Stock Valuation

Stock Valuation Overview

  • Valuing common stock is challenging due to:

    • Uncertainty in future cash flows.

    • Indefinite life of investment.

    • Inability to observe required market return.

Stock Valuation Methods

  • Present Value of Future Dividends:

    • Price determined by calculating the present value of expected future dividends.

  • Types of Dividend Growth:

    1. Zero Growth: Constant dividends, akin to perpetuity:

    • Formula: P0=DrP_0 = \frac{D}{r}

    1. Constant Growth: Dividends grow at a steady rate (g):

    • Formula: P<em>t=D</em>t+1rgP<em>t = \frac{D</em>{t+1}}{r - g} (where r > g)

    1. Non-Constant Growth: Dividends may start low and grow at a steady rate after some time.

Required Return Analysis

  • Required return rr calculated as:

    • r=D<em>1P</em>0+gr = \frac{D<em>1}{P</em>0} + g

    • Includes dividend yield and capital gain yield.

Preferred vs. Common Stock Features

  • Common Stock:

    • No preferential treatment in dividends/bankruptcy.

    • Voting rights, control in corporate decisions.

    • Dividends declare by director's discretion.

  • Preferred Stock:

    • Typically non-voting.

    • Cumulative or non-cumulative dividends.

    • Liquidating value and cash dividends defined per share.

Price Earnings Ratio (P/E)

  • Analysts often use P/E ratios for stock valuation.

  • Differences in P/E ratios can indicate potential issues with relying solely on this metric.