Chapter 1: Introduction
Overview of U.S. Political System and Elections
Course Structure
Dedication of entire courses on major themes related to governance.
Presidency: Class taught by Professor Reister.
Civil Rights and Civil Liberties: Class taught by Professor Shay.
Change Over Time in Governance
Emphasis on transitioning dynamics and government accountability through elections.
Discussion of governmental topics such as democracy, competency, and public knowledge concerning politics.
Introduction to Democratic Competency
Key Concepts
Importance of an informed electorate in a self-governing system.
Challenges associated with ensuring student attendance in American government classes (e.g., issues with early morning classes).
Examination of how voting practices and campaign structures vary across different countries and states.
Political Decisions and Value Judgments
Recognition that how we structure voting and elections involves significant political decisions, including value judgments on justice.
Variations in political interpretations and their implications for democratic competency.
Issues of Democratic Accountability
Concepts to Explore
The relationship between democratic competency and the fundamental need for electoral accountability.
Discussion about the presupposition that voters are knowledgeable about their choices on ballots.
Previous week’s exploration on the challenges voters face regarding understanding their electoral decisions.
Accountability Through Elections
Definition of Elections: Simplification of diverse individual preferences into a single democratic outcome.
Basic dilemma between consensus and deliberation as encountered in class implementations (comparing this to a classroom consensus on grading).
Importance of understanding specific aggregation rules utilized in electoral practices.
Aggregation Trade-offs
No aggregation rule is neutral; each has inherent trade-offs designed to favor certain outcomes.
Discussion of ecological fallacy regarding geographical factors in voter preferences and election outcomes.
Exploration of geographical implications in voting procedures through federalism discussions.
Campaign Finance and Political Inequality
Introduction of campaign finance issues and their ties to political participation inequality.
Data from the Federal Elections Commission will be utilized to investigate inequalities concerning monetary influences in elections.
Midterm Exam Preparation
Focus on sample midterm questions and the importance of accommodations for students requiring testing adjustments.
Review expectations for exam preparation and materials.
Analyzing Political Knowledge and Accountability
Findings on Political Knowledge
The average level of political knowledge among Americans is notably low, although this varies significantly among individuals.
Discussion on how the limitation of political knowledge fosters difficulty in holding political actors accountable through elections.
Hypotheses Regarding Accountability
Expectations that election responsiveness should correlate with economic performance, particularly unemployment rates.
Examination of the actual relationships between presidential elections and economic trends from 1952 onwards.
Responsiveness in Elections
Exploration of historical elections: politicians' turnovers correlated with economic performance.
Notably, evaluations of various presidents regarding their responsiveness to economic conditions:
John F. Kennedy: Took over amidst recession; some correlation exists.
Richard Nixon: Outlier in consideration of economic status during elections.
Jimmy Carter & Ronald Reagan: Demonstration of varying responsiveness interconnected to economic conditions.
Bill Clinton & Barack Obama: Alignment of election outcomes with economic indicators.
Argument on the historical accountability of voters in relation to economic conditions.
The Wisdom of Crowds in Voting
Definitions and Phenomena
Wisdom of the Crowds: The phenomenon indicating that individual errors can average out, leading to a more accurate collective outcome despite individual lack of knowledge.
Example: Collecting guesses on the number of jellybeans in a jar, where errors average out to a more accurate figure.
Illustrate the implications of this concept in voting behaviors and aggregated decision outcomes.
Pocketbook Voting
Definition: A voting trend where individuals base their electoral decisions on personal economic well-being rather than future promises by candidates.
Evidence suggests that voters assess their economic status
in retrospectiverather than prospective evaluation when casting votes.
Divergent Voting Patterns in Urban and Rural Areas
Urban vs. Rural Voting Behavior
Analysis of how urban and rural populations respond differently to economic shifts, especially GDP growth when voting in elections.
Urban vote behaviors tend to reward incumbents during times of economic growth, while rural voters may penalize them.
Arguments referencing sociotropic voting, where individuals assess communal economic welfare over their own.
Historical Examples and Trends
Contrast between voting behaviors in rural and urban demographics and their link to national economic health.
Examination of income inequality and its correlation with voters’ choices and patterns.
The Impact of Geography on Election Dynamics
Geographic Influence on Voting
Discussion of spatial inequalities in representing communities, and how the geographical allocation of votes impacts electoral outcomes.
Critique of gerrymandering and its implications on electoral fairness.
Electoral College Mechanics
Explanation of how the electoral college works, including the summation of representatives and its implications for presidential elections.
Insight into why spatial distribution matters when electing presidents in terms of representing varied populations.
Implications of Electoral Outcomes
Critiques of Electoral Outcomes
Examination of non-majoritarian outcomes as a product of the electoral college, arguing against the strict majoritarian viewpoint.
The stability of candidates being elected through electoral mechanics, starting from the historical patterns in the U.S.
Conclusion and Future Perspectives
Encourage students to engage with electoral mechanics and their effects on political accountability and representation leading into the midterm exam preparation.
Reflection on how understanding the complexities of politics can improve voter engagement and participation.