Campaigns, Elections, and Voting: Detailed Notes - CHAPTER 9
The Importance of Fair, Independent Elections
- National sovereignty is vital; nations should have self-rule without outside interference.
- Throughout U.S. history, there have been efforts to influence American voting behavior by individuals, organizations, and campaigns.
Why Election Meddling Matters
- In 2017, a report confirmed that the Russian government conducted a campaign to influence the 2016 presidential election, achieved through social media, including over 677,775 Twitter posts.
- Evidence suggests continued Russian interference in U.S. elections, necessitating concern about election integrity.
Political Participation as an Expression of the Will of the People
- Campaigns, elections, and voting are fundamental to civic engagement.
- Electoral participation is a crucial area of civic participation.
Today’s Fight over Voter Access
- Claims have emerged regarding voter suppression efforts amid the COVID-19 pandemic, with similar issues noted in 2022.
- Contentions between Democrats and Republicans enhance the debate on voter access.
The Act of Voting
- Voting begins when a voter registers, requiring adherence to varying state laws.
- The Australian ballot allows secret voting and unbiased counting by officials.
The 2000 Election and Its Impact
- Controversy surrounded the Florida voting process in the 2000 presidential election.
- The Supreme Court's ruling led to policy changes, including the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) of 2002, allocating $650 million to modernize voting systems.
- By 2020, some states were using electronic voting without paper backups.
Types of Ballots
- Party-column ballot: Organizes candidates by party, encouraging party-line voting.
- Office-block ballot: Arranges candidates by office, promoting ticket splitting.
Voting by Mail
- Historically limited to those unable to vote in person, voting by mail expanded due to COVID-19.
- States like Oregon and Colorado now provide automatic mail ballots to all voters.
Running for Office: The Choice to Run
- Motivations for candidacy include civic responsibility, party loyalty, social recognition, personal goals, and interest in electoral politics.
- U.S. Constitution outlines minimum criteria for federal office holders:
- President: natural born citizen, 35 years old, resident for 14 years.
- Vice President: natural born citizen, 35, not a resident of the president's state.
- Senator: citizen for 9 years, 30 years old, state resident.
- Representative: citizen for 7 years, 25 years old, state resident.
- Candidates for federal office often expected to have higher qualifications than local or state candidates, such as office holding experience, education, and strong communications skills.
Elections in the United States
- States hold at least two types of elections:
- Primary Elections: Determine party nominees; some use caucuses.
- General Elections: Nominees compete; the person with the most votes wins.
Deciding the Nomination: Caucuses and Primaries
- Voting processes vary by state, focusing on delegate selection rather than direct candidate votes.
- Reforms post-1968 Democratic Convention increased influence of voters in party nominations.
Types of Primary Elections
- Open primary: Any registered voter can participate.
- Closed primary: Only party members can vote in their party's primary.
Presidential Primaries
- Timing of primaries affects influence on candidate outcomes; early primaries have more sway.
- Super Tuesday: A significant day for many primaries in early March.
General Elections
- Held on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
- Most follow a winner-take-all approach, with runoffs as needed when no majority is achieved.
Referendum, Initiative, and Recall
- Referendum: Voters can endorse or oppose proposed measures from the legislature.
- Initiative: Citizen-driven proposals for legislation or constitutional amendments.
- Recall election: Allows voters to remove an officeholder before term completion.
The Nature of Political Campaigns Today
- Campaigns have shifted due to professionalization of staff, media expansion, and evolving campaign finance laws.
The Professionalization of Political Campaigns
- Rise of campaign consultants specializing in different aspects of campaign management, including strategy and finance.
- Media's expanded role provides unprecedented access to information, posing a challenge for responsible information consumption by citizens.
Revolutionizing the Campaign: New Technologies
- Technologies like social media, podcasts, and online forums allow candidates to reach voters directly and in real time.
Presidential Campaigns
- Campaigns offer extensive opportunities for public engagement and participation in the electoral process.
Party Conventions and the General Election Campaign
- Conventions finalize party nominees, usually determined by primary voting long before the convention.
The Electoral College
- Comprises 538 electors, requiring 270 electoral votes for a presidential candidate to win.
Who Votes? Factors in Voter Participation
- Factors influencing participation include education, age, race/ethnicity, income, and competitiveness of the race.
Education Level—The Number One Predictor of Voting
- Higher education correlates with increased likelihood of voting, with significant gaps between different education levels.
The Age Factor
- Younger adults historically vote less than older adults, although turnout has increased recently among younger voters.
Race, Ethnicity, and Voter Participation
- African American and Latino voter turnout was pivotal in 2020; previous elections showed varied turnout levels.
Income—A Reliable Predictor of Voting
- Higher income correlates with increased voter turnout; low-income individuals generally vote at much lower rates compared to high-income individuals.
Party Competitiveness and Voter Turnout
- Competitive races often lead to increased voter turnout due to perceived higher efficacy and media attention.
How Voters Decide
- Voters may use prospective voting (future policies) or retrospective voting (past performance of incumbents) to make decisions at the polls.
Major Factors in Voter Decision Making
- Salient issues are critical for voter alignment with candidates; incumbency provides an advantage due to familiarity.
Campaign Influences on Voter Choice
- Campaign dynamics have evolved with reliance on professionals and media; negative campaigning affects partisan judgment and turnout.
Why Some People Do Not Vote
- Factors include lack of efficacy, voter fatigue from extended campaigns, and structural barriers in voting regulations.
Lack of Efficacy
- Many citizens feel their voices don't matter in the political process, which can suppress voter turnout.
Voter Fatigue and Negative Campaigns
- Long campaigns and negative advertising contribute to voter disenchantment and apathy.
The Structure of Elections
- Complex registration processes and frequent elections deter participation; reforms like the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 aim to simplify registration.
Rational Choice Theory
- Some individuals assess the costs vs. benefits of voting; when the costs exceed perceived benefits, participation declines.
The Consequences of Nonvoting
- Nonvoting reflects a lack of civic engagement and can skew election outcomes; debates persist about its implications for democracy.
Money and Politics
- Money plays a critical role in campaigns. PACs are limited in contributions, while super PACs can raise unlimited funds independently from candidates after Citizens United case.
Early Efforts to Regulate Campaign Finance
- Historical laws like the Federal Election Campaign Act aimed to curb corruption by limiting contributions and increasing accountability.
The Court Weighs In: Money = Speech
- The 1976 Supreme Court ruling allowed unlimited personal campaign spending as protected speech, correlating with a rise in PACs.
- Passed to restrict soft money contributions, although subsequent court rulings altered these regulations significantly.
The Court Weighs In (Again): The Birth of Super PACs
- Citizens United v. FEC (2010) recognized corporations' rights to political speech, leading to the proliferation of super PACs.
Super PACs and Independent Expenditures
- Super PACs can spend unlimited amounts on campaigns but must operate independently from candidates.
Contribution Limitations by Donor and Campaign Recipients
- Defined limits on contributions per election cycle differ for individuals, PACs, and party committees, affecting campaign finance dynamics.
Circumventing the Rules: Dark Money, 527s, and 501(c)(4)s
- New forms of political entities exploit loopholes in campaign finance regulation, often escaping stringent oversight.
Review 1
- The shift from party-dominated campaigns to candidate-centered campaigns reflects changing voter engagement methods and new voting laws.
Review 2
- Key questions arise on how to ensure electoral integrity, adapt to new technologies, and improve voter participation amidst evolving laws.