Switch Energy Alliance

  • Norway: Powerplant inside the mountain

    • Energy: Water (99%)

      • How it works: a generator are connected to lakes in the mountains above by a 20 mile underground pipeline network (no huge dams = environmental footprint is tiny)

        • took 70 years

How long will it take to make the switch for the rest of us?

  • the energy to run & make everyday & household appliances, car, heat & cool buildings is 20 000 000 watt hours per 1 person in a year

Energy Transition from coal to electricity

at Belle Ayr Mine, Wyoming, it has the ability to power 3 600 000 per year, in the Power River Basin (largest coal reserve in the world), move 3000 feet a year, coal supplied half of us(and worldwide) primal energy, and there is a lot of coal left (billions of tons in the Basin), 80 000 tonnes per day, and half is from the powder and Wyoming

parish generating station. Texas 900 000 people per year

steps to coal making electricity:

  1. trains unload coal

  2. moving into units making electricity 24h a day

  3. coal coming from coal yard goes through conveyer

  4. coal goes into each corner of the boiler

5. makes a big fire in the boiler

  1. heats up the water inside the boiler

  2. heats up the steam

  3. steam turn the turbine

  4. turbine turns generator

  5. generator makes electricity for Texas

massive global fuel supply + fast simple power generation = cheapest electrcity in the world

  • biggest driving factor is economics

external problems of coal:

  • local air pollution (sulfur)

  • global problem of carbon dioxide

In order to use coal in a sustainale way, then the need to develop & deploy carbon capture & storage technology is crucial

ex: false advertisement of “clean coal”, it uses a lot of money (300 million dollars to get 2% of CO2 at a specific plant, could make coal clena but cant afford to)

Oil: allows us to move

  • impact of oil price on the whole economy: biggest impact (affects global but also individuals)

    • oil & the economy are intertwine

      • 6 of the 7 global recessions were preceded by a spike in the price of oil (driven by supply & demand)

  • future oil supply will come from offshore

    • from Perdido (deepest water plant in the world)

      • powers 1 700 000 people per year

      • 8000 ft of water

        • several billion dollars

      • in terms of accidents: having a remote “help” is important

        • risk will increase = future oil supply will be hard

    • Richmond Refinery plant powers 3 million people per year

      • gasoline is about 50% of what they make

      • jet fuel 20%

      • diesel fuel

        • ships by marketing terminal & pipeline

      • makes 25% of gasoline & 70% of the jet fuel for California

      • 4x the energy density in liquid hydrogen

        • a lot of technical advantages=replacing it will not be easy

    • US consumes 20+ million barrels of oil a day, Richmond only gives out 75k (about 1/30 of daily consumption of crude oil)

      • pop. increase + increase in demand = expensive oil in the future

  • India’s population is growing = demand for energy is also growing

    • oil consumption is rising = population is rising = demand for electricity is rising

      • energy demands in India & China are expected to exceed those in the US & all European countries combined

  • Bottom Line: Carbon emissions(not clean) will soon come from mostly in India, China, & the developing world (oil demand will increase, & so will risk & price), others will develop carbon sequestration but it will be too expensive, not adopt, and will become a point of friction in the future which will not be solved

    • several degrees of Global Warming = learn to live with = no alt. because unless it is cheap & affordable the developing world cannot afford it

  • oil alt = biofuels

    • easiest alt = most similar to petroleum

    • Hybrud sogrum

      • make cellulose - broken down into ethanol

      • use feedstocks, not food (structural material to fuel)

      • productive on farmland & in a warm climate

        • in conditions where theyre not ideal: need to look at overall availbity

    • cellulosic crops looks good - high yield per acre in marginal land& in different climates

      • uses microbes to convert sugars to biofuels

        • but mass producing (in a lab), compared to the real oil it is smaller (only about 25 million a year) - scale

          • biofuels are a good option but biomass wont rpelace petroleum

    • CNGL natural: alt.

      • like in your stove at home

      • run through a compressor

      • pump it to 3800 lbs

        • emissions are very low; clean fuel

          • when it burns, its just carbon dioxide & water vapour

      • actual cost is less; natural fas is cheaper

        • biggest issue: getting into it; needs compressors to compress gas

        • higher capital cost but a lower energy cost

          • but changing all the engies to bus; its a very small portion

            • but if all fleets were to change it, there would be a large impact

              • still not a replcaement for oil

  • Surmont Oil Sands Plant

    • 340 000 people per year

    • 80% of oil sands have to be recovered by thermal or steam methods

      • Natural gas is being burned

      • Boiling some big boilers

      • Keep feeding water in

      • Keep taking steam off

      • Pump steam injection

      • melt oil out of rock

      • results in hot water & mixture

in conclusion: main replacement foi oil will be diff. sources for oil

  • Electricity: alt

    • mor eeffiecient; reason why the change is not fast is because the battery is expensive

      • too heavy & too expensive

      • almost 7000 batteries

        • base price: $909 000

      • advantage: good performanfce vehicle; takes from 0 - 60 in 3.9s, sports is 0 - 60 in 3.7s

        • no noise, no transmission,no gas stations

    • gradual eletrficiation, battery tecnology

      • if not oil; then it will be electricity (20-40% more power)

  • Geothermal:

    • sea level is 10m below, sea water is heated up by steam (200C)hot waters to create steam to feed into the geothermal power plant

    • powers 90k poeple per year

      • Blue Lagoon, hit water in spa comes straght out of power plant

        • but is dependent on geology (places on Earth; specific)

          • desnty of geothermal energyhas a power density that is 10k less than solar energy

  • Solar:

    • popularity has increase in the last 34 years

    • most decisions are based on the econimic reason

    • 80% 20& enviornmental reasons

      • incentive utilityalso get a federal investment fax credit

      • 8-10 tear payback

      • avg. solar array powers just 100.4 people per year

        • will take several years

    • solar is regional; affordable where sun subsides & electric prices are high

    • in a university, there is a shaded paeking where the solar produces about 50% of the campuses peak electricla demand

      • drives economics down much better on a shaded parking lot than a rooftop

        • campus is in along term power purchase agreement that is less thna what theyre buying from the local utility

          • enterwith a financial institiotn that owns the asset

          • workable solution: creative financing & in the right places; high price - low output

          • only 200 per year

          • a solar concentrating solr tower; 1200 solar tower people per year

        • plants are larger- more efficientl uses heat to produce energy (heat inertia) = more stable production

          • powers 16k people a yaer

          • stores heat not electrons w/ solar storing electricity

          • have to be in places that have very claer direct sunshine (not reflected)

  • Wind:

    • Denmark: makes up 20% of electricity

      • produces a lot of power, scalable in size, fast to install, big export commodity

      • 0 to 22%, slowly but surely

      • works for 20 years or more

      • when the wind doesnot blow; generares nothing (intermittent)

        • hard to store electricity

      • onlypowers 340 000 people per year

    • in Texas: roscoe wind farm powers 100 000 people per year

      • 20& of US, would require 200 000 more

      • wind power is best but not many poeple live there

    • in a much bigger scale: problem is who iwll pay for it & scalanility (no one wants a line to go through their 100 year old family ranch)

      • problem: willingess to go property by property with county judges to incite theselines

    • Wind in a Grand Scale:

      • Genreated at exactly the same pace as we use it

        • Wind output doesnt match actual energy usage, because of the intermittent resource, when the demand is going up, the wind is going down that causes us to bring on additional conventional generation that makes the difference between the actual renewables output & what our demand is

  • To fill in the gap because solar & wind is intermittent, natural gas plants

    • can support a growing amount of renewables

    • Technique called Hydrofracking: unlocked a huge unconventonal supply

      • Barnett Shale Natural Gas Field, Texas powers 18 000 000 people per year

        • dont flow easily out of the rock, has to be induced

        • Hydrofrasking:

          • first, drilling a whale

          • pumping down fluids, water, other chemicals, & inducing the rock to break

          • rock breaks → opens up new surface area where the gas can flow out

        • inexpensive & plentiful resouces makes cost not expected to go up in the next few decades

          • problem: fossil fuel & produces carbon dioxide (half as much as coal)

      • water: 3 million gallons for the whole job (for each well)

      • ober 99% of lfuid is just water & sand (but still 15 000 gallons of additives in these wells

        • problem: contamination of water supply

          • no documented case of groundwater contamination

          • not the underground process itself but what happens in the surface

            • risk: not with fracking but with handling waste water

  • Other parts of the world: Conventional natural gas supplies are growing

    • LNG: freeze it then it turns into a liquid so we put it in a ship → move it across the ocean

      • only way they can built economically is to build very large scale plants

        • RasGas LNG Plant, Qatar

          • 18 500 000 people per year

            • To keep the LNG cool in boats, they are put in huge insulation boxes which keeps the temp. inside the tank steady

      • A world market where Natural Gas will be the new oil resulting in more diverse supply

  • Nuclear

    • Comanche Peark Nuclear Power Plant can power 1 000 000 people per year

    • Structires are designed even with tornadoes of 300 miles an hour

    • mg per year for a person

    • run on diesel oil; would run all the equipment necessary to keep protecting the core

    • less fangers of not havibg sufficent energy; ;ess dangerous than coal

      • fuel doesnt cost much

      • 5 or 6 billion (putting money at front)

        • rely on revenue stream from electricity for the next 30 - 40 years

    • System with more nuclear energy: no coal, no oil (France) in about 35 years, footprint of France (minimal & cheap)

      • solution for waste management

        • Recycling (La Hauge Nuclear Recycling Center)

        • powers 17 000 000 people per year

        • 96% of fuel is bein recycled

          • fresh onion (reserve of fresh onion)

            • reduce volumet fo waste & reserve of energy

          • cooling in (forbidden) pool: representing 6 months of oil production

  • Conclusion:

    • Switch needs to happen first

    • Modern economy:

      • OIl transportation

      • Coal

        • Higher price = more oil

        • Reserve is dependent on price

    • Alt:

      • Solar (parking lot)

      • Winf

      • Geothermal

        • scale is a big thing

      • Hydro - works for Norway because of its renewable energy

  • Future:

    • 34%oil today

    • 29& coal

    • 23% naturla gas

    • nuclear 5%

    • hydro 6% decliing

    • biomas/biofuels (wind, heothermal)2%

  • if we combine ofundational fuels, slwoly decline in the future

  • alt: moves up but the change is not big enough for it to be a primary source

  • Combining natural & nuclear gas (sits in the middle = approaching but not the crossover point)

    • until we combine nuclear, natural gas w/ the renerwables

    • 50 years out, not easy

      • 1.7x Gas

      • 2.6x Nuclear

      • Renewables 4.8x

    • How to achieve: energy that we dont use

      • efficiency & changing energy behaviours inflences our energy future

        • world uses 40% of energy in buildings

        • by insultaing your house, there’s a short payback time & reaps greatenergy benefits (check windows & leaks in doors/windows)

  • Important thing:change about how we think about energy, so we can change the way we use it

    • use less; emit less

  • Norway: Powerplant inside the mountain

    • Energy: Water (99%)

    • How it works: generator connected to lakes in the mountains above by a 20 mile underground pipeline network

    • Environmental footprint is tiny due to no huge dams

    • Took 70 years to complete

  • Energy Transition from coal to electricity

    • Belle Ayr Mine, Wyoming has the ability to power 3,600,000 people per year

    • Coal supplied half of US and worldwide primal energy

    • Coal reserves in Power River Basin (largest in the world) are still abundant

    • Steps to coal making electricity: trains unload coal, coal goes through conveyer, coal goes into boiler, fire heats up water and steam, steam turns turbine, turbine turns generator, generator makes electricity

  • Oil

    • Impact of oil price on the economy: biggest impact, 6 out of 7 global recessions were preceded by a spike in oil price

    • Future oil supply will come from offshore, such as Perdido (deepest water plant in the world)

    • Accidents and risk will increase as oil supply becomes harder to obtain

  • Alternatives to oil

    • Biofuels: easiest alternative, similar to petroleum, can be made from cellulose

    • Natural gas: clean fuel, emissions are low, cheaper than oil

    • Hydrofracking: unlocks unconventional natural gas supply, inexpensive and plentiful, produces less carbon dioxide than coal

  • Other energy sources

    • Geothermal: dependent on specific geology, powers 90,000 people per year in Iceland

    • Solar: increasing in popularity, economic incentives, regional affordability, can power 100.4 people per year on average

    • Wind: scalable, fast to install, intermittent, can power 340,000 people per year in Texas

    • Nuclear: Comanche Peak Nuclear Power Plant can power 1,000,000 people per year, less dangerous than coal, waste management through recycling

  • Achieving energy transition

    • Focus on energy efficiency and changing energy behaviors

    • Insulating buildings for energy benefits

    • Changing mindset about energy usage and emitting less