S + S Text, Chapter 2

Building Theories and Hypotheses

Introduction

  • Theories are essential for guiding research in social sciences.

  • This chapter covers:

    • Importance of theories in research.

    • Difference between descriptive and explanatory research.

    • The roles of induction and deduction.

    • Characteristics of useful theories.

    • Distinction between covariation and causation.

    • How to state a hypothesis.

    • Elaborating theories using hypotheses.

Informal Theories

  • Informal theories can be developed through personal experiences (e.g., predicting exam questions based on observed patterns).

  • The chapter aims to refine these intuitive skills into formal explanatory theories for academic research.

Descriptive vs. Explanatory Research

  • Descriptive Research focuses on gathering facts and information to clarify what is known about a phenomenon.

  • Explanatory Research seeks to understand why phenomena occur, thus moving beyond mere description.

  • Importance of systematic research in obtaining valid measurements of reality.

Purpose of Theory

  • Theories provide explanations for observed phenomena and help to construct specific research questions.

  • Example scenario: Evaluating how income affects attitudes toward environmental protection policies and the role of employment sectors in shaping those attitudes.

Nature of Theory in Social Science

  • Theories are intellectual tools, useful for simplifying reality to understand and predict events.

  • Theories offer logical bases for expectations that can be tested through research.

  • Theories cannot merely be discovered; they require effort and imagination to develop.

Logic of Theory Building

  • First step involves conceptualizing the problem to understand what is known and requires further investigation.

  • Inductive reasoning involves generalizing observations to form broader conclusions.

  • Example: Understanding the riots in 1960s U.S. cities by studying motivations beyond initial perceptions of societal instability.

Induction and Deduction

  • Induction: Drawing general principles from specific observations.

    • Example: Observing multiple occurrences where pressing a button opens elevator doors, leading to the conclusion that this action causes the effect.

  • Deduction: Using general principles to make specific predictions.

    • Example: If all Republicans are conservative, then individuals within that group should also be conservative.

Characteristics of Useful Theories

  • Testable: Enables predictions about reality that can be measured with specific observations.

  • Logically Sound: The theory should be internally consistent with compatible assumptions.

  • Communicable: Others must be able to understand and apply the theory effectively.

  • General: Purpose is to explain a variety of events across different contexts.

  • Parsimonious: Simplicity is key; the theory should not be overly complex

Components of Social Science Theory

  • Concepts: Basic building blocks of theories, serving as symbols for ideas or phenomena.

  • Concepts must have:

    • Empirical Referents: Observable phenomena to which they refer.

    • Precision: Clear definition of what is being referenced.

    • Theoretical Import: Importance in linking to other concepts within the theory.

Relationships in Theory

  • Covariation: Two or more concepts change together, but this doesn’t imply causation.

  • Causation: Changes in one concept directly lead to changes in another.

    • Importance of recognizing complex causal relationships; often more than one cause affects phenomena.

Testing and Elaborating Theories

  • Process of theory development includes deriving hypotheses that guide empirical research.

  • Theories evolve based on evidence and require continual testing against real-world observations.

  • Hypotheses: Declarative statements predicting relationships between variables, ideally framed as directional relationships.

Variables in Research

  • Independent Variables: Factors that influence outcomes by changing their values.

  • Dependent Variables: Outcomes influenced by the independent variables.

  • Intervening Variables: Mediate the relationship between independent and dependent variables.

  • Antecedent Variables: Precede the independent variable in a causal chain, impacting its effects.

Alternative Rival Hypotheses

  • Testing alternative hypotheses is crucial to validating theoretical claims.

  • Rivals provide contrasting understandings of the same event, and both cannot be correct simultaneously.

  • Example: Evaluating the relationship between economic conditions and social phenomena by controlling for external factors.

Conclusion

  • Theories demonstrate usefulness through supporting evidence for derived hypotheses.

  • Continuous revision and testing ensure theories remain valid.

  • The research process demands creativity and empirical rigor for effective theory building.