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Definitive Study Notes on Wage Trends and Labor Economics

Overview of US Wage Trends Over 36 Years

  • Importance of examining wage distribution over a significant time span (36 years).

  • Key focus on the purchasing power of different percentiles in the wage system.

Wage Percentiles and Real Income

  • Presentation of data:

    • Lines indicate essential purchasing power changes relative to 1973.

    • Sub-100 line indicates decreased purchasing power; above 100 indicates increased purchasing power.

    • Example: If real income was $100 in 1973, this graph shows purchasing power changes over time.

  • Observations from the graph:

    • Individuals below the line have experienced a decline in real income.

    • Individuals above the line have seen their purchasing power increase over time.

  • Notable statistic:

    • 50% of the population has seen their real wages decrease over the past 36 years.

    • Refers to the bottom 50% of wage distribution.

    • Connection made to political unrest due to economic conditions.

Economic Growth vs. Wage Decline

  • Economic growth has continued at around 2-3% annually.

  • The disconnect between economic growth and wage gains for the lower half of wage distribution is emphasized.

  • Statement of incomprehensibility regarding the U.S. situation compared to other developed nations.

Historical Context and Income Inequality

  • Increases in inequality noted, particularly since the 1980s.

    • Differences in economic recovery rates are discussed, contrasting situations like recessions and wars.

  • Example of extreme long-term income decline attributed to political regimes (such as North Korea) relevant as a comparison to the U.S. situation.

Observations on Percentiles

  • Discussion of trends from specific percentiles:

    • 10th percentile outperforming the 20th, reflecting changes in middle-class earnings starting in the 1990s.

    • Higher percentiles are doing significantly better economically.

Gender and Labor Force Participation

  • Increase of women entering the workforce highlighted, noting historical context:

    • In the 1950s, many women with college degrees were limited to one occupation.

    • Reference to teaching as the predominant role.

  • As women entered the workforce, overall labor supply increased, but wages decreased due to supply exceeding demand.

  • Shift explained where women with higher education pursued careers.

Discrimination and Labor Market Outcomes

  • Discussion of changing dynamics of discrimination and resulting wage disparities:

    • Decrease in wage discrepancies from college graduates compared to high school graduates over time.

    • Observations about education levels and their impact on labor market participation.

Trends in Educational Attainment

  • Statistics regarding educational attainment by those 35 and older since 1950 discussed.

    • Earlier increases in years of schooling began to plateau.

    • Notable differences between educational attainment in women versus men.

Wage Inequality Dynamics Post-1945

  • Wage inequality stabilized from 1945 to 1973, dramatically increasing since then.

  • Inequality trends noted:

    • Increase in inequality between college-educated and non-college-educated workers in the 1980s.

    • Bottom end inequality increased while top-end inequality remained contentious.

Supply and Demand in Labor Markets

  • Key theoretical frameworks regarding how labor supply and demand influence wages:

    • Supply and demand govern price determination in various markets, including labor.

    • Specific focus on wage determination and labor supply curves.

Labor Supply and Demand Curves Explained

  • Labor supply curve:

    • Reflection of willingness to work at different wage levels.

    • Example provided showcasing how wage influences employment willingness.

  • Labor demand curve:

    • Reflects how much employers are willing to pay for labor at varying wage levels.

Equilibrium Wage Determination

  • Intersection of supply and demand curves indicates equilibrium wage level.

  • Imbalance examples:

    • Unemployment results from high wages causing excess supply.

    • Low wages lead to insufficient workers compared to demand.

Conclusion and Next Steps

  • Understanding labor wage determination as a foundational concept.

  • Future lectures to expand upon factors influencing labor supply and demand, leading to subsequent discussions on variations like monopsony.