Per Capita and the Uses of GDP
Why Per Capita?
- when there is something to share, it’s important to know among how many people
- growth in real GDP doesn’t account for changes in population
- there can be large differences for countries with rapidly growing/shrinking populations
- if population is growing faster than GDP, then GDP per capita is actually falling
Real GDP Per Capita
- realGDPpercapita: a rough measure of a country’s standard of living
- standardofliving: the degree of wealth and material comfort available to a person or community
- growth in real GDP per capita is usually best reflection of changing the standard of living
Uses of GDP: Cyclical and Short Run Changes
- GDP is used to compare economic output across countries and over long periods
- GDP is also used to measure short-run fluctuations in an economy
- businessfluctuations(orbusinesscycles): short-run movements in real GDP around its long-term trend
Business Cycles
- problem at the trough is typically unemployment
- as business activity falls towards the trough, the need for labor inputs falls so unemployment is the result
- problem at peak is usually price inflation
- as economy “heats ups” towards the top of the cycle there is a tendency for price inflation to occur
- consist of concerted cyclical upswings and downswings in the borad measure of economic activity
- output, employment, income, and sales
- the alternating phases of the business cycle are expansions and contractions
Recession
- recession: a significant, widespread decline in real GDP and unemployment
- ex: global recession of the 2008 financial crisis
- the average length of recessions going all the way back to 1857 is less than 17.5 months
- three things that happen in a recession:
- economic output
- employment
- consumer spending
- the number 1 cause of a recession is a stock market crash
- as stock prices go down, investors often have less capital to invest in businesses
- if businesses can’t raise money for growth an operating costs, that can lead to layoffs or hiring freezes
- prices tend to fall during a recession