Money, Banks & Central Banks

Money, Banks & Central Banks

Outline

  • Introduction

  • What is Money and Why Do We Use It?

  • The Federal Reserve System

  • Measuring the Money Supply

  • The Money Supply Process

  • Bank Runs and the Money Supply

Introduction

  • This lecture covers the following topics:

    • Money

    • Central banks

    • The money supply process

  • In the long run, central bank monetary policy largely determines the rate of inflation.

  • In the short run, monetary policy can influence the level of economic activity.

What is Money?

  • Income:

    • The flow of payments to factors of production.

  • Wealth:

    • The value of a set of assets.

  • Money:

    • An asset widely accepted as a means of payment.

    • Money is one form of wealth.

Why Do People Use Money?

  • Question: Is money a good way to hold wealth?

    • Answer: No! Money is a dominated asset.

    • Definition of Dominated Asset:

    • A dominated asset pays a lower rate of return than another asset under all circumstances.

  • Reason for Holding Money:

    • People hold money because it makes conducting transactions easier.

    • Put another way, money is the most liquid asset in the economy.

Liquidity

  • Definition:

    • Liquidity is the ease with which an asset can be converted into money.

  • Ranking by Liquidity:

    1. Money:

    • It is already money.

    1. Stocks and Bonds:

    • Can be sold quickly and at low cost.

    1. Houses, Art, Collectibles:

    • Selling may take time and involve significant costs.

One Alternative to Using Money: Barter

  • Definition:

    • Barter is the exchange of one good or service for another.

  • Problem with Barter:

    • Transactions require a double coincidence of wants—an unlikely occurrence that two people each have a good the other wants.

  • Advantage of Money:

    • Money allows trades to be conducted at lower cost.

Functions of Money

  • Means of Payment:

    • Anything acceptable as payment for goods and services.

  • Unit of Account:

    • A common unit for measuring how much something is worth.

  • Store of Value:

    • A form in which wealth can be stored.

    • If money were not a store of value, people would be reluctant to hold it.

Types of Money

  • Commodity Money:

    • A type of money that has intrinsic value (e.g., gold or silver coins).

  • Redeemable Paper Currency:

    • Such a bill could be redeemed for gold or silver coins; the amount is determined by the note’s value.

  • Fiat Money:

    • Money without intrinsic value that serves as a means of payment by government decree.

    • If a government declares its notes or coins legal tender, they must be accepted in payment.

Central Banks

  • Focus:

    • The Federal Reserve System.

  • Definition of a Central Bank:

    • A nation’s principal monetary authority.

  • Money Supply:

    • The quantity of money available in the economy.

  • Monetary Policy:

    • The setting of the money supply or interest rates by policymakers in the central bank.

The Federal Reserve System

  • Board of Governors:

    • 7 Governors appointed by the president, confirmed by the Senate, appointed for 14-year terms.

    • The Chair is selected from the 7 Governors for a 4-year term.

    • Currently, Jerome Powell serves as Chair.

  • Structure:

    • The Federal Reserve System is made up of 12 Districts & Reserve Banks.

    • Example of Districts:

    • San Francisco, New York, Chicago, Boston, etc.

  • Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC):

    • Comprised of the 7 Governors and the New York Federal Reserve Bank president, along with 4 other Federal Reserve Bank presidents on a rotating basis.

    • The FOMC meets about 8 times a year to set monetary policy.

Functions of the Federal Reserve System

  • Supervising and Regulating Banks:

  • Acting as a “Banker’s Bank.”

  • Issuing Paper Currency:

  • Check Clearing:

  • Conducting Monetary Policy:

The Fed vs. the Treasury

  • Federal Reserve System (Fed):

    • Manages the money supply.

  • Treasury Department:

    • Makes sure the federal government can pay its bills.

    • If there is a deficit, it will raise money by borrowing (selling bonds).

    • Its activities do not affect the money supply.

The Money Supply Process

  • Monetary Aggregates (as of August 2024):

    • M1 Total: $18,117.5 Billion

    • Currency in the hands of the public (C): $2,262.5 Billion

    • Demand deposits of the banking system (D): $5,301.3 Billion

    • Other liquid deposits (D): $10,553.7 Billion

    • Note: Other liquid deposits include savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts).

Money Supply (M1) vs. Monetary Base (B)

  • Focus on M1 (M).

  • The Fed does not completely control M1.

  • The monetary base (B) is defined as:

    • B = C + R where:

    • C = Currency in the hands of the public

    • R = Reserves of the banking system

  • Money supply (M) is defined as:

    • M = C + D

A Sample Bank Balance Sheet

  • Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity:

    • Total Assets: $1,000 million

  • Assets Breakdown:

    • Property and Buildings: $40 million

    • Checking Account: $600 million

    • Government and Corporate Bonds: $100 million

    • Other Deposits: $200 million

    • Loans: $800 million

    • Bank Borrowing: $75 million

    • Cash in Vault and ATMs: $10 million

    • In Accounts with Federal Reserve: $50 million

  • Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity:

    • $1,000 million

Bank T-Account

  • Bank T-Account Example:

    • Assets:

    • Reserves: $10

    • Loans: $90

    • Liabilities:

    • Deposits: $100

  • Definition of a T-account:

    • A simplified accounting statement that shows a bank’s assets and liabilities.

    • Assets: Represents the value of things the bank owns.

    • Liabilities: The bank’s debts, i.e., what it owes.

    • Double-entry bookkeeping: Assets and liabilities must always be equal.

The Fed and the Money Supply

  • The money supply process involves:

    • The Fed changes the monetary base.

    • The banking system decides what fraction of deposits to hold as reserves.

    • Individuals decide how much of their money to hold as currency vs. deposits.

Scenarios Exploring the Money Supply

1. No Banking System
  • The public holds the $100 as currency:

    • C = 100, D = 0, R = 0.

    • Monetary base (B) = C + R = 100 + 0 = 100.

    • Money supply (M) = C + D = 100 + 0 = 100.

    • Conclusion: If there is no banking system, M = B.

2. 100% Reserve Banking
  • The public deposits the $100 at First Bank.

  • First Bank holds 100% reserves against deposits:

    • C = 0, R = 100.

    • Monetary base (B) = C + R = 0 + 100 = 100.

    • Money supply (M) = C + D = 0 + 100 = 100.

    • Conclusion: If banks don’t make any loans, M = B.

3. Fractional Reserve Banking
  • In fractional reserve banking, banks hold a fraction of deposits as reserves and lend out the rest.

    • Total reserves (R):

    • Required reserves + Excess reserves.

    • The Reserve Ratio (RR):

    • RR = rac{R}{D}

    • Includes required reserves ratio (RRR, set by the Fed) and excess reserve ratio (ERR, set by banks).

Assume RD = 10% for All Banks
  • The public deposits the $100 at First Bank:

    • Outcomes:

    • M = 190

    • Depositors have $100 in deposits (D).

    • Borrowers have $90 in currency (C).

    • First Bank Assets Breakdown:

    • Reserves: $10

    • Loans: $90

Money Creation through Fractional Reserve Banking
  • The borrowers spend the $90, and the payees deposit it in Second Bank.

    • This increases the money supply (M) by further $81

    • Second Bank Assets Breakdown:

      • Reserves: $9

      • Deposits: $90

      • Loans: $81

  • Continued process:

    • The same applies to the Third Bank, further increasing M by $72.90.

Simple M1 Money Multiplier (m)
  • Definition:

    • The amount of money (M) the banking system generates with each dollar of reserves (R).

  • Formula:

    • M = ext{(1 - RR)^n} imes B

  • This process continues recursively as illustrated across banks, generating a multiplier effect on the money supply.

Using the Money Multiplier

  • The money multiplier (m) can be used to find the money supply (M) or the change in the money supply (ΔM).

  • Example Calculation for $100 Base:

    • M = m imes B = 100 imes 10 = 1,000

  • Change in Monetary Base:

    • If ΔB = 5, ΔM = m imes ΔB = 5 imes 10 = 50

Fed Tools of Monetary Control

  • The Fed has 4 tools to influence the money supply:

    1. Open market operations

    2. The discount rate

    3. Reserve requirements

    4. Interest rate paid on bank reserves deposited with the Fed

  • Tools 1 & 2 work by altering the monetary base (B), while tools 3 & 4 change the money multiplier (m).

Open Market Operations
  • Definition:

    • Purchases or sales of government bonds by the Fed.

  • Effects:

    • Open market purchase increases B, while open market sale decreases it.

Discount Loans
  • Definition:

    • A discount loan is money loaned from the Fed to a bank.

The Discount Rate
  • Definition:

    • The discount rate is the interest rate the Fed charges on its loans to banks.

  • Effects on Money Supply:

    • To increase the money supply, the Fed lowers the discount rate, encouraging banks to borrow more.

    • To decrease the money supply, the Fed raises the discount rate, discouraging bank borrowing.

Reserve Requirements
  • Definition:

    • Required reserve ratio (RRR), which affects how much money banks can create through lending.

  • Effects on Money Supply:

    • To increase the money supply, the Fed lowers RRR, allowing banks to make more loans.

    • To decrease the money supply, the Fed raises RRR, resulting in fewer loans.

Interest Rate on Reserves
  • Definition:

    • The Fed pays interest on the reserves banks hold on deposit with the Fed.

  • Effects on Money Supply:

    • To increase the money supply (M), the Fed lowers the interest rate on reserves (iR), so banks hold fewer excess reserves.

    • To decrease the money supply (M), the Fed raises iR, leading banks to hold more excess reserves.

Limitations of Fed Control Over the Money Supply

  • If households decide to hold more money as currency and less as bank deposits, banks can make fewer loans, leading to a decrease in the money supply.

  • If banks hold more excess reserves than previously, they make fewer loans and the money supply declines.

  • If banks decide to borrow less from the Fed, they make fewer loans, which also results in a fall in the money supply.

Bank Runs

  • Definition:

    • A run on the bank occurs when people suspect their bank is in trouble and rush to withdraw their funds.

  • Banking Panic:

    • A situation where fearful depositors attempt to withdraw funds from many banks simultaneously.

  • Under fractional-reserve banking, banks do not have enough reserves to pay off all their depositors, which may lead to bank closures if they run out of reserves.

Bank Runs & the Money Supply

  • Banking panics can produce sudden declines in the money supply.

  • Bank closures result in deposit losses, impacting the money multiplier.

  • People move to hold more currency rather than deposits fearing runs, which leads banks to maintain higher excess reserves.

  • Historical Example: During 1929-1933, a wave of bank runs and bank closings caused the money supply to fall by 28%.

  • Since then, federal deposit insurance has helped to prevent bank runs in the United States.