Mankiw's 1-2

Chapter 1: The Science of Macroeconomics

  • What macroeconomists study:

    • Long-run growth (why some nations are rich and others poor).

    • Inflation and price stability.

    • Short-run fluctuations (recessions, unemployment).

  • Tools:

    • Use of models (simplifications of reality) to explain the economy.

    • Different models fit different situations (short run vs. long run).

  • Key Ideas:

    • Flexible vs. sticky prices: In the long run, prices are flexible (classical theory). In the short run, prices can be sticky (Keynesian insights).

    • Microfoundations: Macroeconomics builds on individual behavior of households and firms.

    • Positive vs. normative: Economists explain “what is” (positive) and sometimes advise on “what should be” (normative).


Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics

  • Goal: Understand how to measure economic activity.

  • Key Indicators:

    1. GDP (Gross Domestic Product):

      • Value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period.

      • Can be measured by income or expenditure.

      • Nominal GDP: valued at current prices.

      • Real GDP: adjusted for inflation (constant prices).

      • GDP deflator: price index = Nominal GDP / Real GDP × 100.

    2. CPI (Consumer Price Index):

      • Measures cost of a fixed basket of goods.

      • Used to track cost of living and inflation.

      • Different from GDP deflator (CPI includes imports, GDP deflator does not).

    3. Unemployment rate:

      • % of labor force unemployed.

      • Based on household survey (unemployed if without a job but seeking).

      • Also measured by establishment survey (payroll jobs).

  • Other Notes:

    • Stocks vs. flows: wealth (stock) vs. income (flow).

    • Seasonal adjustment: data are corrected for regular seasonal patterns.

Formula:

  • Supply/ Demand Model (Qs= Quantity Supply, Qd= Quantity Demand, G= Gate Price, P=Price)

    • Supply:

      • Qs(P)=G+3P

    • Demand:

      • Qd(P)=G-2p

    • Equilibrium:

      • Qs=Qd

  • GDP (t=Year, Po= Base Year, t-1= previous year)

    • H+F+G+Ex-Im=GDP

      • Nominal:

        • NGDPt=Pt*Qt

      • Real:

        • RGDPt=Po*Qt

      • Deflator:

        • GDPD=NGDP/RGDP

      • Growth Rate:

        • GDP GR%= GDPt-GDPt-1/GDPt-1

  • CPI

  • Qt•Pt/Qt•Po • 100

  • Sx=x/e •100

  • Inflation

  • πt=100• CPIt-CPIt-1/CPIo