S + M, Chapter 7

Who, What, Where, When

  • Chapters objectives:

    • Understand sampling and its significance in research

    • Recognize characteristics of a representative sample

    • Differentiate between types of probability and nonprobability samples

    • Determine appropriate sample size for studies

    • Explore the relationship between confidence interval, confidence level, and sampling error

The Problem of Sampling

  • Definition of Sampling: The act of selecting a small portion or sample from a larger population to reflect characteristics and allow conclusions about the entire group.

  • Advantages of Sampling:

    • Saves time and resources compared to studying an entire population

    • U.S. Census Bureau example: Employed over 1.4 million staff at a cost exceeding $14 billion for the 2010 census

  • Uses of Sampling: Sampling provides accurate information about larger populations, critical for social scientists who lack massive resources.

Defining a Representative Sample

  • Key Questions:

    • What constitutes a sample?

    • What makes a sample representative?

    • What does the sample represent?

  • Populations: Any group of people or objects from which a sample can be drawn. Examples include voters, residents, documents, etc.

  • Characteristics of Samples: A sample should capture the diversity of the larger population in proportion to their occurrence.

  • Microcosm Concept: A representative sample serves as a smaller model of the entire population, helping draw valid conclusions.

Example of Sampling

  • Example Study: Analyzing political organization membership levels within the U.S.

    • Method: Shaded areas demonstrate sampling versus actual population attributes. Conclusion: A sample should reflect the distribution of the population attribute

  • Biased Sampling: Unrepresentative samples lead to incorrect conclusions.

Avoiding Bias in Sampling

  • Literary Digest Fiasco: Example of biased polling leading to inaccurate predictions due to poorly selected samples based on socioeconomic status.

  • Representative Sample: Must include all major segments of the population in correct proportions to avoid skewed results.

Probability Sampling

  • Definition: Random selection is used to ensure that each member of the population has an equal chance of being included.

  • Types of Probability Samples:

    1. Random Samples

    2. Systematic Random Samples

    3. Cluster or Multistage Random Area Samples

    4. Stratified Samples

  • Random Samples: Selected through a lottery-like method to guarantee equal opportunity for every individual.

Systematic Random Sampling

  • Process:

    • Count the population size and divide by the desired sample size (k). Select every kth case based on random starting point.

  • Biased Risks: Systematic methods may miss diversity if the order contains bias.

Cluster Sampling

  • Multistage Random Area Sampling: When no centralized lists exist, select based on geographical units instead of individuals.

    • Involves mapping, random district selection, and subsequent narrowing down to individuals, maintaining randomness at each stage.

Stratified Sampling

  • Purpose: Enhances representation of small subgroups within larger populations by drawing separate samples from both subpopulations and larger groups.

  • Key Considerations: Care in establishing subgroup definitions and statistical validity while generalizing results.

Nonprobability Sampling

  • Definition: Samples not selected randomly, resulting in potential bias affecting representative accuracy.

  • Types of Nonprobability Samples:

    1. Convenience Samples

    2. Volunteer Samples

    3. Purposive Samples

    4. Snowball Samples

    5. Quota Samples

    6. Judgmental Samples

Determining Appropriate Sample Size

  • Factors Affecting Sample Size:

    • Homogeneity of the population: Uniform characteristics require smaller samples, while diversity requires larger samples.

    • Number of categories: More variables lead to a need for larger samples to capture differences.

    • Sampling error: The greater accuracy sought, the larger the sample needed.

Confidence Interval and Level

  • Definitions of the confidence interval and level of confidence in research context.

  • Calculation considerations on acceptable sampling error margins and sample sizes (e.g., larger samples yield more accurate estimates).

Practical Applications in Research Ethics and Reporting

  • Necessity of disclosing sample selection methods and precision of results for validation.

  • Ethical standards: Research professionals are expected to provide a complete description of sampling procedures, population definitions, response rates, and methodological transparency.

Conclusion

  • Importance of careful sample selection for generalizing research results across populations.