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United States and Pakistan: Security Cooperation and Counterterrorism
Overview of Security Cooperation 2001-2008
In February 2001, the United States and Pakistan initiated a new cooperative security arrangement against the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) and Al Qaeda.
By February 2006, strains in this partnership began to emerge.
The primary focus for Pakistani leadership, under Pervez Musharraf, was to eliminate homegrown militants in the federally administered tribal areas (FATA).
There was a marked difference in priorities between the U.S. and Pakistan, exacerbated by significant leadership changes in both governments as the years progressed.
Political Developments and Bhutto's Assassination
In December 2007, major political events unfolded:
Benazir Bhutto, leader of the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) and former prime minister, was campaigning for re-election.
Bhutto was tragically assassinated during a campaign rally, marking the second assassination attempt on her life within two months; the first involved a suicide bombing in October, killing at least 139 people.
The attacks were attributed to Al Qaeda, directed by Ayman al-Zawahiri, the organization's deputy head.
Political Rivalries: PPP vs. PML
Following Bhutto's death, the PPP faced competition against the Pakistan Muslim League (PML) in the upcoming elections.
Party Ideological Positions:
PPP: Center-left, advocating for state assistance to the poor.
PML: Center-right, leaning towards religious conservatism and pro-business policies.
Zardari's Leadership
Ali Zardari, Bhutto's widower, not a seasoned politician, represented the PPP.
The PPP won the elections and formed the government.
Zardari became the President of Pakistan, assuming a role that, while typically ceremonial, gained prominence due to his association with Bhutto.
During this period, the impactful figure was General Ashfaq Kayani, the Chief of Army Staff, rather than Zardari or the Prime Minister.
US Counterterrorism Operations in Pakistan
Late 2008 saw the Bush administration actively engaging in drone strikes targeting alleged terrorists in Pakistan as part of the Global War on Terror.
An increase in these strikes was noted in 2008, with 36 drone strikes reported.
Key Figures:
Osama bin Laden: Originated from Saudi Arabia.
Ayman al-Zawahiri: Originated from Egypt.
Rationale Behind Drone Strikes in Pakistan
The initial attack focus included individuals behind the 9/11 attacks, but the target set subsequently expanded:
Initial Focus:
Leaders responsible for 9/11 (bin Laden, Zawahiri) and their co-conspirators.
Aftermath: The U.S. began targeting the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan due to the Afghan government's lack of cooperation in eliminating Al Qaeda from its territory, particularly under Mullah Omar’s leadership.
The officials migrated into Pakistan, leading to further U.S. military action:
U.S. targeting of local leaders in FATA resulted in escalating tensions between the Pakistani government and local tribes.
Example: The drone strike that killed Nek Mohammed in February 2004.
The Expansion of Terrorism Definitions
As the global war on terror progressed, terrorist definitions widened.
Emerging Targets: Included non-al-Qaeda affiliated militants that emerged over the years following the 9/11 attacks.
This led to a cycle where counterterrorism operations inadvertently created more militants by targeting individuals and communities responding to years of violent interventions by the U.S. and Pakistan.
Contradictions in Counterterrorism Strategy
The concept that a counterterrorism approach can create more terrorists posed significant ethical and practical questions:
Analogy: A firefighter pouring gasoline on a burning building.
The book "An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban/Al Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan" documents the contradictions and complexities of America's evolving definition of terrorism, though its specific findings are beyond this overview.
The Role of Tahrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)
The Tahrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), translating to Pakistani Taliban, was formed as a confederation of ultra-conservative groups opposed to U.S. and Pakistani policies in December 2007.
The TTP aimed to replicate the achievements of the original Taliban that governed the IEA.
The group established its identity distinctively through emblems, modifying the Taliban's flag by adding the testimony of faith and a distinctive name.
Distinction Between TTP and Afghan Taliban
Key differences between the TTP and the Afghan Taliban include:
The TTP emerged post-9/11 and does not have historical ties to the original Taliban governance in Afghanistan.
Objectives: TTP seeks Islamic rule over Pakistan and has been engaged in conflict against the Pakistani army, despite its declared allegiance to the Afghan Taliban.
During its existence, the TTP conducted multiple terrorist attacks against the Pakistani government and reportedly against U.S. forces inside Afghanistan.
U.S. Counteractions Against TTP Leaders
U.S. administrations have authorized strikes against TTP leaders, indicating the group's threat level and its significance within U.S. military strategy:
Notable strikes occurred in 2009, 2013, and 2018 targeting TTP leadership.
Despite these efforts, the TTP has not established territorial control like the original Taliban nor has it demonstrated a credible link to attacks within the U.S.
Comparative Differences Among Al Qaeda, IEA, and TTP
While the TTP was focused on the Pakistani government, U.S. interests in targeting the group were driven by security concerns regarding its impact on U.S. operations in Afghanistan.
U.S. drone operations were partly influenced by historical precedents set in cooperation with Pakistani authorities against Al Qaeda, as with the assassination of Nek Mohammed.