Chapter two: Seven Critical Components of Statistical Studies

Component 1: The source of the research and of the funding

  • Funding sources shape interpretation; common sources include governments, private companies, and universities.

  • If funding comes from groups with a vested interest, scrutinize procedures in the other components to ensure sound science.

  • Be aware that private sponsors can influence study design or reporting if not properly controlled.

Component 2: The researchers who had contact with the participants

  • Who interacted with participants can bias responses (interviewer effects, expectations).

  • Blind or double-blind procedures help reduce bias (e.g., inspectors/handlers unaware of group assignment).

  • Examples: biased lab interactions or non-blind taste tests can distort results.

Component 3: The individuals or objects studied and how they were selected

  • Generalizability depends on the study population; often not representative of the broader group.

  • Volunteer/self-selected samples bias results toward those with strong opinions or interest.

  • Sampling issues include who was available, who attended, and how they were recruited.

Component 4: The exact nature of the measurements made or questions asked

  • Precise definitions matter (e.g., what counts as “eat breakfast”).

  • Measurement tools and question wording can bias answers; order effects can matter.

  • Ideally, the exact survey questions should be available for evaluation.

Component 5: The setting in which the measurements were taken

  • Location, timing, and mode of data collection affect results (phone, online, in-person, lab).

  • Timing effects: public events, holidays, or seasonal patterns can shift responses.

  • Lab vs real-world settings can limit external validity.

Component 6: Differences in the groups being compared, in addition to the factor of interest

  • Extraneous differences can confound the observed effect (e.g., weight, motivation, background).

  • Researchers should discuss and, if possible, control for these factors.

  • Uncontrolled confounding can misattribute effects to the factor of interest.

Component 7: The extent or size of any claimed effects or differences

  • Reports often omit the size of effects; practical significance matters.

  • Report actual rates, differences, or effect sizes (e.g., how much one group differs from another).

  • Example framing: a reduction from 1717 to 9.49.4 per 10001000 participants indicates practical impact beyond a binary "effect present" claim.


How to use the Seven Critical Components in reading news stories

  • Use the seven components as a checklist to identify missing or biased information.

  • If any component is weak or missing, treat conclusions with skepticism until clarified.

  • Compare the news story to the original source when possible.

Hypothetical News Article 1: "Study Shows Psychology Majors Are Smarter than Chemistry Majors"

  • Component 1: Funded by a senior-thesis project; minimal funding but potential bias from researcher motives.

  • Component 2: Who interacted with participants unclear; possible bias if participants knew the purpose.

  • Component 3: Sample limited to students present on the day, not necessarily representative; missing non-attendees biases results.

  • Component 4: GPA self-reported; could be inaccurate; GPA not a direct measure of intelligence.

  • Component 5: Timing around a holiday may affect participation; anonymous responses reduce accountability.

  • Component 6: Other differences between groups (e.g., course rigor, selection bias) could explain GPA differences.

  • Component 7: Reported GPAs (e.g., 3.05 vs 2.91) need sample size and variability to judge significance.

Hypothetical News Article 2: "Per Capita Income of U.S. Shrinks Relative to Other Countries"

  • Component 1: Funding source not stated; independent group without transparency raises concern.

  • Component 3: Countries chosen and rationale not provided; selection bias possible.

  • Component 4: Measurements flawed; current exchange rates used with no inflation adjustments; comparability missing.

  • Component 5–7: No meaningful timing or size context given; inflation adjustment needed for valid interpretation.

Hypothetical News Article 3: "Drug to Cure Excessive Barking in Dogs"

  • Component 1: Funding not clearly disclosed; potential industry influence if funded by a drug company.

  • Component 2: Dog-handlers and their interactions not described; could bias outcomes.

  • Component 3: Dogs were volunteers from local area; generalizability limited.

  • Component 4: Group-level measurements (time barking) may be biased by group dynamics; individual measures would be better.

  • Component 5: Measured on weekends in a facility, not in dogs’ natural environment; external validity limited.

  • Component 6: Randomization helps but differences in handling and weekend effects could confound.

  • Component 7: Reported “barked half as much” lacks absolute time without context; need actual times.

Hypothetical News Article 4: "Most Women Unhappy in Their Choice of Husbands"

  • Component 7: Major flaw: volunteer/self-selected sample; 5% response rate; nonresponse bias severe.

  • Component 1–3: Sample not representative of population; survey framed to provoke emotional response.

  • Takeaway: Volunteer samples often misrepresent broader opinions.

Case Study 2.1: Hangovers (News Story vs Original Source)

  • Source and funding: NIH-supported study by a university team; credible backing.

  • Contact with participants: enrolled in psychology courses; likely researcher involvement could influence responses.

  • Sample: 1,230 college students in intro courses; representativeness of all college drinkers questionable.

  • Measurements: 13 symptoms on a 5-point scale plus a hangover count; more detail in the article.

  • Setting: university context; questions may be administered in group settings or online; anonymity impacts honesty.

  • Group differences: gender comparison (Male/Female) and family history; weight and other factors could influence outcomes.

  • Size of effect: simple comparisons insufficient; results improved when accounting for frequency/quantity of drinking.

Planning Your Own Study: Defining Components in Advance (Supermarket Prices)

  • Component 1: Purpose and scope of the study; decide items to measure and stores to compare.

  • Component 2: Who records prices; training and consistency in recording.

  • Component 3: Items selected; representative vs. exhaustively many items; sampling decisions.

  • Component 4: How to measure price (sale vs regular, smallest vs largest size, brand choices).

  • Component 5: Timing of data collection; consider seasonal or promo-driven price changes.

  • Component 6: Differences between item groups or stores beyond price (time, location, convenience).

  • Component 7: Reported difference size; translate into annual savings or practical impact.

Case Study 2.2: Flawed Surveys in the Courtroom

  • Brooks vs Suave: design bias, non-representative sample, track-meet setting, leading questions.

  • Amstar vs Domino’s Pizza: both surveys flawed; sample choice biased (home-based vs outlet-based), city coverage not representative.

  • Lesson: Surveys used in legal cases must have representative sampling and unbiased questions to be persuasive.