Normal Probability Distributions Notes
Introduction to Normal Distributions
- A continuous random variable has infinite possible values represented by an interval on the number line.
- The probability distribution for a continuous random variable is known as a continuous probability distribution.
- The normal distribution is the most important continuous probability distribution in statistics, characterized by its normal curve.
Properties of Normal Distributions
- Mean, Median, and Mode are equal.
- The normal curve is bell-shaped and symmetric about the mean.
- The total area under the curve equals 1.
- The normal curve approaches the x-axis but never touches it as it extends away from the mean.
- The graph curves downward between µ−σ and µ+σ and curves upward outside this interval, while the points where the curve changes from upward to downward are called inflection points.
- The normal curve can be represented by the equation:
y = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{1}{2} \left( \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \right)^2}
Means and Standard Deviations
- A normal distribution can have any mean (µ) and any positive standard deviation (σ).
- The standard deviation describes how spread out the data is.
- Example:
- For two curves:
- Curve A has symmetry at x = 5.
- Curve B has symmetry at x = 9.
- Conclusion: Curve B has a greater mean and is more spread out, giving it a larger standard deviation.
Standard Normal Distribution
- The standard normal distribution has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.
- To transform a value to a z-score, use:
z = \frac{Value - Mean}{Standard\ Deviation} = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} - After converting to a z-score, utilize the Standard Normal Table to find cumulative area under the curve.
Properties of the Standard Normal Distribution
- Cumulative area is close to 0 for z-scores near z = -3.49.
- Cumulative area increases as z-scores climb.
- Cumulative area for z = 0 is 0.5000.
- Cumulative area is close to 1 for z-scores near z = 3.49.
Finding Areas Under the Standard Normal Curve
Guidelines:
- Sketch the standard normal curve and shade relevant areas.
- To find area:
- (a) Left of z: use Standard Normal Table.
- (b) Right of z: find corresponding area and subtract from 1.
- (c) Between two z-scores: calculate both areas and subtract smaller from larger.
Examples:
- Find Area Left of z = -2.33: Area = 0.0099.
- Find Area Right of z = 0.94: Area = 0.1736.
- Find Area Between z = -1.98 and z = 1.07: Area = 0.8338.
Probability and Normal Distributions
- Using normal distribution, the probability that x falls within a specified interval corresponds to the area under the normal curve for that interval.
- Example:
- Test average = 78, standard deviation = 8. Find probability that a score is < 90:
z = \frac{90 - 78}{8} = 1.5
ightarrow P(x < 90) = P(z < 1.5) = 0.9332.
Finding z-scores
- Find the cumulative area that corresponds to a specific z-score.
- Example: Cumulative area of 0.9973 corresponds to a z-score of 2.78.
- For area 0.4170, the z-score is -0.21.
- To retrieve a data value x from a z-score:
x = µ + zσ - Example: Monthly electric bill mean = 120, standard deviation = 16, find x for z = 1.60:
- x = 120 + 1.60 * 16 = 145.6.
Sampling Distributions and Central Limit Theorem
- Sampling Distributions: Formed when samples of size n are drawn repeatedly from a population.
- Properties:
- Mean of sample means µ_{\overline{x}} = µ.
- Standard deviation of sample means σ_{\overline{x}} = \frac{σ}{\sqrt{n}}.
- Standard deviation is termed standard error of the mean.
- Central Limit Theorem: For n ≥ 30, sample means will follow a normal distribution regardless of population shape.
- Example: For 38 bushes with heights mean = 8 feet and standard deviation = 0.7 feet:
- Determine mean and standard error:
- µ_{\overline{x}} = µ = 8
- σ_{\overline{x}} = \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{38}} = 0.11.
Normal Approximations to Binomial Distributions
- The normal distribution approximates the binomial distribution when both np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5.
- Example: For the probability of students attending college, compute the mean and standard deviation to ensure criteria are met.
- Correction for continuity may be necessary when approximating, adjusting binomial to continuous intervals.
- Example: For probability ranges, modify them to include continuity by adding/subtracting 0.5.