Study Notes on the Great Recession

What Happened During the Great Recession?

Oregon State University

Learning Outcomes

  • Recall explanations for why the Great Recession occurred.

  • Identify consequences of the Great Recession, particularly among individuals and families living in poverty.

  • Discuss how larger economic factors such as the Great Recession make it difficult for families to stay out of poverty.

What was the Great Recession?

  • The Great Recession refers to a serious economic downturn, specifically occurring from 2007 to 2009. It was closely related to the U.S. housing market collapse and the global financial crisis.

  • Significance:

    • It was identified as the longest recession since the Great Depression.

  • Economic Indicators:

    • GDP fell by 4.3%.

    • Unemployment rose to 10%.

    • The U.S. labor market lost 8.4 million jobs.

    • Home prices fell by 30%.

    • The S&P 500 index declined by 57%.

    • The net worth of U.S. households and nonprofit organizations decreased from $69 trillion to $55 trillion.

Causes of the Great Recession

  • Main factors leading to the Great Recession:

    • Housing bubble burst

    • Financial market chaos

    • An almost complete economic meltdown.

    • This information is corroborated by the History Channel.

Structural Causes

Rising Inequality

  • Relative poverty matters; Americans were striving to keep pace with the consumption patterns of wealthier individuals whose incomes grew significantly.

  • Noteworthy statistics and societal changes:

    • House size grew by 15%, averaging 2,227 square feet from 1997 to 2007.

    • There was a remarkable trend toward luxurious home features such as impressive foyers, granite countertops, and raised ceilings.

    • Home renovations also saw a surge during this boom.

Loosening of Bank Lending Rules

  • Deregulation of banks in the 1980s led to structural changes in the banking system.

    • Merging of commercial and investment banks rendered banks more divergent in their operations.

    • Banks offering home loans engaged in riskier investment practices, including:

    • Expansion into higher risk loans with higher interest payments.

  • An important trend was Mortgage Securitization, which allowed banks to bundle various mortgage loans into securities for investors.

  • Lack of Regulatory Oversight allowed for riskier practices.

  • The subprime lending market's increase resulted in average housing prices soaring by 60% from 1997 to 2006.

Increased Consumer Debt

  • A contributing factor was the low interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve.

  • These low rates made purchasing homes appear more affordable, as monthly payments were lower.

  • However, many subprime loans featured low initial payments that then transitioned into ballooning payments after a few years, leading to confusion among borrowers.

  • As homes were frequently overpriced and the demand faded, the following repercussions occurred:

    • An increase in mortgage defaults.

    • Financial institutions began failing, creating a widespread panic in the economy.

  • Responses included:

    • Congressional bailout programs such as:

    • Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).

    • American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.

Effects of Recession on Poverty

  • A 22% increase in poverty was observed from 2006 to 2011.

  • Temporary Government Actions to aid affected individuals included:

    • Expansions of the Earned Income Tax Credit.

    • Expansion of the Child Tax Credit.

    • Making Work Pay Tax Credit.

    • Increased duration & level of unemployment insurance.

    • Expansion of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP).

  • The effectiveness of these programs was evidenced by positive outcomes in alleviating the impacts of the recession on poverty levels.