Reading

📘 Mearsheimer (2014) – Why Ukraine is the West’s Fault


🧠 1. Overall argument

  • The West (US + Europe) is mainly responsible for the Ukraine crisis

  • Root cause:
    👉 Trying to pull Ukraine into the Western orbit

  • Key claim:

    • Russia’s actions are defensive, not aggressive

👉 “The taproot of the trouble is NATO enlargement”


🧱 2. NATO enlargement & EU expansion (Russia’s view)

NATO enlargement:

  • Expanded eastward (1999, 2004, etc.)

  • Promised Ukraine & Georgia future membership (2008)

Russia’s view:

  • Seen as a direct threat

  • Fear:

    • NATO on its borders

    • Loss of buffer zone

EU expansion:

  • Seen as:

    • A “stalking horse” for NATO

    • Expanding Western influence

👉 Russia saw BOTH as encroachment into its sphere of influence


🔥 3. Events that sparked Crimea (2014)

  1. Ukraine negotiating EU deal

  2. President Yanukovych rejects it → chooses Russia

  3. Mass protests (Euromaidan)

  4. Violence + instability

  5. Feb 2014: Yanukovych overthrown (“coup” in Russia’s view)

  6. Pro-West government takes power

👉 Russia responds:

  • Seizes Crimea

  • Supports separatists


🛡 4. Why Putin cares about Ukraine

  • Ukraine = critical buffer state

  • History:

    • Invasions of Russia came through Ukraine

  • Fear:

    • NATO military presence

👉 Classic realist logic:
Great powers won’t tolerate threats near their borders


5. Liberal vs Realist views on NATO expansion

Liberals:

  • NATO expansion spreads:

    • Democracy

    • Stability

  • Believe:

    • Russia wouldn’t see NATO as a threat

Realists (Mearsheimer):

  • NATO expansion = provocation

  • Great powers:

    • Care about security & spheres of influence

👉 Key contrast:

  • Liberals = ideals

  • Realists = power politics


💸 6. Mearsheimer on sanctions

  • Sanctions won’t work

  • Why:

    • States tolerate pain for core interests

👉 Russia will not back down over Ukraine


🧩 7. His solution to the crisis

  • Make Ukraine:
    👉 Neutral buffer state

  • Key policies:

    • No NATO membership

    • No EU integration pressure

    • Limit Western influence

    • Joint economic support (West + Russia)

👉 Model:

  • Like Austria during Cold War


🚫 8. View on Ukraine joining NATO

  • Strongly opposed

  • Reason:

    • Not worth risking war with Russia

    • West wouldn’t actually defend Ukraine anyway

👉 “Height of folly” to admit Ukraine


📕 Kagan (2023) – Ukraine & American Interests


🧠 1. Overall argument

  • The US must defend Ukraine

  • Why:
    👉 It is about defending the liberal world order

👉 Not about direct US security


🏛 2. Foreign policy approach

  • Liberal internationalism / neoconservative

  • Belief:

    • US should actively defend global order


🔁 3. Two US foreign policy views (oscillation)

  1. Isolationism / restraint

    • Focus on domestic issues

    • Avoid foreign entanglements

  2. Internationalism

    • Engage globally

    • Defend liberal order

👉 US historically swings between these


4. Which approach does Kagan criticize?

  • He criticizes:
    👉 Realism / isolationism

  • Why:

    • Too narrow (only focuses on direct threats)

    • Ignores importance of global order


🌍 5. WWI & British liberal order

  • Before WWI:

    • UK maintained liberal order

    • US was a free rider

  • When it collapsed:
    👉 US had to step in

  • Result:

    • Shift toward internationalism


6. Finish the sentence

👉 “The defense of Ukraine is a defense of the…”

→ liberal hegemony / liberal world order


🧠 7. Do China & Russia act as realists?

Kagan says:
👉 NO

  • Realists assume:

    • States act rationally for security

  • But:

    • Russia & China act based on:

      • Nationalism

      • Pride

      • Ideology

      • Resentment

👉 Example:

  • Russia was already secure → still invaded

  • China risks war over Taiwan → not rational security logic


🎁 Key takeaway:

👉 Global politics is about ideas + identity, not just security


📗 Hounshell & Askarinam (2022) – Isolationists vs Hawks


🏛 1. Which party?

👉 Republican Party (GOP)


2. Foreign policy approaches discussed

  1. Isolationism (“America First”)

    • Avoid foreign wars

    • Focus on domestic issues

  2. Hawkish / interventionist

    • Strong military stance

    • Support allies

    • Confront adversaries


🧍‍♂ 3. JD Vance’s position

  • Isolationist

  • Quote idea:
    👉 Doesn’t care about Ukraine

  • Focus:

    • US domestic issues (immigration, economy)


🧍‍♀ 4. Jane Timken’s position

  • Hawkish / traditional Republican

  • Supports:

    • Ukraine sovereignty

    • Sanctions on Russia


📺 5. Tucker Carlson

  • Fox News host

  • Influential conservative voice

  • Position:

    • Anti-intervention

    • Ukraine not important to US

    • Russia not main enemy


6. If Ukraine divides Republicans, what unites them?

Two key issues:

  1. Opposition to Biden

  2. Concern about China

👉 China = shared threat across party


🧠 Big Picture Connections (VERY exam useful)

  • Mearsheimer vs Kagan = perfect contrast

    • Mearsheimer → realism (security, spheres)

    • Kagan → liberal order (values, ideology)

  • Turner + Ikenberry (your previous notes) fit in:

    • Global South = avoiding both camps

    • World = moving toward multipolarity