Class 5A-2

Page 1: Class Information

  • Class Title: PH 45 Class 5A

Page 2: Agenda

  1. Overview of Midterm

  2. Population Sampling

  3. Power and Sample Size

  4. Updates and Reminders

Page 3: Midterm Overview

  • In-depth discussion of the upcoming midterm exam.

Page 4: Midterm Exam Overview

  • Format: 45 questions, 100 points

  • Question Breakdown:

    • True/False (13 questions, 2 pts each)

      • Topics: Research concepts, study design, validity, ethics

    • Multiple Choice (17 questions, 2 pts each)

      • Topics: Study types, bias, statistical principles, research protocol

    • Short Answer (5 questions, 3 pts each)

      • Key terms: health research, blinding, ecological fallacy

    • Research Project (10 questions, varied points)

      • Apply methods: exposure/outcome variables, hypothesis, statistical test

Page 5: Reminder – Categorical versus Continuous Data

  • Categorical Data: Represents groups or categories, not numerical

    • Nominal (no inherent order): Examples include Gender, Race/Ethnicity, Yes/No

    • Ordinal (ordered but uneven intervals): Examples include Education Level, Pain Scale

  • Examples: Blood type (A, B, AB, O), Smoking status (Current, Former, Never)

  • Continuous Data: Represents measurable numerical values

    • Interval (no true zero): Temperature (Celsius, Fahrenheit)

    • Ratio (true zero exists): Age, Weight, Blood Pressure, Income

  • Examples: Hours of sleep per night, Body Mass Index (BMI), Cholesterol levels

Page 6: Population Sampling

  • Introduction to population sampling in research studies.

Page 7: Types of Research Populations

  • Four types of populations to consider when collecting data:

    • Target population: Broad population for study results applicability

    • Source population: Defined subset for potential participants

    • Sample population: Individuals invited to participate

    • Study population: Eligible members who consent and participate

Page 8: Types of Populations

  • Flow:

    1. Target population: General population aimed for understanding

    2. Source population: Specific individuals for a representative sample

    3. Sample population: Individuals asked to participate

    4. Study population: Eligible participants

Page 9: Target and Source Populations

  • Importance of a well-defined study question to identify target population

    • Target: Results applicable to the general public

    • Source: Narrowed down participants based on the study goal

Page 10: Sample Populations

  • Considerations for sample populations:

    • A source population larger than the required sample may need subset selection.

    • Sampling Bias: Non-representative samples due to systematic differences. Example: Study on smoking habits using participants from a gym.

    • Non-random sampling bias: Equal chance of selection is essential.

Page 11: Sample Populations (Cont.)

  • Probability-based Sampling Methods: Ensure representation of source population

    • Simple random sampling: Each individual has an equal chance

    • Systematic sampling: Selecting at regular intervals

    • Stratified sampling: Dividing into subgroups and sampling randomly

    • Cluster sampling: Whole clusters are randomly chosen

Page 12: Examples of Probability Sampling

  • Distinct methods of probability sampling:

    • Simple random sampling: Every person has equal selection chance

    • Systematic sampling: Every nth person post random start

    • Stratified sampling: Random samples from various strata

    • Cluster sampling: Geographically defined groups selected

Page 13: Sample Populations (Cont.)

  • Convenience Population: Non-probability sampling for accessibility

    • Be cautious as these populations may differ systematically from intended representative populations

Page 14: Sample Populations (Cont.)

  • Aim: Achieve a sample population representative of the source

    • Bias mitigation through careful planning and appropriate sample sizes:

    • Issues such as Berkson's bias and Healthy Worker bias can arise

Page 15: Sample Populations (Cont.)

  • Additional biases:

    • Exclusion bias: Differential eligibility criteria for cases and controls

Page 16: Study Populations

  • Participation Rate: Percentage of sample population in the study

    • A high participation rate reduces selection bias.

    • Low response rates can lead to nonresponse bias

Page 17: Populations for Case-Control Studies

  • Steps in case-control studies:

    1. Identify source of cases

    2. Select a valid control group meeting the same criteria

Page 18: Population Example of Case-Control Studies

  • Example:

    • Target population: American women aged 70-79

    • Source population: Women with hip fractures at St. Luke's Hospital

    • Sample population: Women with fractures & controls from friends

    • Study Approach: Interview participants for data collection

Page 19: Populations for Cross-Sectional Surveys

  • Ensuring that the study population represents the target population

    • Random sampling ensures a representative sample

    • Convenience populations can lead to bias and are unsuitable for cross-sectional studies

Page 20: Example of Cross-Sectional Study

  • Example:

    • Target population: High school students in North County

    • Source population: All students in North County

    • Sample population: Random students from selected homerooms

    • Study Approach: Participants complete anonymous questionnaires

Page 21: Populations for Cohort Studies

  • Sampling methods must align with cohort study design

    • Identifying source and sample populations mirrors case-control studies for prospective compares

Page 22: Population Example of a Cohort Study

  • Example:

    • Target population: Children with cystic fibrosis in Canada

    • Source: Patients aged 2-12 at participating hospitals

    • Sample population: Random sampling of 25% invited for participation

Page 23: Populations for Experimental Studies

  • Sampling methods prioritize validity and safety

    • Define strict criteria to minimize risks

Page 24: Population Example of an Experimental Study

  • Study Question: Effectiveness of nutritional counseling in preventing weight gain among first-year college students

    • Targeted sampling from first-year students in seminars

    • Data collected on nutritional assessments following structured guidelines

Page 25: Sample Size and Power

  • Overview of concepts related to determining adequate sample sizes.

Page 26: Importance of Sample Size

  • Balancing participant recruitment is critical: too few compromises validity, too many wastes resources.

Page 27: Sample Size and Certainty Levels

  • Sample size defined as the number of observations and critical for achieving desired certainty levels in quantitative studies

Page 28: Sample Size and Means

  • Relationship of different sample sizes to the means and variability illustrated through examples.

Page 29: Sample Size and Confidence Intervals

  • Explanation of confidence intervals as a statistical estimation and their importance in data analysis

Page 30: Sample Size and Confidence Intervals

  • Visualized confidence intervals based on varying sample sizes

Page 31: Sample Size Estimation

  • Use of sample size calculators to determine appropriate participant numbers to improve research validity

Page 32: Type 1 and 2 Errors

  • Definition of statistical errors and their implications on study results

    • Type 1 Error (α): False positive conclusions

    • Type 2 Error (β): False negative conclusions

Page 33: Type 1 and Type 2 Errors

  • Graphical representation of statistical errors in relation to study populations

Page 34: Power Estimation

  • Importance of power in detecting significant differences

    • A high number of participants increases the likelihood of identifying true effects

Page 35: Power and Error Simplified

  • Simplified definitions of Power, Type 1 & 2 Errors for understanding research implications

Page 36: Why Run a Power Analysis?

  • The advantages of conducting a power analysis for study design efficiency and validity

Page 37: Refining the Study Approach

  • Adjustments needed based on participant availability for maintaining statistical power

Page 38: Updates and Reminders

  • General announcements for upcoming assignments and deadlines

Page 39: Updates and Reminders

  • Reminders:

    • Final research question and hypothesis due

    • Midterm on Thursday, February 6th

    • Study guide available online