Mankiw's 1-2
Chapter 1: The Science of Macroeconomics
What macroeconomists study:
Long-run growth (why some nations are rich and others poor).
Inflation and price stability.
Short-run fluctuations (recessions, unemployment).
Tools:
Use of models (simplifications of reality) to explain the economy.
Different models fit different situations (short run vs. long run).
Key Ideas:
Flexible vs. sticky prices: In the long run, prices are flexible (classical theory). In the short run, prices can be sticky (Keynesian insights).
Microfoundations: Macroeconomics builds on individual behavior of households and firms.
Positive vs. normative: Economists explain “what is” (positive) and sometimes advise on “what should be” (normative).
Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics
Goal: Understand how to measure economic activity.
Key Indicators:
GDP (Gross Domestic Product):
Value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period.
Can be measured by income or expenditure.
Nominal GDP: valued at current prices.
Real GDP: adjusted for inflation (constant prices).
GDP deflator: price index = Nominal GDP / Real GDP × 100.
CPI (Consumer Price Index):
Measures cost of a fixed basket of goods.
Used to track cost of living and inflation.
Different from GDP deflator (CPI includes imports, GDP deflator does not).
Unemployment rate:
% of labor force unemployed.
Based on household survey (unemployed if without a job but seeking).
Also measured by establishment survey (payroll jobs).
Other Notes:
Stocks vs. flows: wealth (stock) vs. income (flow).
Seasonal adjustment: data are corrected for regular seasonal patterns.
Formula:
Supply/ Demand Model (Qs= Quantity Supply, Qd= Quantity Demand, G= Gate Price, P=Price)
Supply:
Qs(P)=G+3P
Demand:
Qd(P)=G-2p
Equilibrium:
Qs=Qd
GDP (t=Year, Po= Base Year, t-1= previous year)
H+F+G+Ex-Im=GDP
Nominal:
NGDPt=Pt*Qt
Real:
RGDPt=Po*Qt
Deflator:
GDPD=NGDP/RGDP
Growth Rate:
GDP GR%= GDPt-GDPt-1/GDPt-1
CPI
Qt•Pt/Qt•Po • 100
Sx=x/e •100
Inflation
πt=100• CPIt-CPIt-1/CPIo