Macroeconomics: Chapter 2 - GDP and CPI: Tracking the Macroeconomy (Part 1)

Macroeconomics: Chapter 2 - GDP and CPI: Tracking the Macroeconomy (Part 1)

Course Contents

  • Chapter 1: Macroeconomics: The Big Picture

  • Chapter 2: GDP and CPI: Tracking the Macroeconomy

  • Chapter 3: The Goods Market

  • Chapter 4: Money and the Banking System

  • Chapter 5: The IS-LM Model

  • Chapter 6: The Foreign Exchange Market

  • Chapter 7: The AD-AS Model

Chapter Outline

  1. The Economic Circuit

  2. Three Methods for Calculating GDP

  3. GDP versus GNI

  4. Nominal versus Real GDP

  5. The GDP Deflator

  6. Business Cycles and Potential GDP

  7. The Merits and Limitations of GDP

  8. The Causes and Consequences of Inflation

  9. CPI as a Measure of Inflation

Learning Objectives

  • Economic Agents: Understand what economic agents constitute an economy and the types of markets they interact on.

  • GDP Measurement: Learn what Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is and how it is measured.

  • GNI Derivation: Explore how Gross National Income (GNI) is derived from GDP.

  • Nominal vs Real GDP: Distinguish between nominal and real GDP.

  • Business Cycles: Define what a business cycle is.

  • Limits of GDP: Discuss the limits of GDP and potential ways to overcome them.

  • Inflation Causes and Consequences: Examine the causes and consequences of inflation, as well as how it is measured.

The Economic Circuit

Overview of the Economic System
  • Economic Agents: Four types - Government, Households, Firms, Rest of World.

  • Types of Markets: Three types present - Goods and Services, Factor, and Financial markets.

  • Monetary Flows: Arrows in the economic circuit diagram show the direction of monetary flows between these agents.

Monetary Flows by Market Type
  • Goods and Services Market: Monetary flows correspond to goods and services purchased.

  • Factor Markets: Monetary flows correspond to the production services provided by factors of production (labor, capital, land).

  • Financial Markets: Monetary flows result in the exchange of financial securities.

Real vs Financial Side of the Economy
  • Real Side: Monetary flows in goods and services and factor markets that relate to the production and sale of goods and services, essential for GDP measurement.

  • Financial Side: Flows through financial markets concerning the purchase/sale of financial securities.

Key Definitions
  • Total Expenditure:

    • GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)

    • Where:

    • C = Consumer spending

    • I = Investment spending

    • G = Government purchases of goods and services

    • X = Exports

    • M = Imports

  • Total Factor Income:

    • GDP = W + F + i

    • Where:

    • W = Wages

    • π = Profits

    • i = Interest + Rents

Summary of GDP Equivalence
  • At the macroeconomic level, the identity is: Expenditure = Income = Production

    • Reflection of fundamental differences with microeconomics.

Three Methods for Calculating GDP

Definition of GDP
  • GDP: The value at market prices of all final goods and services produced within an economy over a specific time period.

    • Final Goods and Services: Includes consumer goods and investment goods.

    • Domestic: Accounts for G&S produced in the country, irrespective of the producers' nationality.

    • Gross: Includes depreciation of productive capital.

    • Gross Investment: I = ext{Net Investment} + ext{Replacement Investment}

Measurement Approaches
  • National Accounts: Measure GDP using three methods:

    1. Production (or Added Value) Method

    2. Income Method

    3. Expenditure Method

  • Theoretical Equivalence: All three methods should yield the same result; however, in practice, complexities arise as GDP is a statistical measure.

Production Method
  • Formula:

    • GDP = ext{Sum of Added Values}

  • Definition of Added Value: Increase in product value due to the production process.

    • Computed by:

    • ext{Added Value} = ext{Production Value} - ext{Intermediate Consumptions}

    • Importance of Deduction: To avoid double-counting, intermediate consumption must be deducted.

Income Method
  • Involves summing all income distributed to factors of production:

    • Labour Income: Includes wages, bonuses, self-employment income.

    • Capital Income: Includes interest, dividends, rents.

Expenditure Method
  • Aggregates components as follows:

    • Components:

    • Consumption (C)

    • Investment (I)

    • Government Expenditure (G)

    • Net Exports (X - M)

  • Identity Relation:

    • Y ext{ (National Income)}
      eq C + I + G + (X - M)

Special Considerations in Calculating GDP

  • Exclusion of Used Goods Sales: Do not count as they add no new value to the economy—pure asset transfer.

  • Non-Monetized Domestic Work: Activities like cleaning and lawn mowing are not included in GDP calculations.

  • Inventories Handling:

    • Perishable Goods: Not included in GDP to avoid reflecting wasted resources.

    • Building Inventories for Sale: Included as it reflects production effort and investment.

GDP versus GNI

Definitions
  • Gross Domestic Income (GDI): Measures GDP via the income method.

    • GDI = GDP = ext{sum of all income for production on the territory}

  • Gross National Income (GNI): Sum of all income received by residents.

    • GNI = GDP - ext{income paid to non-residents} + ext{income received from abroad by residents}

Example of Income Differentiation
  • E.g., wage received from a job in Switzerland by a resident of France counts as GNI while dividends from a Swiss company to a foreign investor are counted as part of the review of GDP vs. GNI distinctions.

Comparison of GDP and GNI
  • In Switzerland, GDP and GNI values are nearly comparable, analysed in millions of CHF.

Next Steps

  • Continue onto the remainder of the chapter to deepen understanding of:

    1. GDP versus GNI

    2. Nominal versus Real GDP

    3. The GDP Deflator

    4. Business Cycles and Potential GDP

    5. The Merits and Limitations of GDP

    6. The Causes and Consequences of Inflation

    7. CPI as a Measure of Inflation