227-228

General Roadway Use

  • Key Variables:

    • County Population: Total population of the county.

    • Total Roadway Miles: Total miles of roadways within each county.

    • Interstate Highway Miles: Miles of interstate highways located within the county.

Probable Roadway Use by Minorities

  • Hispanic Population: The percentage of the county's population that is Hispanic.

  • Black Population: The percentage of the county's population that is Black.

Factors Affecting Road Use

Reflection of Residential Population

  • Tourist Attractions: Presence of tourist spots and attractions that draw visitors from outside the county.

  • Colleges and Universities: Higher education institutions that may attract non-residents and affect local road usage.

  • Historical Sites: Areas of historical significance that may influence travel and road use patterns.

  • Seasonal Attractions: Locations such as amusement parks or ski resorts that draw seasonal visitors impacting roadway use.

Research Methodology

  • Statistical Procedure: A factor analysis was performed using the above seven variables to produce summary scores for all Pennsylvania counties.

  • County Grouping: Counties were sorted into four groups based on scores of roadway use, minority use, and nonlocal driver use.

  • Sampling Concept: 20 counties were sampled based on the classifications. 7 additional counties were included where the racial distribution of stopped drivers was considerably different from that of county residents.

  • Stratified Sampling: Counties were stratified according to factors affecting road use and minority traffic.

  • Disproportionate Sampling: 11 out of 20 sampled counties were chosen from the high-score group, ensuring a focus on minority and nonlocal drivers.

  • Observational Study: Specific road segments were selected for further observational studies, creating a multistage sampling design.

Known Speeders - Case Study in North Carolina

  • Techniques for Measuring Speeding:

    • Police Records: Utilizes existing records to identify speeding incidents.

    • Independent Observations: Includes direct monitoring of traffic speeds.

    • Self-Report Surveys: Collects data from drivers about their speeding behavior and frequency of police contacts.

Study Validity

  • Self-Report Validation: Evaluates honesty in self-reported speeding data compared to police records.

  • Court Records Sampling: Sampled court records from those cited for speeding between June 1999 and May 2000 for comprehensive analysis, focusing on Black drivers using disproportionate stratified sampling.

Sampling Techniques

Probability Sampling

  • Simple Random Sampling: The most basic sampling technique but rarely applied in practice due to its straightforward nature.

  • Systematic Sampling: Selecting units based on a fixed interval, ensuring a functionally random selection process.

  • Stratified Sampling: Increases representativeness by reducing sampling error, ensuring coverage of specific population segments.

Multistage Cluster Sampling

  • Used when no complete population list exists, good for national surveys like the NCVS and BCS.

Non-Probability Sampling Methods

  • Less reliable than probability methods but useful in various research contexts.

    • Purposive Sampling: Deliberately selects specific elements believed to be representative or extreme cases.

    • Quota Sampling: Ensures representation of different profiles before selecting sample members.

    • Snowball Sampling: Subjects are recruited through referrals, useful in field research for hard-to-reach populations.

Key Terms

  • Cluster Sampling (p. 215)

  • Confidence Intervals (p. 211)

  • Probability Sampling (p. 201)

  • Purposive Sample (p. 220)

  • Quota Sampling (p. 221)

  • Simple Random Sampling (p. 213)

Review Questions and Exercises

  1. DAWN Program Analysis: Identify the target population, study population, sampling frame, and sampling type of the DAWN program. Discuss its sampling procedures.

  2. Stop-and-Frisk Sampling: Discuss two approaches to sampling for a study on stop-and-frisk experiences, highlighting different sampling strategies.

  3. Population Sampling Discussion: Explore sampling strategies for various populations: police officers, judges, auto thieves, licensed drivers, state police, and incarcerated individuals.