Russia Applebaum (Trump)

Key Points

  • Trump lacks leverage against Putin as U.S. policy actions weaken support for Ukraine: sanctions are being eased, and media funding for independent outlets is cut.
  • Putin's calculation: if the U.S. won't use economic, military, or political tools, Trump cannot be a credible peacemaker; Russia maintains leverage.
  • Alaska/Anchorage summit described as tragic-farce: humiliation for Americans; Trump treated Putin as superior; Witkoff misread the last meeting; no cease-fire, but calls for peace negotiations risk prolonging the war.
  • Russian media portrayal: focus on business cooperation; Putin's statement about 'huge potential' in Russian-American business.
  • The broader trend: U.S. foreign-policy tools being dismantled; agencies undermined by unqualified appointees; 'We’ve been giving them away.'
  • Consequence: the U.S. has 'no cards' now; regaining leverage requires rebuilding: Arm Ukraine, expand sanctions, stop drone swarms, break the Russian economy, and win the war; then there will be peace.

Anchorage as Indicator

  • Anchorage is the culmination of a longer process; not a new Munich or Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact; it's a marker of policy drift.

Implications for Policy and Governance

  • Without reasserting tools and leadership, Russia will continue to profit and Ukraine suffer.

Actionable Takeaways

  • Regain leverage by implementing: Arm Ukraine; expand sanctions; stop lethal drone swarms; break the Russian economy; win the war; then peace.

Notable Quotes

  • 'Every month he's spent in office without action has strengthened Putin's hand, weakened ours and undermined Ukraine's own efforts to bring an end to the war.'
  • 'We’ve been giving them away.'
  • 'Anchorage will probably not be remembered as history’s crime scenes, a new Munich Conference, or a Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact.'