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United States and Pakistan: Security Cooperation and Counterterrorism

Overview of Security Cooperation 2001-2008

  • In February 2001, the United States and Pakistan initiated a new cooperative security arrangement against the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) and Al Qaeda.

  • By February 2006, strains in this partnership began to emerge.

  • The primary focus for Pakistani leadership, under Pervez Musharraf, was to eliminate homegrown militants in the federally administered tribal areas (FATA).

  • There was a marked difference in priorities between the U.S. and Pakistan, exacerbated by significant leadership changes in both governments as the years progressed.

Political Developments and Bhutto's Assassination

  • In December 2007, major political events unfolded:

    • Benazir Bhutto, leader of the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) and former prime minister, was campaigning for re-election.

    • Bhutto was tragically assassinated during a campaign rally, marking the second assassination attempt on her life within two months; the first involved a suicide bombing in October, killing at least 139 people.

    • The attacks were attributed to Al Qaeda, directed by Ayman al-Zawahiri, the organization's deputy head.

Political Rivalries: PPP vs. PML

  • Following Bhutto's death, the PPP faced competition against the Pakistan Muslim League (PML) in the upcoming elections.

  • Party Ideological Positions:

    • PPP: Center-left, advocating for state assistance to the poor.

    • PML: Center-right, leaning towards religious conservatism and pro-business policies.

Zardari's Leadership

  • Ali Zardari, Bhutto's widower, not a seasoned politician, represented the PPP.

  • The PPP won the elections and formed the government.

  • Zardari became the President of Pakistan, assuming a role that, while typically ceremonial, gained prominence due to his association with Bhutto.

  • During this period, the impactful figure was General Ashfaq Kayani, the Chief of Army Staff, rather than Zardari or the Prime Minister.

US Counterterrorism Operations in Pakistan

  • Late 2008 saw the Bush administration actively engaging in drone strikes targeting alleged terrorists in Pakistan as part of the Global War on Terror.

  • An increase in these strikes was noted in 2008, with 36 drone strikes reported.

  • Key Figures:

    • Osama bin Laden: Originated from Saudi Arabia.

    • Ayman al-Zawahiri: Originated from Egypt.

Rationale Behind Drone Strikes in Pakistan
  • The initial attack focus included individuals behind the 9/11 attacks, but the target set subsequently expanded:

    • Initial Focus:

    • Leaders responsible for 9/11 (bin Laden, Zawahiri) and their co-conspirators.

    • Aftermath: The U.S. began targeting the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan due to the Afghan government's lack of cooperation in eliminating Al Qaeda from its territory, particularly under Mullah Omar’s leadership.

  • The officials migrated into Pakistan, leading to further U.S. military action:

    • U.S. targeting of local leaders in FATA resulted in escalating tensions between the Pakistani government and local tribes.

    • Example: The drone strike that killed Nek Mohammed in February 2004.

The Expansion of Terrorism Definitions
  • As the global war on terror progressed, terrorist definitions widened.

  • Emerging Targets: Included non-al-Qaeda affiliated militants that emerged over the years following the 9/11 attacks.

    • This led to a cycle where counterterrorism operations inadvertently created more militants by targeting individuals and communities responding to years of violent interventions by the U.S. and Pakistan.

Contradictions in Counterterrorism Strategy
  • The concept that a counterterrorism approach can create more terrorists posed significant ethical and practical questions:

    • Analogy: A firefighter pouring gasoline on a burning building.

  • The book "An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban/Al Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan" documents the contradictions and complexities of America's evolving definition of terrorism, though its specific findings are beyond this overview.

The Role of Tahrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)

  • The Tahrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), translating to Pakistani Taliban, was formed as a confederation of ultra-conservative groups opposed to U.S. and Pakistani policies in December 2007.

  • The TTP aimed to replicate the achievements of the original Taliban that governed the IEA.

  • The group established its identity distinctively through emblems, modifying the Taliban's flag by adding the testimony of faith and a distinctive name.

Distinction Between TTP and Afghan Taliban
  • Key differences between the TTP and the Afghan Taliban include:

    • The TTP emerged post-9/11 and does not have historical ties to the original Taliban governance in Afghanistan.

    • Objectives: TTP seeks Islamic rule over Pakistan and has been engaged in conflict against the Pakistani army, despite its declared allegiance to the Afghan Taliban.

  • During its existence, the TTP conducted multiple terrorist attacks against the Pakistani government and reportedly against U.S. forces inside Afghanistan.

U.S. Counteractions Against TTP Leaders
  • U.S. administrations have authorized strikes against TTP leaders, indicating the group's threat level and its significance within U.S. military strategy:

    • Notable strikes occurred in 2009, 2013, and 2018 targeting TTP leadership.

  • Despite these efforts, the TTP has not established territorial control like the original Taliban nor has it demonstrated a credible link to attacks within the U.S.

Comparative Differences Among Al Qaeda, IEA, and TTP
  • While the TTP was focused on the Pakistani government, U.S. interests in targeting the group were driven by security concerns regarding its impact on U.S. operations in Afghanistan.

  • U.S. drone operations were partly influenced by historical precedents set in cooperation with Pakistani authorities against Al Qaeda, as with the assassination of Nek Mohammed.