Consumption Function Notes
Consumption Function
Introduction
- J.M. Keynes introduced the term 'consumption function' in 1936.
- C=f(Y), where:
- C is consumption.
- Y is income.
- f represents the functional relationship.
- The consumption function shows the functional relationship between consumption and income.
- C is the dependent variable.
- Y is the independent variable.
- The consumption function is the schedule that describes consumption amounts at various levels of income.
- It's important to distinguish the consumption function from the amount of consumption at a specific point in time.
Consumption Expenditure
- The consumption function can be expressed as: C=a+bY, where:
- C = Consumption
- a = Autonomous consumption (the level of consumption when income is zero).
- b = MPC (Marginal Propensity to Consume), calculated as (ΔC/ΔY).
- Y = National Income
Average Propensity to Consume (APC)
- Average propensity to consume is the ratio of consumption to total income.
- APC=YC
- If APC remains constant as income increases, the consumption function is a linear line.
- When APC declines with an increase in income, the consumption function is not a straight line passing through the origin.
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
- Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) measures the change in consumption resulting from a change in income.
- MPC=ΔYΔC
- MPC is higher for poor communities and lower for rich communities.
- When income increases, MPC falls, but more than the APC.
- When income falls, MPC rises, and APC also rises, but at a slower rate.
45-Degree Line
- Consumption and income are equal at each point on the 45-degree line.
- The break-even point is where C=Y.
- When income rises from 0Y<em>1 to 0Y</em>2, consumption increases from 0C<em>1 to 0C</em>2, but the increase in consumption is less than the increase in income, i.e., C1C2 < Y1Y2.
Savings Indication
- The consumption function measures both consumption and savings.
- The propensity to save is the propensity not to consume.
- The 45° line is a zero-saving line.
- The shape and position of the consumption curve indicate the division of income between consumption and saving.
Keynesian Consumption Function
- Keynes emphasized the absolute size of current income as a determinant of consumption; this is known as the absolute income theory of consumption.
- The theory was presented in Keynes's book "General Theory," published in 1936.
- Keynes acknowledged subjective and objective factors, including interest rates and wealth, influence consumption, but emphasized the current level of income is the main determinant.
- Keynes's Psychological Law of Consumption: As income increases, consumption increases, but not by as much as the increase in income.
Objective Factors - Determinants of Consumption Function
Changes in the General Price Level
- When the general price level increases, the consumption function shifts downward.
- The rise in the general price level reduces the real value (purchasing power) of money balances and financial assets with fixed monetary values.
- This is called the real balance effect.
- When the general price level falls, people consume relatively more, causing an upward shift in the consumption function.
Fiscal Policy
- The government can influence consumption and savings through fiscal policy.
- Levying excise duties and sales tax can decrease consumption and increase savings.
- Reducing taxes increases consumption.
- Rationing and price controls also affect the propensity to consume.
- Welfare state policies (progressive taxes on the rich to provide social security to the poor) tend to raise the consumption function.
Rate of Interest
- Higher interest rates may induce people to save more, reducing their propensity to consume, but this isn't true for everyone.
Income Distribution
- Income distribution affects the consumption function.
- Unequal income distribution lowers the propensity to consume because the rich consume a smaller proportion of their income compared to the poor.
- Increased income inequality causes a downward shift in the consumption function.
Monetary Policy, Credit Conditions, and Consumer Indebtedness
- Easy credit increases consumption and shifts the consumption function upward.
- Lowering lending interest rates increases consumption.
- Tightening credit produces the opposite effect.
- Increased availability and acceptance of credit cards shift the consumption function upward.
- Higher household indebtedness lowers the consumption function, and vice versa.
Change in Expectations
- Changes in expectations influence the propensity to consume.
- Expectations of war or rising prices increase current consumption.
- Expectations of falling prices reduce current consumption.
Windfall Gains or Losses
- Unexpected changes in the stock market shift the consumption function.
- Windfall gains lead to increased consumption.
- Unexpected losses lead to a downward shift in the consumption curve.
Subjective Factors
- Subjective factors induce people to save.
- Saving for unforeseen contingencies (illness, unemployment, accidents).
- Saving for expected future needs (education, marriages).
- Saving for investment to increase future income.
- Saving to accumulate wealth and increase social status.
- Desire for ostentation leads to greater consumption expenditure.
- People imitate others’ consumption habits (demonstration effect).
Keynes C.F
- Consumption expenditure does not have a proportional relationship with income.
- A smaller proportion of income is consumed.
- Average propensity to consume (APC) is the proportion of consumption to income.
- C=a+bYd (Short run)
- Yd is the real disposable income (gross national income minus taxes).
- a and b are constants.
- b=MPC.
Life Cycle Hypothesis
- Franco Modigliani
- Demography impacts your consumption
- Consumption function: C=αW+bY
- Parameter α is the MPC out of wealth.
- Parameter b is the MPC out of income.
Relative Income Hypothesis
- J.S. Duesenberry
- An individual's consumption depends on relative income rather than absolute income.
- Consumption depends on previously reached peak income level.
- Empirical studies show that over a long period, the average propensity to consume remains almost constant.
- Saving as a proportion of income does not rise much with increases in income for individuals with relatively low incomes.
Demonstration Effect
- Individuals try to imitate the consumption levels of their neighbors.
- This is the demonstration effect or Duesenberry effect.
- APC is constant when relative position is the same.
- APC increases as relative position declines.
- APC declines as relative position improves.
Ratchet Effect
- When income falls, consumption expenditure does not fall to the same extent.
- People try to maintain their consumption at the highest level attained earlier.
- People do not want to show that they no longer can afford their previous standard of living.
- People become accustomed to their previous higher level of consumption.
- This is only possible through a reduction in savings.