Urban Planning and Climate Change

The Challenge of Urban Growth

  • Simultaneously solving climate change and building cities for 3 billion people, doubling the urban environment.
  • Failure to plan cities correctly jeopardizes climate solutions and impacts social well-being, economic vitality, and community.
  • Shaping cities reflects our humanity and values.

The Villain: Sprawl

  • Sprawl is not just low-density development but anything that isolates people.
  • It segregates people economically and by land use, separating them from nature and hindering interaction.
  • The antidote to sprawl is crucial for this massive construction project.

California Case Study: Sprawl vs. Compact Development

  • A model for California compared sprawl (shopping malls, subdivisions, office parks) with compact development (walkable neighborhoods, mixed-use).
  • Compact development means streetcar suburbs which constitute low rise but integrated mixed use envrionments.
  • Results showed significant differences and co-benefits of urban form.

Land Consumption

  • Sprawl almost doubles the urban footprint, concerning environmentalists, farmers, and neighborhood groups.

Greenhouse Gas Emissions

  • Compact development leads to tremendous savings due to reduced car dependence, as California's largest carbon emission source is cars.
  • Cities that don't depend on cars as much obviously create huge savings.

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)

  • Reducing average VMT by 10,000 miles per household annually has a huge impact on air quality, carbon emissions, and household finances.
  • Reducing the average from mid 26,00026,000 per household.

Healthcare

  • Prevent pollution by promoting walking and biking through city design, rather than fixing the consequences later.

Household Costs

  • The 2008 financial crisis was partly due to selling the wrong kind of housing such as large lot, single family, and distant homes.
  • Reducing costs by 10,00010,000 is significant, considering California's median income is 50,00050,000.
  • Affordable housing advocates find common cause with environmentalists and politicians.

Los Angeles Transformation

  • Los Angeles is transforming into a transit-oriented environment.
  • Since 2008, 400,000,000,000400,000,000,000 in bonds were voted for transit versus 00 for new highways.
  • Transforming LA into a city of walkers and transit users, not cars.

High-Density Sprawl in China

  • China faces high-density sprawl with similar problems of isolation in superblocks.
  • Smog results, costing 12% of China's GDP in health impacts.
  • Traditional Chinese cities had robust communities with local shops and walkable environments.
  • New superblocks have 5,000 units, gated and lacking sidewalks or ground-floor shops which results in a sterile environment.
  • People desire local services, even setting up illicit shops in garages.

Chongqing Case Study: Alternatives to Sprawl

  • Chongqing, a city of 30,000,000, tested alternatives to sprawl for a 4.5 million person growth area.
  • Walking radius around transit stations is the foundation.
  • Massive investment in Metro and BRT allows working within walking distance of transit.
  • Principles include preserving green space and ecological features.
  • The streets in the red area are auto free streets.
  • Small blocks (500 families per block) with street perimeter shops create local destinations.

Equitable Street Allocation

  • If only a third of people have cars, allocate 70% of street space to pedestrians, bikes, and transit for better city function.
  • No matter how many ring roads they build in Beijing they just can't overcome complete gridlock.
  • This can be solved by geographic equity in our circulation system.
  • Auto-free streets with mixed-use edges and transit in the middle.

Seven Principles for Urban Planning

  • Adopted by the highest levels in the Chinese government, these principles are globally universal.

Preserve

  • Protect the natural environment, history, and critical agriculture.

Mix

  • Create mixed uses with mixed incomes and age groups.

Walk

  • Prioritize walkability, as great cities are enjoyable to walk in.

Bike

  • Support biking with policies like six meters of bike lane on every street.

Connect

  • Establish a street network with multiple routes and street types.

Ride

  • Invest more in transit as there is no silver bullet.

Focus

  • Base the city hierarchy on transit rather than freeways.

Hope for the Future

  • Changes are well accepted in California, the United States, and China.
  • Most people understand the value of great cities.
  • Analysis enables connecting the dots and forming political coalitions for community development.

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Concerns

  • Over-hyped; AVs may increase vehicle miles traveled and congestion.
  • Privately owned AVs will enable people to travel greater distances, revitalizing sprawl.
  • If 50% of people are not willing to share taxis, there's a 90% increase in VMT even if they share them it would still amount to 30%.
  • Walking, biking, and transit are superior for cities compared to private bubbles (AVs).
  • The image of AVs running errands without owners is concerning.