Profitability and Return on Investment

Chapter 10: Profitability and Return on Investment

Overview of Investment Evaluation

  • Investments are made for two primary reasons:

    • Earnings

    • Capital Appreciation

  • Investors evaluate potential investments based on:

    1. Profitability

    2. Return on Investment (ROI)

    3. Payouts: dividends and share buybacks

  • Various ratios are developed to assess these factors.

  • Context and trends are critical for proper interpretation of financial information analysis (FIA).

Profitability

  • Profits are essential for the long-term viability of a business.

  • Different measures of profit are used to focus on distinct aspects:

    • Gross Profit Rate (Gross Margin)

    • Formula:
      Gross Profit Rate=(Gross ProfitRevenue)×100%\text{Gross Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{\text{Gross Profit}}{\text{Revenue}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:
      Gross Profit Rate=(4,84968,187)×100%=7.11%\text{Gross Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{4,849}{68,187}\right) \times 100\% = 7.11\%

    • Operating Profit Rate (Operating Margin)

    • Formula:
      Operating Profit Rate=(Operating ProfitRevenue)×100%\text{Operating Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{\text{Operating Profit}}{\text{Revenue}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:
      Operating Profit Rate=(2,82168,187)×100%=4.14%\text{Operating Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{2,821}{68,187}\right) \times 100\% = 4.14\%

  • Net Profit Rate

    • Formula:
      Net Profit Rate=(Net Profit Before TaxRevenue)×100%\text{Net Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{\text{Net Profit Before Tax}}{\text{Revenue}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:
      Net Profit Rate=(2,28968,187)×100%=3.36%\text{Net Profit Rate} = \left(\frac{2,289}{68,187}\right) \times 100\% = 3.36\%

  • Operating/EBIT/PBIT/Net Overlap

    • The terms EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and PBIT are consistent with IFRS 18 requirements.

  • EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation, and Amortization)

    • Formula:
      EBITDA Rate=(EBITDARevenue)×100%\text{EBITDA Rate} = \left(\frac{\text{EBITDA}}{\text{Revenue}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:
      EBITDA Rate=(4,36268,187)×100%=6.4%\text{EBITDA Rate} = \left(\frac{4,362}{68,187}\right) \times 100\% = 6.4\%

    • Note: See Tesco Annual Report for calculation details on EBITDA (p.223).

Return on Investment (ROI)

  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)

    • Indicates the relationship between investment and earnings.

    • Requirement: The numerator (Earnings) must be consistent with the denominator (Investment).

    • Formula:
      ROCE=(PBIT (Operating Profit)Capital Employed)×100%\text{ROCE} = \left(\frac{\text{PBIT (Operating Profit)}}{\text{Capital Employed}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Definition:

    • Capital Employed = Equity + Long-term Debt

    • Example Calculation:
      ROCE=(2,82111,665+9,764)=13.2%\text{ROCE} = \left(\frac{2,821}{11,665 + 9,764}\right) = 13.2\%

  • Return on Equity (ROE)

    • This ratio focuses on the return enjoyed by shareholders.

    • The denominator is Equity (Shareholder Funds) while the numerator reflects profit after interest, tax, and preference dividends.

    • Formula:
      ROE=(Profit After Interest, Tax, and Preference DividendsEquity)×100%\text{ROE} = \left(\frac{\text{Profit After Interest, Tax, and Preference Dividends}}{\text{Equity}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:

    • Use profit from continuing operations as equity beneficiaries.
      ROE=(1,76411,665)×100%=15.1%\text{ROE} = \left(\frac{1,764}{11,665}\right) \times 100\% = 15.1\%

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

  • EPS is a widely utilized and closely regulated financial metric.

  • Formula:
    EPS=EarningsEquity Shares in Issue\text{EPS} = \frac{\text{Earnings}}{\text{Equity Shares in Issue}}

  • According to IAS 33, EPS is categorized into Basic and Diluted EPS:

    • Diluted EPS is calculated after considering stock options.

  • EPS must be presented at the end of the Statement of Profit or Loss with working notes.

  • Reported figures:

    • Basic EPS: 24.8p

    • Diluted EPS: 24.53p

  • Calculation complexities arise due to factors such as:

    • New issues of shares

    • Share options granted to employees

Market Ratios

  • Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)

    • Explores the relationship between earnings and market price, serving as a measure of valuation in the investment community.

    • Important benchmark; industry averages are often available for comparison.

    • Formula:
      P/E Ratio=Market Price per ShareEPS\text{P/E Ratio} = \frac{\text{Market Price per Share}}{\text{EPS}}

    • Example Calculation:
      P/E Ratio=279p24.53p=11.4\text{P/E Ratio} = \frac{279p}{24.53p} = 11.4

  • Earnings Yield

    • Inverts the P/E Ratio to reflect returns generated in relation to the market price.

    • Formula:
      Earnings Yield=EPSMarket Price per Share\text{Earnings Yield} = \frac{\text{EPS}}{\text{Market Price per Share}}

  • Importance of P/E Ratio for Investors:

    • A higher P/E Ratio indicates expectations of future EPS growth.

    • P/E Growth index assesses relative growth expectations.

    • Formula:
      P/E Growth=P/EProspective growth in EPS\text{P/E Growth} = \frac{\text{P/E}}{\text{Prospective growth in EPS}}

    • Prospective growth is based on assumptions and market movements.

Payouts and Shareholder Returns

  • Investors are typically looking to earn a return on their investments.

  • Total Shareholder Return (TSR)

    • Formula:
      TSR=Share Price Appreciation+Dividends\text{TSR} = \text{Share Price Appreciation} + \text{Dividends}

  • Increasingly, companies participate in Share Buybacks:

    • This involves companies repurchasing their shares from the market to return cash to shareholders.

    • Benefits both the shareholder and the company, occasionally used to improve financial ratios.

    • Attractive option for companies with surplus cash.

Dividend Policy

  • The dividend policy of a company is influenced by:

    • Previous dividend policies

    • Market expectations

    • Availability of profits and cash reserves

  • Dividend Yield

    • Formula:
      Dividend Yield=(Dividend per ShareMarket Price per Share)×100%\text{Dividend Yield} = \left(\frac{\text{Dividend per Share}}{\text{Market Price per Share}}\right) \times 100\%

    • Example Calculation:
      Dividend Yield=(12.10p279p)×100%=4.3%\text{Dividend Yield} = \left(\frac{12.10p}{279p}\right) \times 100\% = 4.3\%

  • Dividend Cover

    • Formula:
      Dividend Cover=Profit After Tax and Pref DividendOrdinary Dividend\text{Dividend Cover} = \frac{\text{Profit After Tax and Pref Dividend}}{\text{Ordinary Dividend}}

    • Example Calculation:
      Dividend Cover=1,764852=2.07 times\text{Dividend Cover} = \frac{1,764}{852} = 2.07 \text{ times}

  • Dividend Payout

    • Reflects the portion of profit paid out as dividends.

    • Formula:
      Dividend Payout=Ordinary DividendProfit after Tax less Pref Dividend\text{Dividend Payout} = \frac{\text{Ordinary Dividend}}{\text{Profit after Tax less Pref Dividend}}

    • Example Calculation:
      Dividend Payout=8521,764=0.48 times\text{Dividend Payout} = \frac{852}{1,764} = 0.48 \text{ times}

Share Buybacks

  • Share buybacks are significant for both companies and shareholders.

    • Shareholders receive an immediate cash return.

    • Reduction in the number of shares outstanding can improve financial ratios.

  • Companies necessitate large cash reserves for buybacks, indicating limited investment alternatives or management limitations.

  • Share buybacks should be strategically balanced with capital expenditure (CAPEX).

    • Price/Book (P/B) Ratio can be useful in analysis.

    • Stock Market Valuation:
      Net Assets=19,11011,665=1.64:1\text{Net Assets} = \frac{19,110}{11,665} = 1.64 : 1

Summary of Key Concepts

  • Businesses are compelled to generate returns through:

    • Profits

    • Capital Appreciation

  • Various ratios are developed to assess earnings and the returns associated with investments.

  • Profitability Ratios measure how successfully a firm generates profits.

  • Earnings Ratios evaluate firm performance from the investors' perspective.

  • Return on Equity (ROE) will be revisited in Chapter 17.