is first past the post fit for purpose?

types of electoral systems:

  • majoritarian systems

    • winning candidate must secure an absolute majority (50%+1)

  • plurality systems

    • winner needs plurality of the votes cast = one more than nearest rival

    • first past the post is an example of this

  • proportional representation

    • covers many systems that produce a close fit between voters n seats although no system can deliver perfect proportionality

  • mixed system

    • combines elements of plurality/majoritarian w/ pr

comparing systems:

majoritarian

proportional representation

candidate must secure an absolute majority/plurality of votes to win

candidates elected in multi-member constituencies

candidates elected in single-member constituencies

electoral formulas used to allocate seats in legislative assembly

outcome is not proportional - large parties take higher proportion of seats than their share of vote merits; small parties under-repped

outcome is proportional - close link between share of the vote n number of seats allocated

systems tend to produce single-party governments with working parliamentary majorities

systems tend to produce coalition governments as no single party wins a majority of seats

key features of first past the post:

  • constituency system

    • 650 single-members parliamentary constituencies in the uk

    • aim is for a majority » form govt

    • single candidate selected

      • candidate’s name marked with an x on the ballot paper

    • each constituency returns a single candidates » ‘winner takes all’

    • winning candidate in a constituency needs only to achieve plurality of votes

      • possible for winning candidate to have fewer votes than the other candidates combined

safe seats: a constituency where it is unlikely the seat will change hands from one party to another at an election

  • SAFEST SEAT = liverpool walton, majority = 74.83%

marginal seats: a constituency where the results of past elections suggest that the result of an election will be close

  • the number of safe seats (seats won by over 50%) increased at the last gen election, from 21 to 35

safe seats

marginal seats

parties pay little attention to them during the campaign

voters receive more attention and information

MPs are less accountable because they have virtually no chance of losing their seat

voters are more valuable in these seats as they may directly influence the result

voters feel their votes are wasted

the character and policies of the candidates become more important

votes are effectively ‘not equal’ - votes in safe seats are worth less than those in marginals, where the impact may be greater

people are more likely to vote tactically when voting in a marginal constituency

electoral reform society estimated that in 2015, there were 22mill votes wasted » safe constituency

the key to winning under fptp is therefore voter concentration that is, enough to win you a seat comfortable, but not so comfortably that you pile up meaningless votes.