Consumption Function Notes

Consumption Function

Introduction

  • J.M. Keynes introduced the term 'consumption function' in 1936.
  • C=f(Y)C = f(Y), where:
    • CC is consumption.
    • YY is income.
    • ff represents the functional relationship.
  • The consumption function shows the functional relationship between consumption and income.
    • CC is the dependent variable.
    • YY is the independent variable.
  • The consumption function is the schedule that describes consumption amounts at various levels of income.
  • It's important to distinguish the consumption function from the amount of consumption at a specific point in time.

Consumption Expenditure

  • The consumption function can be expressed as: C=a+bYC = a + bY, where:
    • CC = Consumption
    • aa = Autonomous consumption (the level of consumption when income is zero).
    • bb = MPC (Marginal Propensity to Consume), calculated as (ΔC/ΔY)(\Delta C / \Delta Y).
    • YY = National Income

Average Propensity to Consume (APC)

  • Average propensity to consume is the ratio of consumption to total income.
  • APC=CYAPC = \frac{C}{Y}
  • If APC remains constant as income increases, the consumption function is a linear line.
  • When APC declines with an increase in income, the consumption function is not a straight line passing through the origin.

Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)

  • Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) measures the change in consumption resulting from a change in income.
  • MPC=ΔCΔYMPC = \frac{\Delta C}{\Delta Y}
  • MPC is higher for poor communities and lower for rich communities.
  • When income increases, MPC falls, but more than the APC.
  • When income falls, MPC rises, and APC also rises, but at a slower rate.

45-Degree Line

  • Consumption and income are equal at each point on the 45-degree line.
  • The break-even point is where C=YC = Y.
  • When income rises from 0Y<em>10Y<em>1 to 0Y</em>20Y</em>2, consumption increases from 0C<em>10C<em>1 to 0C</em>20C</em>2, but the increase in consumption is less than the increase in income, i.e., C1C2 < Y1Y2.

Savings Indication

  • The consumption function measures both consumption and savings.
  • The propensity to save is the propensity not to consume.
  • The 45° line is a zero-saving line.
  • The shape and position of the consumption curve indicate the division of income between consumption and saving.

Keynesian Consumption Function

  • Keynes emphasized the absolute size of current income as a determinant of consumption; this is known as the absolute income theory of consumption.
  • The theory was presented in Keynes's book "General Theory," published in 1936.
  • Keynes acknowledged subjective and objective factors, including interest rates and wealth, influence consumption, but emphasized the current level of income is the main determinant.
  • Keynes's Psychological Law of Consumption: As income increases, consumption increases, but not by as much as the increase in income.

Objective Factors - Determinants of Consumption Function

Changes in the General Price Level
  • When the general price level increases, the consumption function shifts downward.
  • The rise in the general price level reduces the real value (purchasing power) of money balances and financial assets with fixed monetary values.
  • This is called the real balance effect.
  • When the general price level falls, people consume relatively more, causing an upward shift in the consumption function.
Fiscal Policy
  • The government can influence consumption and savings through fiscal policy.
  • Levying excise duties and sales tax can decrease consumption and increase savings.
  • Reducing taxes increases consumption.
  • Rationing and price controls also affect the propensity to consume.
  • Welfare state policies (progressive taxes on the rich to provide social security to the poor) tend to raise the consumption function.
Rate of Interest
  • Higher interest rates may induce people to save more, reducing their propensity to consume, but this isn't true for everyone.
Income Distribution
  • Income distribution affects the consumption function.
  • Unequal income distribution lowers the propensity to consume because the rich consume a smaller proportion of their income compared to the poor.
  • Increased income inequality causes a downward shift in the consumption function.
Monetary Policy, Credit Conditions, and Consumer Indebtedness
  • Easy credit increases consumption and shifts the consumption function upward.
  • Lowering lending interest rates increases consumption.
  • Tightening credit produces the opposite effect.
  • Increased availability and acceptance of credit cards shift the consumption function upward.
  • Higher household indebtedness lowers the consumption function, and vice versa.
Change in Expectations
  • Changes in expectations influence the propensity to consume.
  • Expectations of war or rising prices increase current consumption.
  • Expectations of falling prices reduce current consumption.
Windfall Gains or Losses
  • Unexpected changes in the stock market shift the consumption function.
  • Windfall gains lead to increased consumption.
  • Unexpected losses lead to a downward shift in the consumption curve.

Subjective Factors

  • Subjective factors induce people to save.
  • Saving for unforeseen contingencies (illness, unemployment, accidents).
  • Saving for expected future needs (education, marriages).
  • Saving for investment to increase future income.
  • Saving to accumulate wealth and increase social status.
  • Desire for ostentation leads to greater consumption expenditure.
  • People imitate others’ consumption habits (demonstration effect).

Keynes C.F

  • Consumption expenditure does not have a proportional relationship with income.
  • A smaller proportion of income is consumed.
  • Average propensity to consume (APC) is the proportion of consumption to income.
  • C=a+bYdC = a + bY_d (Short run)
    • YdY_d is the real disposable income (gross national income minus taxes).
    • aa and bb are constants.
    • b=MPCb = MPC.

Life Cycle Hypothesis

  • Franco Modigliani
  • Demography impacts your consumption
  • Consumption function: C=αW+bYC = \alpha W + bY
    • Parameter α\alpha is the MPC out of wealth.
    • Parameter bb is the MPC out of income.

Relative Income Hypothesis

  • J.S. Duesenberry
  • An individual's consumption depends on relative income rather than absolute income.
  • Consumption depends on previously reached peak income level.
  • Empirical studies show that over a long period, the average propensity to consume remains almost constant.
  • Saving as a proportion of income does not rise much with increases in income for individuals with relatively low incomes.

Demonstration Effect

  • Individuals try to imitate the consumption levels of their neighbors.
  • This is the demonstration effect or Duesenberry effect.
  • APC is constant when relative position is the same.
  • APC increases as relative position declines.
  • APC declines as relative position improves.

Ratchet Effect

  • When income falls, consumption expenditure does not fall to the same extent.
  • People try to maintain their consumption at the highest level attained earlier.
  • People do not want to show that they no longer can afford their previous standard of living.
  • People become accustomed to their previous higher level of consumption.
  • This is only possible through a reduction in savings.