Cancer Screening Notes
How is Cancer Diagnosed? Cancer Screening Module
Introduction
This lecture series focuses on how cancer is diagnosed, covering:
Screening methods
Clinical history, signs, and symptoms
Radiology
Pathology
Objectives
By the end of this lecture, you should understand:
The principles of cancer screening.
Awareness that some cancers will be detected through screening.
An outline of the main cancer screening programmes in the UK, their principles, and utility.
Cancer Burden
One in three people will be diagnosed with cancer during their lifetime.
Cancer mostly affects older people; 65% of cases occur in those over 65.
In 2000, more than 270,000 new cases of cancer were registered in the UK.
Lung, breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers account for over half of all cases diagnosed.
Key Features of Screening
Tests are done among apparently WELL people to identify those at an increased risk of cancer.
Identification of unrecognized disease.
Distinguish those probably with the disease from those who probably don’t.
Screening test is NOT diagnostic.
Suspicion of disease must be referred for diagnosis and treatment.
Screening Questions
Why screen?
Which cancers are screened?
WHO Screening Principles (Wilson & Junger, 1968)
The condition should be an important health risk.
The natural history should be well understood.
Recognizable early stage.
Early treatment should be beneficial.
There should be a suitable test.
The test should be acceptable.
Adequate facilities for diagnosis and treatment.
Repeat screening at intervals for diseases of insidious onset.
Physical and psychological harm should be less than the benefit of detection.
Costs should be balanced against benefits.
Measuring Test Performance
Test Accuracy
Does it distinguish between disease or not?
Are patients with certain test results more likely to have the target disorder than patients with other test results?
Labels patient.
Determines treatment.
Frequency
Ideal test: More positive results in diseased individuals.
Variation in Population
Cut-off point indicating the degree of "positivity" differentiates between non-diseased and diseased individuals.
Basic Table for Calculating Diagnostic Values
Target disorder present | Target disorder absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test Positive | |||
Test Negative | |||
Reference standard |
Sensitivity
Percentage of patients with disease who test positive.
Example:
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 3800 | ||
Test negative | 200 | ||
Totals | 4000 | 6000 | 10000 |
Sensitivity formula:
Specificity
Percentage of patients without disease who test negative.
Example:
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 3800 | 300 | |
Test negative | 200 | 5700 | |
Totals | 4000 | 6000 | 10000 |
Specificity formula:
Positive Predictive Value (PPV)
Percentage of patients with a positive test who actually have the disease.
Example:
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 3800 | 300 | 4100 |
Test negative | 200 | 5700 | 5900 |
Totals | 4000 | 6000 | 10000 |
Positive predictive value formula:
Positive Predictive Value Example
Example:
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 38 | 6 | 44 |
Test negative | 2 | 54 | 56 |
Totals | 40 | 60 | 100 |
38/40 = 95%
38/44 = 86%
54/56 = 96%
54/60 = 90%
Definition of PPV:
Negative Predictive Value (NPV)
Percentage of patients with a negative test who do not have the disease.
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 3800 | 300 | 4100 |
Test negative | 200 | 5700 | 5900 |
Totals | 4000 | 6000 | 10000 |
Negative predictive value formula:
Prevalence
Does Prevalence Influence Test Accuracy?
Prevalence (%):
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | |||
Test negative | |||
Totals | 4000 | 6000 | 10000 |
Prevalence of 15%
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | |||
Test negative | |||
Totals | 1500 | 8500 | 10000 |
Prevalence of 15% - Example Values
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 1425 | 425 | 1850 |
Test negative | 75 | 8075 | 8150 |
Totals | 1500 | 8500 | 10000 |
Sensitivity 95%
Specificity 95%
Prevalence of 5%
Disease present | Disease absent | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
Test positive | 475 | 475 | 950 |
Test negative | 25 | 9025 | 9050 |
Totals | 500 | 9500 | 10000 |
Sensitivity 95%
Specificity 95%
Impact of Prevalence
Prevalence | Total testing positive | True positive | False positive | PPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 4100 | 3800 | 300 | 93% |
15 | 1850 | 1425 | 425 | 77% |
5 | 950 | 475 | 475 | 50% |
Sensitivity 95%
Specificity 95%
Screening Effectiveness & the Natural History of Disease
Screening shifts detection from symptomatic presentation to an earlier stage, before metastatic spread.
Early
Screen Detected
Symptomatic presentation
Metastatic spread
Late
Screening Effectiveness
Screening shifts detection from symptomatic presentation to an earlier stage, before metastatic spread.
Early
Screen Detected
Symptomatic presentation
Metastatic spread
Late
Screening Effectiveness
Screening shifts detection from symptomatic presentation to an earlier stage, before metastatic spread.
Early
Screen Detected
Symptomatic presentation
Metastatic spread
Late
The Ideal Screening Test
Simple
Cheap
Easily repeatable
Easy and unambiguous to interpret
No false positives
No false negatives
Acceptable
Benefits outweigh the harms
A Successful Screening Programme: Other Factors
Training
Education
Mass awareness
Quality assurance (incl. Key performance Indicators)
Finances
Screening: The Downside
Labels a person as an increased risk of cancer
Psychological impact
Impact of turnaround times
Success depends on uptake (education/training/feasibility)
Impact of social media
Financial considerations for people attending screening
Major UK Cancer Screening Programmes
Breast Cancer Screening
Age Specific Incidence and Mortality for Breast Cancer in UK
(Graph illustrating incidence and mortality rates vs. age)
Breast Cancer Screening
Finds unsuspected disease
Divides women into two categories:
Normal
Potential breast cancer
Identifies those needing further assessment
Mammographic Screening
Mammographic screening is the only technique which has been shown to reduce breast cancer mortality in the population.
The NHS Breast Screening Programme
Provides mammographic screening for all women of 50 and over (50 - 70 by invitation), repeated every three years
Includes a fully funded training programme
All mammograms are double-read (by at least one Consultant Radiologist)
Mammography
Normal Mammogram
(Image of a normal mammogram)
Abnormal Mammogram
(Image of an abnormal mammogram)
Picks up lumps
Picks up calcification including micro-calcification
Two-view Mammography in Screening for Breast Cancer
Programmes using two-view mammography detected:
42% more small (<15 mm) invasive cancers
3% more in situ cancers (esp. high grade)
Two-view mammography is recommended at all screening visits
Next Steps
Abnormal mammogram is followed by a biopsy for a diagnosis
MDT (multi-disciplinary team) discussion is vital for correlations
NHS Cervical Screening Programme
Call Recall System - 1966 & 1988
Natural History of the Disease: Risk Factors
Human Papilloma Virus infection (high risk serotypes 16, 18, 31, and 33)
HPV changes
Natural History of the Disease: Disease has a Pre-Invasive Phase
CIN1, CIN2, CIN3, Invasive
Amenable for Screening
Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) arises within the transformation zone.
Cervical Screening Programme
Not a test for cancer.
It is a method of preventing cancer by detecting and treating early abnormalities which, if left untreated, could lead to invasive cancer.
The first stage in cervical screening is taking a sample for use in HPV primary screening (2020) and liquid-based cytology (LBC) [phased in Oct 2008].
A sample of cells is taken from the cervix for analysis. A doctor or nurse inserts an instrument (a speculum) to open the woman's vagina and uses a spatula to sweep around the cervix.
Early detection and treatment can prevent 75 percent of cancers developing.
Cervical Screening: Call Recall System
All women between the ages of 25 and 64 are eligible for a free cervical screening test every three to five years.
The screening intervals are:
Age group (years) Frequency of screening
25 First invitation
25 - 49 3 yearly
50 - 64 5 yearly
65+ Only screen those who have not been screened since age 50 or have had recent abnormal tests
The NHS call and recall system invites women who are registered with a GP. It also keeps track of any follow-up investigation, and, if all is well, recalls the woman for screening in three or five years' time.
Changes to the Cervical Screening Programme – High-Risk HPV Testing (as of Jan 2020)
Now the 1st test on the sample, followed by cytology triage (liquid-based cytology).
Primary HPV Screening
HPV primary screening uses HR-HPV (high-risk HPV) testing as the first test on the cervical screening sample.
Cytology becomes the triage test, only used when we find HR-HPV.
The same laboratory performs both tests and issues a single report with all results.
The Borderline Smear (HPV Changes)
Mild Dyskaryosis Severe Dyskaryosis
6m women screened annually
7% considered moderate or severe
Next Steps
Abnormal HPV triage is followed by an LBC; if abnormal: biopsy for diagnosis.
NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Programme
#
The majority of bowel cancers (between 70% and 90%) develop from benign adenomatous polyps lining the bowel wall. The adenoma–adenocarcinoma sequence, in which the benign polyp develops into bowel cancer, takes approximately 10 years (although it may be as long as 15 years before symptoms develop). Amenability for screening
#
Bowel cancer screening aims to detect bowel cancer at an early stage (in people with no symptoms), when treatment is more likely to be effective: looks for occult blood in the stool. Bowel cancer screening can also detect polyps. These are not cancers, but may develop into cancers over time. Polyps can easily be removed, reducing the risk of bowel cancer developing. Aims of the programme.
#
The cohort screened. Bowel cancer screening is offered every 2 years to men and women aged 60 to 74. People older than this can ask for a screening kit every 2 years. An additional one-off test called bowel scope screening is being introduced in England for men and women at the age of 55. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/bowel-cancer-screening-programme-overview.
The FIT Test
Faecal Immunochemical Test: which uses antibodies that specifically recognise human haemoglobin [contrast: gFOB recognises haem component of any haemoglobin: tests for pseudo-peroxidase activity]. FIT advantages – detects only human blood – Associated with higher programme uptake – Objective numerical result [therefore increased sensitivity] – Only one sample required – More sensitive than gFOB.
The FIT Test
The gFOB Test
This past screening test is a guaiac test in which the participant smears small samples of stool (from three separate bowel motions) on to the FOB test card. The test card has three ‘windows’ (two ‘spots’ in each window are used per bowel motion) for the participant to place his or her smear. The sensitivity of the FOB test is improved by performing it on three separate occasions as bowel cancer (and bowel polyps) bleed intermittently.
Bowel Scope Screening
Bowel scope screening: for people aged 55 where a thin, flexible tube with a camera at the end is used to look inside the bowel [flexible sigmoidoscopy or "flexisig“]. If you decide not to have the test straight away, you can have it at any point up to your 60th birthday. From 60 onwards: invited to do a bowel cancer screening home test kit every 2 years instead.
Next Tests: After Abnormal FIT test
Colonoscopy and biopsy interpretation
Double contrast barium enema
NHS Bowel Screening Programme
(www.cancerscreening.nhs.uk/bowel/)
Screening for Prostate Cancer
Equal rights: Women have breast and cervical cancer screening, should men have prostate cancer screening?
PSA Test
Prostate-Specific Antigen
Organ-specific
A product of prostatic epithelium
Minute amounts found in serum
Normal range 0-4ng/ml
How Useful is Raised PSA?
PSA +ve:
Cancer
Tumours of large volume
Well differentiated
80% of those with cancer have PSA levels > 4.0 ng/ml
Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia
25-30% of men with BPH have PSA levels > 4.0 ng/ml
Acute Prostatitis
Exercise/sexual activity
How Useful is Low PSA?
PSA –ve: 20-40% of patients with organ-confined prostate cancer have a PSA of ≤ 4.0 ng/ml. PSA testing is therefore neither sensitive nor specific.
The Current Stance
There is no organized screening program for prostate cancer but an informed choice program. The Prostate Cancer Risk Management program (September 2002).
Counselling for those (aged 50 and over) who request screening
Leaflet giving pros and cons of PSA test and treatment options
Informed choice
Summary
The WHO principles of screening should apply to any cancer screening test.
Demand good quality evidence of reproducibility, accuracy, and effectiveness before a new screening test is introduced.
Screening tests are not diagnostic of cancer.
Breast cancer screening: Double-view Mammogram
Cervical cancer screening: HPV screen and LBC triage
Bowel cancer screening: FIT test
Further Reading
http://www.cancerscreening.nhs.uk/ (info on breast, cervical, and colorectal screening)
http://http://www.cancerresearchuk.org/ (basic info about different cancers)
Uses and abuses of screening tests. Grimes DA and Schulz KF. Lancet 2002; 359: 881-884
Women need better information about routine mammography. Thornton H, Edwards A and Baum M. BMJ 2003; 327: 101-103
Contacts
Dr. A Mukherjee
abhik.mukherjee1@nottingham.ac.uk
NMPN