ECON1020 Economics and Business Strategy - Week 1, Unit 1: The Capitalist Revolution

Introduction

  • This unit explores the rapid and sustained growth in average living standards since 1700.

Inequality

  • Global Income Disparity: Significant differences in average income exist between countries, much larger than 1,000 years ago.

  • Singapore vs. Liberia:

    • In Singapore, the richest 10% average $67,436, while the poorest 10% average $3,652.

    • In Liberia, the richest 10% average $994, while the poorest 10% average $17.

  • Historical Growth Patterns: Sustained economic growth began at different times in different places.

    • Countries like the UK, Japan, and Italy, which experienced early economic take-off, are now rich.

    • Countries with recent or no economic take-off remain in the flatlands.

  • Measuring Income and Living Standards:

    • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): A measure of the total income and output of an economy in a given period, usually expressed in per-capita terms.

    • Formula: GDP  per  capita=Total  GDPPopulationGDP \; per \; capita = \frac{Total \; GDP}{Population}

    • Disposable Income: Total income minus taxes plus government transfers.

    • Formula: Disposable  Income=Total  IncomeTaxes+Government  TransfersDisposable \; Income = Total \; Income - Taxes + Government \; Transfers

    • GDP is correlated with wellbeing measures like life expectancy and infant mortality rate.

"Hockey Stick" Growth

  • Definition: "Hockey stick" curves represent the sustained rapid growth in GDP per capita experienced by countries worldwide.

  • Timing of Growth Take-Off:

    • Britain: approximately 1650.

    • Japan: approximately 1870.

    • China and India: second half of the 20th century.

    • Some economies saw improvements after gaining independence from colonial rule.

The Technological Revolution

  • Definition: Technology is a process that uses inputs to produce an output.

  • Impact: Technological changes have allowed significant increases in living standards by reducing work-time needed to produce goods.

  • Timeline: Remarkable scientific and technological advances occurred around the 18th century in Britain.

  • Scarcity of Time: Driven by the scarcity of time (24 hours per day for work and leisure).

  • Easing the Trade-Off: Technological changes help ease the trade-off between work and leisure.

  • Industrial Revolution:

    • A wave of technological advances starting in Britain in the 18th century.

    • Transformed an agrarian and craft-based economy into a commercial and industrial economy.

    • Example: Productivity of labour in producing light is half a million times greater than it was among our ancestors around their campfire.

  • A Connected World: Technological progress has greatly improved the speed of information travel.

Environmental Consequences

  • Impacts:

    • Global: climate change.

    • Local: pollution in cities and deforestation.

  • Causes: Expansion of the economy and the way the economy is organized.

  • Potential Solution: The permanent technological revolution may enable using fewer resources to produce more output.

Capitalism

  • Institutions: Laws and social customs governing the production and distribution of goods and services.

  • Definition: An economic system where the main institutions are private property, markets, and firms.

  • Key Concepts:

    • Private Property: Ownership rights over possessions, including capital goods (non-labour inputs used in production).

    • Markets: A way for people to exchange products and services for their mutual benefit, involving reciprocated, voluntary transfers with competition.

    • Firms: Business organizations that use inputs to produce outputs and set prices to cover production costs.

  • Capitalist Revolution Impact: Capitalism led to growth in living standards due to:

    • Impact on Technology: Firms competing in markets had strong incentives to adopt and develop new technologies.

    • Specialisation: The growth of firms and expansion of markets allowed unprecedented specialisation in tasks and production.

The Gains from Specialisation

  • Increased Productivity: Specialisation increases productivity of labor through:

    • Learning by doing.

    • Taking advantage of natural differences in skill and talent.

    • Economies of scale.

  • Reliance on Markets: People can only specialize if they have a way to acquire other needed goods, which occurs via markets in a capitalist society.

Comparative Advantage

  • Example Scenario:

    • Greta: 1250 apples or 50 tonnes of wheat.

    • Carlos: 1000 apples or 20 tonnes of wheat.

  • Allocation:

    • Greta has absolute advantage in both.

    • Greta has a comparative advantage in wheat.

    • Carlos has a comparative advantage in apples = he is least disadvantaged in production of apples.

  • Benefits of Specialisation: All producers can benefit by specialising and trading goods, even if one producer could produce at a lower cost.

  • Role of Markets: Markets increase labor productivity by allowing specialisation.

Capitalism and "Hockey Stick" Growth

  • Original Question: Rapid sustained growth in average living standards since 1700. How did this happen?

  • Natural Experiment: The division of Germany after World War II into capitalist West Germany and centrally planned East Germany.

  • Question: Did capitalism cause the "hockey stick" growth?

  • Divergence in Growth:

    • Not all capitalist economies are equally successful.

    • The right incentives must be present to promote growth.

    • Economic conditions: Firms, private property, or markets may fail.

    • Political conditions: Capitalist institutions are regulated by the government, which also provides essential goods/services (infrastructure, education).

Political Systems

  • Coexistence: Capitalism coexists with various political systems.

  • Political System Definition: Determines how governments are selected and how they make and implement decisions.

  • Democracy: In most countries today, capitalism coexists with democracy, which includes individual rights (e.g., freedom of speech) and fair elections.

  • Non-Democratic Systems: Capitalism has also coexisted with non-democratic systems.

Summary

  • Important Trends:

    • Increased income inequality across regions over time.

    • "Hockey stick" growth in GDP.

    • Technological progress.

  • Adoption of Capitalism:

    • Capitalism = Private property + Markets + Firms.

    • Failure of these institutions can explain divergence in economic growth