Probability and Distributions Exam Notes
Probability Density Function
A function is a probability density function for a continuous random variable if the total area under its curve is equal to 1.
Joint Probability Distribution
In a joint probability distribution, the mean, median, and mode are not necessarily equal.
Probability Calculation: Selecting Boys and Girls
Problem: In a group of 5 boys and 3 girls, two are selected at random. Let be the number of boys and be the number of girls. Find the probability of .
Solution:
Total number of ways to select 2 people from 8:
Number of ways to select 2 boys from 5:
Probability of selecting 2 boys:
Empirical Rule of Normal Distribution
In the empirical rule of normal distribution, approximately 68% of values are within 1 standard deviation from the mean.
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution is a representation of different values of a random variable with their corresponding probabilities.
Standard Normal Distribution (Z-Distribution)
The standard normal distribution, also called the z-distribution, is a special normal distribution where the mean is 0 and the standard deviation is 1.
Probability Calculation with Density Function
Problem: A continuous random variable can assume values between and and has a density function. Find P(2.4 < x < 3.5).
Note: The density function is not provided in the question, so a numerical answer cannot be computed without this information. If was provided, the probability P(2.4 < x < 3.5) would be found by calculating the definite integral of from 2.4 to 3.5:
Continuous vs. Discrete Random Variables
The number of students in a classroom is an example of a discrete random variable, not a continuous random variable.
Continuous Probability Distribution
Continuous probability distributions deal with intervals rather than point values.
Gaussian Distribution Probability Density Function
Problem: If the value of random variable is 2, mean is 5 and the standard deviation is 4, then find the probability density function of the gaussian distribution.
Solution: The probability density function (PDF) of a Gaussian (normal) distribution is given by: where:
is the value of the random variable (2 in this case)
is the mean (5 in this case)
is the standard deviation (4 in this case)
Plugging in the values:
Probability Calculation with Given Density Function
Problem: A continuous random variable can assume values between and and has a density function given by: . Find P(2 < x < 4).
Solution: To find P(2 < x < 4), integrate the density function from 2 to 4:
P(2 < x < 4) = \int{2}^{4} \frac{x+1}{8} dx P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} \int{2}^{4} (x+1) dx
P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} [\frac{x^2}{2} + x]_{2}^{4}
P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} [(\frac{4^2}{2} + 4) - (\frac{2^2}{2} + 2)]
P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} [(8 + 4) - (2 + 2)]
P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} [12 - 4]
P(2 < x < 4) = \frac{1}{8} [8]
P(2 < x < 4) = 1.0
Expected Value and Mean
The mean also refers to the expected value of a distribution.
Distribution or Spread of Data
Standard deviation is the distribution or spread of the numbers in data set.
Probability within a Range
The probability distribution is used to define the random variable's probability coming within a distinct range of values.
Probability Calculation: Normally Distributed Time
Problem: The time a student spends learning a computer software package is normally distributed with a mean of 8 hours and a standard deviation of 1.5 hours. A student is selected at random. What is the probability that the student spends less than 6 hours learning?
Solution: To solve this, calculate the Z-score: Where:
(the value we're interested in)
(the mean)
(the standard deviation)
Use a Z-table or calculator to find the probability that Z < -1.33. This value is approximately 0.0918.
Therefore, the probability that a student spends less than 6 hours learning the software is approximately 0.09.