National Income - Exam Notes

Economics and Economy

  • Economics: Social science of production, distribution, and consumption of goods/services.

  • Macroeconomics: Focuses on aggregate economy behavior.

  • Microeconomics: Focuses on individual consumers and businesses.

  • Economy: Interrelated production and consumption activities that allocate scarce resources.

  • Market Economy: Prices determined by unrestricted competition.

  • Non-market Economy: Government intervention allocates resources and sets prices.

  • Mixed Economy: Combines private property with government intervention.

  • National Income (NI) Accounting: Essential for a country's economic well-being.

  • Circular Flow of Income: Economic exchange where money and goods/services flow in opposite directions.

National Income

  • National Income (NI): Aggregate of factor incomes earned by normal residents in a country during an accounting year.

  • Includes wages, salaries, rent, interest, and profit.

  • Flow concept measured over a period (April 1 to March 31).

  • Measured in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its variants such as NDP, GNP and NNP.

  • GDP=Sum total of Gross Value Added (GVA) of all the firms in the economyGDP = \text{Sum total of Gross Value Added (GVA) of all the firms in the economy}

History of National Income in India

  • First attempt to estimate NI: Dadabhai Naoroji in 1868, PCI was ₹20.

  • First scientific method: Dr. V.K.R.V. Rao in 1931-32, PCI was ₹62.

  • First official attempt: P.C. Mahalanobis led National Income Committee, report in 1951, NI of India for 1948-49 was ₹8,710 crore and the PCI was ₹225.

  • Task transferred to Central Statistics Office (CSO), now National Statistical Office (NSO) under MoSPI.

  • NSO divides economy into primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors.

Sectors of the Indian Economy

  • Primary: Agriculture, forestry, fishing, animal husbandry.

  • Secondary: Mining, manufacturing, utilities, construction.

  • Tertiary: Trade, hotel, transport, finance, public administration.

  • Sector-wise Contribution in the Indian GDP:

    • 1950-51: Primary (55%), Secondary (15%), Tertiary (30%)

    • 2019-20: Primary (20%), Secondary (26%), Tertiary (54%)

    • 2020-21 (P): Primary (18%), Secondary (27%), Tertiary (55%)

Important Concepts

  • Domestic/Economic Territory: Geographical territory administered by the government with free movement of persons, goods, and capital.

    • Includes embassies, military establishments abroad, and ships/aircraft operated by residents.

  • Market Price (MP): Price paid by consumer including indirect taxes and subsidies.

  • Factor Cost (FC): Cost of factors of production (salaries, rent, interest, profit).

    • FactorCost=MarketPriceNetIndirectTaxesFactor Cost = Market Price - Net Indirect Taxes

    • NetIndirectTaxes=IndirectTaxesSubsidiesNet Indirect Taxes = Indirect Taxes - Subsidies

  • Depreciation: Loss in value of fixed assets due to wear and tear.

    • NDP=GDPDepreciationNDP = GDP - Depreciation

  • Net Factor Income from Abroad (NFIA): Difference between factor income earned by residents abroad and factor income earned by non-residents in India.

    • NFIA=Factor Income from ROW - Factor Income to ROWNFIA = \text{Factor Income from ROW - Factor Income to ROW}

    • NNP=NDP+NFIANNP = NDP + NFIA

  • Transfer Payments: Unilateral payments without exchange of goods/services (gifts, pensions).

    • Not included in NI but included in Personal Income and are taxable.

Normal Residents of India

  • Resides in India, and

  • Whose center of economic interest lies in India.

  • A person residing for one year or more in India is considered as ordinarily residing in India.

Real vs. Nominal GDP

  • Real GDP: Inflation-adjusted value of goods/services produced in constant prices.

  • Nominal GDP: Market value of goods/services produced in current prices.

  • GDPDeflator=NominalGDPRealGDP×100GDP Deflator = \frac{Nominal GDP}{Real GDP} \times 100

  • Real GDP better indicator of economic growth.

  • Base year for GDP calculation is currently 2011-12. GDP Deflator preferred over CPI and WPI because it covers the entire range of goods and services produced in the economy. CPI is not preferred because:

    • All goods and services produced are not consumed by the retail consumers.

    • It assigns fixed proportion to the goods in the index instead of dynamic weightage based on level of consumption.

    • Imported consumption goods are also counted in CPI.
      WPI is not preferred because:

    • Services inflation (which contributes more than 50% in GDP) is not considered here.

    • WPI considers the intermediate wholesale prices, and not the final market prices.

Other GDP Concepts

  • Potential GDP: Highest level of output an economy can sustain at a constant inflation rate.

  • Major challenges for India in achieving Potential GDP:

    • Gender inequality.

    • The issue of unemployment and under-employment.

    • Use of old age production methods to produce goods.

    • Need for a user-friendly regulatory framework in terms of easy entry and exit policy for corporates.

  • Net Domestic Product (NDP): GDP adjusted for depreciation.

  • Gross National Product (GNP): Total value of final products/services by a country's residents.

  • Net National Product (NNP): Monetary value of finished goods/services produced by a country's citizens.

Eight Measures/Aggregates of National Income

Other Variants of National Income

  • Personal Income (PI): Sum of all factor incomes received by households, including transfers.

    • PI=NNPFCUndistributed profitsNet interest paymentsWage accruals+Transfer payments+Personal interest and dividend incomePI = NNP_{FC} - \text{Undistributed profits} - \text{Net interest payments} - \text{Wage accruals} + \text{Transfer payments} + \text{Personal interest and dividend income}

  • Personal Disposable Income (PDI): Income remaining after direct taxes.

    • PDI=PIDirect taxesMiscellaneous fees and finesPDI = PI - \text{Direct taxes} - \text{Miscellaneous fees and fines}

  • National Disposable Income (NDI): Income available for consumption/saving.

    • NDI=NNPFC+Net indirect taxes+Net current transfers from ROWNDI = NNP_{FC} + \text{Net indirect taxes} + \text{Net current transfers from ROW}

  • Gross National Disposable Income (GNDI): Measures the income available to the total economy for final consumption and gross saving.

    • GNDI=GNP+current transfers receivablecurrent transfers payableGNDI = GNP + \text{current transfers receivable} - \text{current transfers payable}

  • Net National Disposable Income (NNDI):

    • NNDI=GNDIDepreciationNNDI = GNDI - \text{Depreciation}

Estimates of National Income

  • Advance Estimate (AE): Released ~2 months before financial year end.

  • Provisional Estimate (PE): Released ~2 months after financial year end.

  • First Revised Estimate: Released ~10 months after financial year end.

  • Second & Third Revised Estimates: Released 1 year 10 months and 2 years 10 months after the closure of the financial year, respectively.

Methods of Computing National Income

  • Product (Value Added) Method: GVA or GDPMPGDP_{MP}
    * GVA=Value of OutputIntermediate ConsumptionGVA = \text{Value of Output} - \text{Intermediate Consumption}

  • Income (Distribution) Method: NDP<em>FCNDP<em>{FC} * NDP</em>FC=Compensation to Employees+Operating Surplus+Mixed IncomeNDP</em>{FC} = \text{Compensation to Employees} + \text{Operating Surplus} + \text{Mixed Income}

  • Expenditure (Total Outlay) Method:
    * GDPMP=C+I+G+(XM)GDP_{MP} = C + I + G + (X - M)

GDP at Basic Prices

  • GVA at Basic Prices=GVA at Factor Cost+Net Production Taxes\text{GVA at Basic Prices} = \text{GVA at Factor Cost} + \text{Net Production Taxes}

  • Net Production Taxes=Production TaxesProduction Subsidies\text{Net Production Taxes} = \text{Production Taxes} - \text{Production Subsidies}

  • Production Taxes: Land Revenue, Stamp & Registration fees

  • Production Subsidies: Subsidies to railways, input subsidies to farmers, subsidies to village and small industries

  • Product Taxes: GST, Custom duty

  • Product Subsidies: food subsidy, petroleum and fertiliser subsidies

  • GDPMP=GDP at Basic Prices +Product Taxes - Product SubsidiesGDP_{MP} = GDP \text{ at Basic Prices } + \text{Product Taxes - Product Subsidies}

Per Capita Income

  • Nominal PCI=NNPFC at Current PricesTotalPopulation\text{Nominal PCI} = \frac{NNP_{FC} \text{ at Current Prices}}{Total Population}

Limitations in the Measurement of National Income

  • Measure domestic economic performance only; it does not measure the social welfare.

  • It does not capture the non-market transactions like the service of the homemakers, barter-based activities.

  • It does not take into account the negative externalities of economic growth where there is a usual trade-off between economic growth and environmental degradation.

  • Inclusion or exclusion of certain items in NI accounting can lead to erroneous results.

  • Difficulties in data collection lead to more approximation error.