S + M, Chapter 6
Research Design
Attributing Causation Through Control
Understanding causation is crucial for addressing social and political issues.
This chapter will cover:
The nature of causation in social science.
Importance of logical warrants in scientific research.
Key characteristics and benefits of experimental research.
Challenges and limitations of experimental research.
Common experimental methods used in political science.
The Nature of Causation in Social Science
Causation is a complex concept that requires careful examination:
Everyday examples of causation seem straightforward (e.g., a car not starting).
Scientific causation often needs inferential reasoning based on theory and observation.
Direct observation of causation is rare; inference based on evidence is essential.
Example: Proving a chemical causes cancer involves statistical comparisons and theoretical mechanisms of action.
Types of Causation
Probabilistic Causation
Unlike natural sciences, social sciences often observe probabilistic rather than absolute causation.
Example: Higher education correlates with political activity, but does not guarantee it on an individual level.
Multiple Causation
Most social phenomena are caused by multiple factors:
Political party identification can be influenced by background, peer pressure, and socio-economic status.
Recognition of multiple influences is vital for understanding complex social events.
Indirect Causation
Causation can occur through intervening variables:
Example: Racial prejudice may indirectly cause school segregation by creating economic divides, leading to residential segregation.
Establishing Causation
Ethical considerations limit claims of causation in social science:
Researchers must provide clear justification for causal claims.
Correlations do not imply causation:
Without ruling out other explanations, causation cannot be inferred.
Experimental Research Design
The Classic Experiment
The classic experimental model encompasses key components:
A hypothesis predicting a relationship between variables.
An experimental group exposed to an independent variable and a control group not exposed.
Random assignment of participants to minimize bias.
Pretests and posttests are critical for measuring changes.
Variations on Classic Experimental Design
Solomon Designs
Address reactivity and control variations:
Solomon two-control-group design removes the test effect from results.
Solomon three-control-group design includes a group with no pretest, allowing assessment of extraneous influences.
Randomization and Assigning Cases
Randomization is essential for creating comparable groups:
Ensures similar characteristics among participants, reducing bias.
If randomization is not possible:
Precision matching attempts to pair subjects with similar characteristics.
Frequency distribution control ensures groups share average characteristics.
Field Experiments
Conducted in natural settings with less control over extraneous factors:
Aim to assess real-world implications and effects of interventions.
Example: Assessment of voter turnout through different campaigning methods.
Quasi-Experimental Designs
Common in political science when random control is infeasible:
Ex post facto designs observe existing conditions for causal inference.
Time-series designs track metrics before and after an event to determine effects.
Challenges in Causal Research
External validity is a critical challenge; labs offer control but lack realism:
Ensure findings are applicable to real-world contexts.
Field experiments provide a compromise between control and realism, with potential ethical implications.
Conclusion
Experimental research is beneficial but complex, requiring a balance between control and real-world applicability.
Key Terms
causation
logical warrant
control
experimental design
experimental group
control group
pretest
posttest
test effect
Solomon designs
randomization
precision matching
field experiment
quasi-experimental designs
ex post facto experiment
time-series designs
regression toward the mean
controlled time-series designs
References
Blass, Thomas. 2000. Obedience to Authority.
Braman, Eileen. 2009. Law, Politics, and Perception.
Cook, Thomas D., and Donald T. Campbell. 1979. Quasi-Experimentation.
Green, Donald P., and Alan S. Gerber. 2004. Get Out the Vote!.