economy

The end of empire

  • a labour government had been elected in 1945. - the pary was ideolgicallly opposed to imperialism

  • 1947: India was granted independance

  • moratorium on the independance movement for ten years (corresponding to the return of the conservtives to power)

  • disaster of Middle East in the 1956 Suez Canal crisis snd the advent of Harold Macmillan as a realistic, pragmatic prime minister in 1957 provided a spur to this process

  • the empire had underpinned British prosperity for over a hundred years by providing both w source of cheap raw materials and ready markets for her own manufactured goods

  • when Britain joined the EEC at the beginning of 1973, it had to give up these special trade agreements, and so the benefits of the british empire were lost

  • net effect on Britain was detrimental: the problem was exacerbated by the post war recovery of the western european economies and the “economic miracle” which japan was enjoying

the management of economic decline

  • Britiain retained it’s position as a leading economic power into the 1950s

  • to some extent the relative decline can be seen as inevitable

  • problem of maintaining public services, maintaining capital investment when the profitability of British industry was declining, the difficulty of staying competitive in a world where competition was intensifying

  • the country was forced to adjust to its new, lower, economic status

  • labour governments of harold wilson in 1964-70 attempted to modernise British industry, but this largely failed in the face of the economic crisis: the development of the concorde aircraft at that time was a typical example

  • British science and engineering was capacle of producing the world’s first supersonic airliner, but it never reached full-scale commerical production.

  • same happened to an infant computer industry

  • membership of the european comminuty provided one possible long term answer to this process

European integration

  • faced by membership of a free market, with more intense competition for overseas customers

  • Among the problems of the economy were lack of capital investment, low levels od labour productivity, unsettled industrial relations and poor management.

  • Britain lagged behing its European partners in all these areas

The new economic structure

  • old, traditional industries steadily declined and were replaced by new, service-based or tertiary activities

  • staple industries such as textiles, iron and steel, shipbuilding and coal mining all suffered gradual decline

  • british heavy industry could not compete with the rest of Europe, Japan, parts of the third world and the new “asian tiger” economies such as Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia decline in manufacturing industry in the UK:

year

% of male workforce

%of female workforce

1981

32

17

1991

25

12

2001

22

8

  • towards the end of the 1980s, however, progress began to be made partly as a result of the reforms of the thatcher era, which are descirbed below and partly fuled by the strength of thehigher education system

  • such sectors as finance, leisure and entertainment, technology, computer software, communications and electronics were growing in britain

  • in these fields britian could and did compete successfully with far Eastern powers, the USA and Germany

  • % of workfroce employed in Distribution, hotels, catering, finance and other services

year

men

women

1981

45

73

1991

44

83

2001

59

86

  • in the 1990s, Britain became an attractive subject for inward investment

  • Foreing companies set up factories all over the country, producing cars, electrical equipment, telecommunications equipment and computer technology

  • decline of trade union power, resulting in more settled industrial relations, relativlely low wages and large government grants attracted companies like Nissan, Toyota, Honda, General motors, Siemens and Motorola to Britain

  • still a large manufacturing sector but largely foreign owned

  • service and techology sector, growing fast and home grown

Globalisation

  • Britain will have to develop a number of economic qualities

  • a well educated, trained and flexible workforce, management which is geared to world-wide competition, a willingness to respons to intense competition, higher levels of capital investment, leadership in the field of information technology and full involvement with international institutions

  • e.g: European union, world trade organisation, World Bank, Internation monetary fund, G7 and the organisation for econmic co-operation and development

the management of economic success

  • industrial relations had improved during the 1980s

  • labour productivity began to rise and Britain became known for low, rather than excessively high, wage costs

  • new “tertiary”, serive and technology industries were finding a leading place in world markets

  • problem of inflation receded in the second half of the 1990s

  • 1992 when the country was unceromoniousyl dumped out of the european exchange rate mechanism

  • “black wednesday”- culmination of several years of indecisive attempts to adjust to the new european and global realities

  • 1990 onwards: low inflation, low interest rates and low unemployment

  • economic growth was consistently healthy

  • rises in investment in public services

  • centre and to the left: wanted rises in expenditure for public services

  • demanded reductions in tax levels for the poorer sections

  • inequalities in standards of living may be reduced

The economic beliefs of keynes and the Keynesians

  • great depression of the 1930s

  • governments should intervene

  • they should take positive steps to boost the level og aggregate demand in the economy

  • by ensuring that consumers, companies and government all spent more money in the economy

  • by ensuring, that consumers, companies and government all spent more money in the economy, the recession could be ending

  • lowering the levels of taxation, and by increasing government spending, the overall level of aggregate demand would rise

  • demand management, underpinned by fiscal policy

the consensus in action

  • keynesian consensus lasted from 1950-1979

  • control level of demand

  • demand was best controlled through levels of taxation and government expenditure

  • economic activity slowed down - reduce levels of taxation levels and raise government expenditure

  • economic activity slowed down: reduce taxation levels and raise government expenditure, result in a growth of government debt, financed out borrowing from banks or the general public in national savings schemes

  • when economic activity was growing fast: danger of high inflation/ too many imports- higher taxation and reduced public spending

  • labour tended to favour higher levels of tax on high income, while the conservatived opposed high taxes on business profits or on property

  • labour also adopted, after 1965, a policty of direct legal controls over excessive risesin prices, wages and business profits

the end of consensus and the return of neo-classical economics: heath

  • 1969: Selsdon park Hotel in surrey, this group produced a blueprint for radical change

  • proposed a reversion to classical economic ideas

  • announced that controls on price and wage rises were to be removed

  • no aid for failing industries

  • government was to disengage itself from strict economic management

  • 1971: new policy gone

  • inflation rising alarmingly and level of imports

  • effects of rising wages and prices and several large companies were threatening to go out of business

  • when rolls royce went bust, heath stepped into save rolls royce with government money

  • chancellor, anthony barber: forced to raise taxation in order to control aggregate spending and price inflation

  • known as Heaths u-turn