Per Capita and the Uses of GDP

Why Per Capita?

  • when there is something to share, it’s important to know among how many people
  • growth in real GDP doesn’t account for changes in population
  • there can be large differences for countries with rapidly growing/shrinking populations
    • if population is growing faster than GDP, then GDP per capita is actually falling

Real GDP Per Capita

  • realGDPpercapita:real GDP per capita: a rough measure of a country’s standard of living
    • standardofliving:standard of living: the degree of wealth and material comfort available to a person or community
  • growth in real GDP per capita is usually best reflection of changing the standard of living

Uses of GDP: Cyclical and Short Run Changes

  1. GDP is used to compare economic output across countries and over long periods
  2. GDP is also used to measure short-run fluctuations in an economy

   

  1. businessfluctuations(orbusinesscycles):business fluctuations (or business cycles): short-run movements in real GDP around its long-term trend

Business Cycles

  • problem at the trough is typically unemployment
    • as business activity falls towards the trough, the need for labor inputs falls so unemployment is the result
  • problem at peak is usually price inflation
    • as economy “heats ups” towards the top of the cycle there is a tendency for price inflation to occur
  • consist of concerted cyclical upswings and downswings in the borad measure of economic activity
    • output, employment, income, and sales
  • the alternating phases of the business cycle are expansions and contractions

Recession

  • recession:recession: a significant, widespread decline in real GDP and unemployment
    • ex: global recession of the 2008 financial crisis
  • the average length of recessions going all the way back to 1857 is less than 17.5 months
  • three things that happen in a recession:

  

  1. economic output
  2. employment
  3. consumer spending
  • the number 1 cause of a recession is a stock market crash
    • as stock prices go down, investors often have less capital to invest in businesses
    • if businesses can’t raise money for growth an operating costs, that can lead to layoffs or hiring freezes
  • prices tend to fall during a recession