Citations Guidelines

  • Citations for the document are provided in various academic formats:
    • Bluebook 21st ed.: Rebecca Lissner & Mira Rapp-Hooper, Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration, 104 FOREIGN AFF. 108 (July/August 2025).
    • ALWD 7th ed.: Rebecca Lissner & Mira Rapp-Hooper, Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration, 104 Foreign Aff. 108 (2025).
    • APA 7th ed.: Lissner, R., & Rapp-Hooper, M. (2025). Absent at the creation?: American strategy and the delusion of post-Trump restoration. Foreign Affairs, 104(4), 108-121.
    • Chicago 17th ed.: Rebecca Lissner; Mira Rapp-Hooper, "Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration," Foreign Affairs 104, no. 4 (July/August 2025): 108-121.
    • McGill Guide 10th ed.: Rebecca Lissner & Mira Rapp-Hooper, "Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration" (2025) 104:4 Foreign Aff 108.
    • AGLC 4th ed.: Rebecca Lissner and Mira Rapp-Hooper, 'Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration' (2025) 104(4) Foreign Affairs 108.
    • MLA 9th ed.: Lissner, Rebecca, and Mira Rapp-Hooper. "Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration." Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 4, July/August 2025, pp. 108-121. HeinOnline.
    • OSCOLA 4th ed.: Rebecca Lissner & Mira Rapp-Hooper, 'Absent at the Creation?: American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration' (2025) 104 Foreign Aff 108.

Authors Background

  • Rebecca Lissner:
    • Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations.
    • Formerly Deputy Assistant to the President and Principal Deputy National Security Adviser to the Vice President during the Biden administration.
  • Mira Rapp-Hooper:
    • A Partner at The Asia Group and Visiting Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution.
    • Former Senior Director for East Asia and Oceania and Director for Indo-Pacific Strategy at the U.S. National Security Council during the Biden administration.
    • Co-author of An Open World: How America Can Win the Contest for Twenty-First-Century Order.

Overview of Trump's Foreign Policy Impact

  • Trump’s first presidency indicated significant shifts in American foreign policy, proposing a possible end to the rules-based international order.
  • Despite initial fears, many international institutions and alliances remained intact during Trump's presidency, showing resilience in American power.
  • The Biden administration successfully rejuvenated traditional elements of U.S. influence, reaffirming alliances, and a commitment to a rules-based international order.
  • However, Trump's potential re-election in 2029 raises concerns about the sustainable restoration of pre-Trump policies.

Trump’s Second Term and Its Implications

  • Trump's reelection implies his first term was not an anomaly, and early actions in his second term may further disrupt global order.
  • The transition to the next administration requires early strategic planning and clarity, avoiding merely reactive strategies to Trump’s policies.
  • The need for a 'zero-based' review of U.S. foreign policy is critical to reset long-held interests and strategies, taking stock of the contemporary geopolitical landscape.

Geopolitical Changes Post-Trump

  • The international landscape has significantly altered under Trump's influence:
    • Increased challenges to the U.S.-led international order.
    • Shift towards a multipolar global reality.
    • Changes to existing power structures necessitate adjustments in U.S. foreign policy.
  • No new president can revert to the familiar policies of the post-Cold War era; a reevaluation is essential to align strategies with current global dynamics.

Biden Administration’s Approach

  • The first two years witnessed a perceived return to normalcy in U.S. foreign policy post-Trump:
    • Successful coordination with NATO allies following Russia’s aggression in Ukraine.
    • Bipartisan support on key foreign policy initiatives, although challenges remained.
    • Lack of significant strategic remaking led to an evolutionary rather than revolutionary change.
  • Despite significant political events (e.g., the Ukraine war), a comprehensive restructuring of U.S. grand strategy was delayed due to ongoing crises.

Trump's Trade Policy and Its Consequences

  • Trump’s protectionist trade policies, such as the introduction of high tariffs, significantly affected U.S. economic relations:
    • Tariffs aimed at China resulted in a trade war, impacting global economic stability.
    • American allies in Asia were also adversely affected by these tariffs, jeopardizing long-standing partnerships.
  • Unpredictable trade policies may inadvertently strengthen competitors and undermine U.S. market leadership.

Call for a Zero-Based Review of Foreign Policy

  • A 'zero-based' approach to foreign policy would acknowledge and prepare for the challenges of the current geopolitical environment, rather than restore previous norms:
    • Must address the technological competition landscape and redefine U.S. interests focused on security and prosperity of its citizens.
    • Should consider the implications of broad geopolitical changes and emphasize strategic alliances based on shared interests rather than traditional value-based agreements.
  • The next administration must take advantage of the unique opportunity to redefine U.S. engagement in a multipolar world rather than revert to old paradigms.