S + S Text, Chapter 2
Building Theories and Hypotheses
Introduction
Theories are essential for guiding research in social sciences.
This chapter covers:
Importance of theories in research.
Difference between descriptive and explanatory research.
The roles of induction and deduction.
Characteristics of useful theories.
Distinction between covariation and causation.
How to state a hypothesis.
Elaborating theories using hypotheses.
Informal Theories
Informal theories can be developed through personal experiences (e.g., predicting exam questions based on observed patterns).
The chapter aims to refine these intuitive skills into formal explanatory theories for academic research.
Descriptive vs. Explanatory Research
Descriptive Research focuses on gathering facts and information to clarify what is known about a phenomenon.
Explanatory Research seeks to understand why phenomena occur, thus moving beyond mere description.
Importance of systematic research in obtaining valid measurements of reality.
Purpose of Theory
Theories provide explanations for observed phenomena and help to construct specific research questions.
Example scenario: Evaluating how income affects attitudes toward environmental protection policies and the role of employment sectors in shaping those attitudes.
Nature of Theory in Social Science
Theories are intellectual tools, useful for simplifying reality to understand and predict events.
Theories offer logical bases for expectations that can be tested through research.
Theories cannot merely be discovered; they require effort and imagination to develop.
Logic of Theory Building
First step involves conceptualizing the problem to understand what is known and requires further investigation.
Inductive reasoning involves generalizing observations to form broader conclusions.
Example: Understanding the riots in 1960s U.S. cities by studying motivations beyond initial perceptions of societal instability.
Induction and Deduction
Induction: Drawing general principles from specific observations.
Example: Observing multiple occurrences where pressing a button opens elevator doors, leading to the conclusion that this action causes the effect.
Deduction: Using general principles to make specific predictions.
Example: If all Republicans are conservative, then individuals within that group should also be conservative.
Characteristics of Useful Theories
Testable: Enables predictions about reality that can be measured with specific observations.
Logically Sound: The theory should be internally consistent with compatible assumptions.
Communicable: Others must be able to understand and apply the theory effectively.
General: Purpose is to explain a variety of events across different contexts.
Parsimonious: Simplicity is key; the theory should not be overly complex
Components of Social Science Theory
Concepts: Basic building blocks of theories, serving as symbols for ideas or phenomena.
Concepts must have:
Empirical Referents: Observable phenomena to which they refer.
Precision: Clear definition of what is being referenced.
Theoretical Import: Importance in linking to other concepts within the theory.
Relationships in Theory
Covariation: Two or more concepts change together, but this doesn’t imply causation.
Causation: Changes in one concept directly lead to changes in another.
Importance of recognizing complex causal relationships; often more than one cause affects phenomena.
Testing and Elaborating Theories
Process of theory development includes deriving hypotheses that guide empirical research.
Theories evolve based on evidence and require continual testing against real-world observations.
Hypotheses: Declarative statements predicting relationships between variables, ideally framed as directional relationships.
Variables in Research
Independent Variables: Factors that influence outcomes by changing their values.
Dependent Variables: Outcomes influenced by the independent variables.
Intervening Variables: Mediate the relationship between independent and dependent variables.
Antecedent Variables: Precede the independent variable in a causal chain, impacting its effects.
Alternative Rival Hypotheses
Testing alternative hypotheses is crucial to validating theoretical claims.
Rivals provide contrasting understandings of the same event, and both cannot be correct simultaneously.
Example: Evaluating the relationship between economic conditions and social phenomena by controlling for external factors.
Conclusion
Theories demonstrate usefulness through supporting evidence for derived hypotheses.
Continuous revision and testing ensure theories remain valid.
The research process demands creativity and empirical rigor for effective theory building.