Third Parties in the U.S. Political Process
Third Parties in the U.S. Political Process
Dominance of Two Parties
- Despite the existence of numerous political parties in the U.S., only two parties, the Democrats and Republicans, have dominated the political landscape since the mid-1800s.
Third Parties
- Active third parties in the United States include:
- Green Party
- Reform Party
- Libertarian Party (the oldest)
- Constitution Party (formerly the American Taxpayers Party)
- Natural Law Party
- All of these parties have fielded presidential candidates in recent elections.
- Ralph Nader:
- Independent candidate in 2004.
- Two-time presidential nominee of the Green Party.
- In 2000, as the Green Party candidate, he received over 2 million votes.
- Democrats blamed Nader for Al Gore’s defeat in 2000, accusing him of siphoning off votes.
- Green Party Platform: Focuses on the environment.
- Libertarian Party: Advocates for a reduced role of government, with the government serving primarily to protect citizens.
- No Libertarian candidate has become president, but some members hold elected offices at the state and local levels.
- Constitution Party: Advocates for a strict interpretation of the Constitution and greater power for states and localities.
- Howard Phillips, a popular candidate, ran in 1992 but received less than 1% of the vote.
Third Parties’ Success & Influence
- Reform Party: The most successful third party in a single election.
- In 1992, nominated Ross Perot, a Texas billionaire, as its candidate for president.
- Perot advocated reducing the federal budget deficit, which became a major issue in subsequent presidential campaigns.
- Perot received 19% of the vote.
- Historian Michael Beschloss noted that Perot was the first candidate to highlight the deficit as a significant problem, influencing Bill Clinton's policy.
- Despite their minor presence in Congress, third parties have significantly influenced U.S. policy and political debate.
- Currently, there is only one independent U.S. senator and one member of the House of Representatives.
- In the late 1800s and early 1900s, the Socialists:
- Popularized the women’s suffrage movement.
- Advocated for child labor laws in 1904.
- Along with the Populist Party, introduced the idea of a 40-hour work week, leading to the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938.
- Sean Wilentz (Director of American studies program at Princeton University):
- Third parties act as a "gadfly."
- They address issues neglected or excluded from national debate by the major parties, such as slavery.
- Third parties raise issues that no one wants to address, changing the political debate and policy, but they often disappear as a political force.
Obstacles Third Parties Face
- No third-party candidate has been elected president since Abraham Lincoln in 1860 (Republican Party beat the Whigs and Democrats on an anti-slavery platform).
- Voters often perceive a vote for a third-party candidate as "wasted" because they are unlikely to win.
- Third parties often organize around a single personality or issue, which can limit their popularity.
- Winner-Take-All System: The presidential candidate with the highest percentage of votes in most states receives all of the state’s electoral votes.
- John F. Bibby (University of Wisconsin professor):
- There is no reward for second place.
- The incentive is to form broad-based parties with a chance to win in the Electoral College.
- Cited Ross Perot in 1992, who had widespread appeal but not enough to win a state completely.
- Third party candidates face disadvantages due to:
- Federal campaign finance laws
- Rules dictating who can enter presidential debates
- Lack of media attention
- Significant paperwork requirements to become a viable candidate
- Ralph Nader had to collect 1.5 million signatures to appear on the ballot in 2004.
- Campaign finance rules require a party to receive a certain percentage of votes from the previous election to get government funding.
- Third-party candidates often have to fund their own campaigns and find other means of exposure to raise money.
Two-Party System
- Political analyst and comedian Bill Maher criticized the limited choices in the U.S. presidential elections.
- Some argue that the two-party system promotes stability by avoiding a more divided government.
- Sean Wilentz:
- The U.S. Constitution was written before parties existed, and the framers distrusted parties.
- The system encourages coalitions, which tend to be two in number.
- Democrats and Republicans represent contrasting ideas about politics and policy.
- Republicans are generally conservative, while Democrats are generally liberal.
- John F. Bibby:
- Most Americans are relatively moderate and comfortable within a system where one party is slightly to the right and the other slightly to the left.
Third Party Impact - 2016 Election
- Unique opportunity for independent and third-party candidates to gain popularity due to unpopular major-party candidates (Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton).
- Nearly 20% of poll respondents were not supporting either major-party candidate.
- Some polls suggested that the 2016 Libertarian nominee, Gary Johnson, might win a significant share of the vote.
- Johnson could participate in presidential debates if he reached at least 15% in five national public opinion polls and met other criteria set by the Commission on Presidential Debates.
- The biggest threat to major-party candidates is in battleground states, where Democrats and Republicans have small margins.
- A third party could change the state’s winner by gaining enough votes (that would have otherwise gone to a major party).
- In the 2012 election, Florida was the closest state, with the Democrats' margin of victory less than 1 percentage point.
- A third party could determine the outcome by claiming only a small share of the vote.
Historical Third Party Influence
- History lacks examples of third-party candidates succeeding.
- The most likely scenario for a third party influencing the election is by upsetting a close race, most likely in Florida.
- In the 2012 election, Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney in Florida by just over 74,000 votes.
- Gary Johnson won nearly 45,000 votes in the state.
- In the 2000 election, Ralph Nader (Green Party) may have influenced the Florida outcome.
- George Bush's winning margin over Al Gore was smaller than the number of votes Nader received.
- Bush won the popular vote in Florida, gaining the state's 25 electoral votes, which were crucial to reaching the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.
- The idea of voting for third parties is more appealing than the act itself.
- In 2012, 40% of people polled said they would consider voting for a third-party candidate, but only 1.8% actually voted that way.
Libertarian and Green Party Success
- At a national level, the Libertarians and Greens have not had much success.
- The Libertarian Party has been on the ballot each presidential election since 1972, and the Green Party since 1996.
- At best, the Libertarians won 1.1% of the national popular vote (1980), and the Greens won 2.7% (2000).
- At a state level, the Libertarians have gained higher levels of support out west.
- They reached 11.7% in Alaska during the 1980 general election.
- Colorado and New Mexico (battleground states) are states to watch.