ECON 200 FINAL
CUMULATIVE CONTENT:
Define each phase:
Peak: High point of economic activity
Contraction: Decrease in economic activity
Trough: Low point of economic activity
Expansion: Growth in economic activity
Demand-Pull Inflation occurs when _____?
When demand for g/s is higher than supply
“Too much money chasing too few goods”
Cost-Push Inflation occurs when _____?
When cost of production increases due to increase in prices of input
Gas and oil prices (It costs more for gas so productivity with trucks getting things to and from factories slows down.)
What is the difference between Deflation and Disinflation?
DISinflation: Inflation occurs, but at a slower rate
DEflation: When prices fall (can cause consumers to delay consumption)
Loose/Expansionary Policy:
Government tries to BOOST the economy; encourages spending at lower prices
Tight/Contractionary Policy:
Government tries to SLOW down the economy; to reduce inflation
LOOSE/EXPANSIONARY POLICY | TIGHT/CONTRACTIONARY POLICY |
INFLATION | RECESSION |
Borrowing is easy | Borrowing is difficult |
Consumers buy more | Production reduced |
More people employed | Unemployment increases |
Businesses expand | Businesses stop/delay expanding |
People spend more |
Product market ^^
← firms provide g/s
Households labour, land, capital →
← Firms pay for labour
Monetary Exchange:
-Households pay for g/s (product market; pays for product)
-Firms pay wages, rent (factor market; pays for labour (FOP))
Physical Exchange
-Firms provide g/s
-Households provide factors of production
Taco Bell just hired you to assemble tacos:
Market: Factor
Flow: Households provide FOP
Taco Bell gives you a paycheck
Market: Factor
Flow: Firms pay for labour
You buy two tickets for a concert:
Market: Product
Flow: Households pay for g/s
Your tickets arrive:
Market: Product
Flow: Firms provide g/s
What is positive output?
High demand, not enough capital
15. What is negative output?
Too much capital, low demand
16. If Output is Negative the Fed will use _____?
Loose/Expansionary Policy
17. If Output is Positive the Fed will use _____?
Tight/Contractionary Policy
18. Output Formula: ((Actual Output - Potential Output) / Potential Output) x 100
Production Possibilities Frontier:
Inefficient Production
Emphasis on guns
Emphasis on butter
Equal mix dddddd
x. Cannot be produced
given existing resources
(increase in technology)
Four Key determinants of productivity
(what do you need to be productive?):
Physical capital: tools, equipment
Human capital: knowledge/skills/
experience
Natural Resources: wood/minerals
/rivers
Technological Knowledge: societies’
understanding of best way to produce g/s
BIG MULTIPLIER IS TECHNOLOGY
Aggregate Production Function →
NEW CONTENT:
Closed Economies:
DO NOT interacted with other economies around the world
(closed themselves off from others)
Open Economies:
Interact freely with other economies
Firms and individuals buy and sell in world product market
^ AND buy and sell stocks and bonds in world financial market
Imports are made abroad but sold domestically
(import come IN)
Exports produced domestically but sold abroad
(export made at home but sent away (EXile))
If domestic price is less than world price
← Domestic Producers are better off
-WE EXPORT
-Producer Surplus: B,C,D
Exports = Gains from trade
At this new price QD from dom b buyers DECREASE
Domestic price is higher than WP →
-Dom. Consumers are better off
-Dom. Producers are worse off
-WE import (buy from outside our country)
-Cons. Surplus: A, B, D
At this new P, QD by dom buyers INCREASE
Dom. Price Higher than WP (w/ tariffs)
Domestic Consumers worse off
Domestic Producers better off
Tariffs raise domestic price
^^ This will reduce domestic quan.
demanded and increase dom.
quan. supplied.
Net Exports: Trade Balance
Value of a nation’s exports minus the value of its imports
(X-M)
Positive Net Exports= EXPORTS are greater than imports
We sell more g/s to other countries than we buy
Negative Net Exports= IMPORTS are greater than exports
We buy more from other countries than we sell
Shifters of Imports and Exports:
Tastes of consumers for goods
Price of goods
Exchange Rates (at which people can use dom. currency on foreign goods)
Income of consumers
Cost of transporting goods (from country to country)
Gov. policy toward international trade (tariffs type shit)
Benefits of International Trade:
Increase in variety of goods
Lowered costs (prod. at low cost due to large quan. of output {mass production})
Increased competition
Increased productivity
Enhanced flow of jobs
Arguments AGAINST International Trade:
Jobs (can be threatened if we don’t have comp. advantage)
National Security
Unfair Competition
Infant Industries (new industries need temp relief to them compete)
Trade restrictions hurt citizens (higher prices, limited product choice, jobs…)
Commonly wrong belief about trade deficits:
They are bad because our money leaves to greedy foreigners and doesn’t come back.
Why beliefs about trade deficits are wrong:
Money doesn’t disappear, it comes back in forms reinvestments (real estate or businesses)
Or they use their earnings from our imports to buy OUR g/s
NET CAPITAL OUTFLOW (NCO)
Is the money going out to invest in other countries minus the money coming in from other countries (to invest in your country)
Money out - Money In
More money out than in = Positive NCO | More money in than out = Negative NCO
NCO GRAPHS
Its more attractive to send your money where interest rates are higher
There are less risks sending your money where interest rates are higher because you see more return without the other challenges that come with high interest
NCO ALWAYS EQUALS NX (equals out!!)
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
If Savings is GREATER than investments
You can lend the money to another country where s<i. (with interest on returns)
Appreciation: Strengthens its value
Dollar goes from 120 yen to 140 yen; the dollar has appreciated
It costs more yen to equal a dollar
Depreciation: Weakens its value
Dollar goes from 120 yen to 100 yen; dollar = depreciated, yen = appreciated
It costs less yen to equal a dollar
Dollar Store Example:
$1 = 10 quetzals (foreign buyer has to use 10 Q to get ONE dollar)
Then, the dollar appreciated and now $1 = 5 quetzals (Q depreciated)
The dollar appreciating is “worth more” in reference to the foreign buyer since they have to use less of their currency to match the dollar!
(think of it like: FOREIGNERS APPRECIATE that the dollar has gone down and now it costs less to match. THEY CAN BUY MORE!!
Nominal exchange rate equation:
Amount of foreign currency / amount of domestic currency
10/1 = 10 Q per dollar
Reverse to find how many dollars per quetzals
^ 1/10 = 0.1 USD per 1 quetzals
REAL EXCHANGE RATE:
Nominal Exchange Rate x Price Level in Domestic Country
Price Level in Foreign Country
Example:
10 quetzales x 100 usd Where: Nominal exchange rate is 1 USD = 10 Q
—-------------------------------- = 20 Price level in Dom Country = 100
50 quetzales Price level in Foreign Country = 50
^ this means 1 US dollar can buy 20 times the amount of g/s in Guatemala compared to what it can in the US
The difference between Nominal and Real exchange rates is
Nominal is expressing PRICE
Real is expressing GOODS
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Is about ensuring that the same goods or services should have the same price in different countries when you adjust fo the exchange rate
Basically enforcing the exchange rate
How it holds mostly true:
Because market forces push prices toward equilibrium BUT
-Some goods are not easily traded (haircut in paris vs harrisonburg; local wages, cost of living)
-Often times tradable goods are not perfect substitutes for each other (german chocolates vs hershey chocolates; both chocolate but german higher quality and more consumer tastes)
AGGREGATE DEMAND:
Shows how much total spending is in the economy
Aggregate Demand Equation:
AD= Consumption+Investment+Government Spending+(EXports-iMports)
Reasons why it’s downward sloping
As the overall price level decreases the quan of g/s demanded increased
Three Key Effects
The Wealth Effect (C): the increase in asset values (ex: real estate) leads people to feel richer and therefore spend more (even though they didn’t gain money)
Interest Rate Effect (I): when interest goes up, people borrow and spend less money because it costs more to borrow.
Exchange-Rate Effect (NX): changes in a country’s money value make its goods cheaper or more expensive for people in other countries, affecting how much is bought and sold.
Each effect moves down the curve; as the price level decreases, people have more purchasing power, borrowing becomes cheaper, and exports rise
When the price level goes down, people technically feel like they have more money because their money can now buy more goods and services.
Aggregate Demand Shifters:
ANYTHING that changes C, I, G, NX
Consumption: Any event that changes how much people want to consume at a given price level.
Change in: taxes, wealth, expected future income
Investment: events that change how firms want to invest at a given price level
Examples: Better technology, tax policy, money supply, interest rates
Government Spending: Policy makers change gov spending at a given price level
Examples: build new roads, weapons contract, entering new military effort
Net Exports: Events that change net exports for a given price level
Recession in Europe → can’t buy exports → change in exchange rate
If ANY of these see an increase then the AD curve will shift right → (IRDL)
If ANY of these see a decrease, then the AD curve will shift left → (IRDL)
Short Run Aggregate Supply Shifters:
Primary shifter: anything that affects production of g/s OR changes in input or resources (gas, silicon, wages, raw material prices)
If Input prices fall, SRAS increases. (vice versa)
Long-Run Aggregate Supply Shifters:
Any change in the economy that alters the national level of output shifts the LRAS
Change in Labour: If quan of labour increases, LRAS shifts right →
Change in Capital: If physical capital increases, LRAS shifts right →
Change in Natural Resources: New discovery of natural resources, shift right →
Change in Technological Knowledge: New Technology, LRAS shift right →
Why is Long-Run Aggregate Supply Vertical?
Because in the long run, the economy's ability to produce g/s doesn’t rely on the price level, but Resources, (labour, capital, tech, and productivity)
Shift in AD: People lose confidence in the economy; AD shifts to the left ←
In the short-run, output falls, this
Shift also causes a movement
along the SRAS Curve.
^Price level falls
In the Long-Run:
SRAS shifts RIGHT.
Firms respond to lower sales and
Production by reducing wages which
Shifts SRAS.
Output returns to the natural level
And price level falls.
Shift in AS: Firms see a sudden increase in
Production costs. This causes SRAS to shift to
To the left ←
In the Short-Run: Output falls, we move
Along the AD curve. This will cause the price
Level to increase.
In the Long-Run: If AD is held constant,
Policymakers will most likely attempt to increase
AD to account for the reduction in SRAS.
Monetary Policy:
The Fed controls the money supply and interest rates
Fiscal Policy:
Congress controls government spending and taxes
If Interest Rates are Above equilibrium:
The quan of money people want is less than the quan supplied
There's more than people actually want
If Interest Rates are Below equilibrium:
The quan of money people want is more than the quan supplied
People want more than there is
A higher price level raises money demanded
Higher money demanded = higher interest rate
Higher Interest rates reduces the quan of g/s demanded
Lower price level lowers the money demanded
Lower interest rates
Lower interest rates increase quan demanded
When the MS is increased, it lowers the interest rate and increases the quan of g/s demanded (AD) at any given price level
Crowding out effect:
When the gov spends more to boost the economy (expansionary fiscal policy),
→ this leads to higher interest rates → which makes borrowing more expensive. (Decreases AGGREGATE DEMAND)
Multiplier effect:
When one person’s spending becomes another person’s income
Chain reaction that boosts the economy more than the original amount spent
How they work together!
The multiplier effect encourages lots of spending and the crowding out effect regulates that by increasing interest rates so there won’t be inflation.
Tax cuts increase household income → They will spend some → Because of this increase in consumer spending, the tax cuts will shift AD to the right
According to Keynes, irrational waves of pessimism and optimism cause the AD to fluctuate.
When pessimism reigns, households reduce consumption and and firms reduce investment spending
AD will decrease; lower production and higher unemployment
Lags:
Fiscal policy operates with long lag (it takes Congress a while to act)
Monetary policy takes around 6 months to have impact
By the time the policy takes effect, the issue may be over, changed, or gotten worse.