, highlighting the impact of balance sheet changes.
Balance Sheet Changes and Their Impact on Cash Flow (UCA)
  • Change in Receivables:
    • An increase in receivables indicates sales for which cash hasn't been collected.
    • Reduces cash available to service debt.
    • Example: Receivables grew by 700,000700,000, meaning that amount is not available cash.
  • Change in Inventory:
    • An increase in inventory represents a use of cash (purchasing inventory).
    • Reduces cash available to service debt.
    • Example: Inventory increased by 573,000573,000, representing a cash outflow.
  • Change in Payables:
    • A decrease in payables represents a use of cash (paying down payables).
    • Reduces cash available to service debt.
    • Example: Payables decreased by 425,000425,000, representing a cash outflow.
  • Combined, these changes can significantly impact available cash, potentially creating a financing requirement.
Implications of UCA Cash Flow
  • Reveals whether a company needs to borrow money to cover shortfalls.
  • May show a deficit even when traditional cash flow indicates a surplus.
  • Highlights the importance of external financing (owners' contributions, bank loans) to cover cash deficits.
Preference of Banks and Software Capabilities
  • Traditionally, bankers prefer using traditional cash flow for most credit analyses because they are more likely to approve the deal.
  • Senior management and board of directors may be more familiar with traditional cash flow than UCA cash flow.
  • Software can generate both traditional and FASB 95 cash flow statements.
  • For non-CRE customers, it's recommended to run both methods to understand the true impact on cash.
Growing Companies and Cash Flow
  • Growing companies often need to increase receivables and inventory, which consumes cash.
  • This growth is sustainable only if external financing is available.
  • If a bank cuts off lending, a company with a UCA cash flow deficit may face significant challenges.
  • Collecting receivables and speeding up inventory turnover can help generate cash but may not eliminate the deficit.

All American Case Study

Company Overview
  • A company with a significant amount of money tied up in receivables and inventory.
  • Limited cash reserves.
  • Cash is being consumed in the operations of the business due to growth.
  • Has improving ratios that are not within their peer group.
Challenges
  • Expanding operating cycle, indicating a need for more working capital.
  • Receivables, inventory turn, and payables are drawn out, creating a lengthy working capital conversion cycle.
Potential Solutions and Considerations
  • Equity Injection: A capital contribution by the owner might be necessary.
  • Working Capital Line of Credit: If a line of credit is extended, it would be set up on a borrowing base, secured by eligible receivables and inventory.
    • This requires monthly statements and discount rates applied to receivables and inventory.
    • Example: Discount receivables by 70% (if under 90 days) and inventory by 50%.
  • Collateral: Limited collateral available other than buildings and improvements.
  • Receivables Collection: Determine governmental portions versus retail receivables, and look at the list of top vendors to verify information.
Loan Review Perspective
  • The company is currently "limping along" and is considered a problem company.
  • Newer regulators may recommend demonstrating an understanding of using UCA cash flow for C&I credits.
Factoring
  • Factoring receivables can provide immediate cash but involves a discount (e.g., 10¢ on the dollar).
  • Impacts gross profit margin (e.g., 22% gross profit margin could be significantly reduced).

Risk and Reward

  • Traditionally, higher risk credits should command higher interest rates (reward).
  • However, competition may lead banks to price credits down to secure the deal.
Cautions for Community Banks
  • Community banks should exercise caution when lending against floating assets due to the associated risks and maintenance requirements.

N Racing Products Case Study

Company Overview
  • Owned by David and Helen Kruser (husband and wife).
  • Sells "large toys" such as wave runners, snowmobiles, ATVs, and small watercraft.
Loan Requests
  1. Single Pay Note:
    • Existing building to be sold.
    • Note matures soon.
  2. New Loan:
    • Financing for a new building in a shopping center: 390,000390,000.
    • Metal buffer building.
  3. Letter of Credit:
    • Required by a manufacturer to display motorcycles.
Key Considerations
  • The borrowers (Crusers) own the real estate and lease it back to N Racing Products.
  • Primary source of repayment relies on the financial performance of N Racing Products.
  • Loss of entrance from the highway impact the company business. Current building sold, now the business wants to be moved to a pad site for easy access.
  • The borrowers have a contract to sell their current building. They want to start building the new location before selling. A weird request because the borrower's equity is tight to their current property and they don't have much else.
Loan Structure
  • First mortgage on existing real estate.
  • First mortgage on new real estate.
  • No lien on rolling stock or collateral.
Potential Issues and Considerations
  • Weather's impact on business sales during warmer winter times and cooler summer times.
  • The existing loan is graded at a level