Comprehensive Notes on Behavioral Economics and Decision-Making
PAGE 1: COURSE AND TOPIC OVERVIEW
FMST 201
Course Module: Plan Implementation
Subject: Behavioral Economics
PAGE 2: DEFINING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS AND COGNITIVE BIASES
Behavioral Economics
Definition: The application of psychology to understand the decision-making processes of individuals and families (behaviors).
Scope of Examination: It examines why people sometimes make irrational decisions and why their behavior often diverges from established critical thinking models commonly found in traditional economics.
The Economic Ideal (Rationality): - Traditional economic belief suggests that when individuals are given correct information, they will always make the optimal decisions that provide the greatest benefit and satisfaction. - It assumes people are consistently rational, possess self-control, and are not affected by emotions or external factors.
The Reality of Human Behavior: - People do not always adhere to the rational model, which leads to the development of cognitive biases.
Cognitive Biases
Definition: Errors in thinking that create a distorted view of perception and judgment.
Consequences: These errors lead to poor or irrational decision-making.
PAGE 3: IRRATIONAL DECISION-MAKING: FRAMING
Framing
Definition: The creation of cognitive bias based specifically on how information is presented to an individual.
The Paradox of Choice: In framing, a person may be presented with two different options, but the actual outcome of both is idential.
Primary Focus: The most common type of framing focuses our attention on positive gains while simultaneously avoiding or minimizing the negative loss associated with a specific option.
Potential Benefits: Framing can be beneficial if it encourages individuals to take calculated risks or make better choices in situations where they are uncertain or fearful.
Areas Impacted by Framing
Investments: Decision-making regarding where to allocate capital.
Medical Decisions: Choosing between various treatment paths.
Calculation of Risk Scenarios: - Investing in a new social media company. - Cutting-edge treatments for cancer.
Example of Statistical Framing: - Success Framing: Describing a procedure with a success rate. - Failure Framing: Describing the same procedure as having a failure rate.
Personal Health: Impacts how individuals choose to take care of their physical well-being.
PAGE 4: TYPES OF FRAMING
Specialized Framing Techniques
Auditory Framing: Relates to the tone and manner in which information is presented to the listener.
Visual Framing: Consists of design elements, including: - Color - Imagery - Font-size - Font-style - Body language
Value Framing: A specific technique used to make individuals feel as though they are getting more for less.
PAGE 5: BOUNDED RATIONALITY
Bounded Rationality
Definition: This concept posits that a person’s ability to make rational decisions is inherently constrained by several factors.
Constraints on Decision-Making: - Incomplete and/or Inaccurate Information: Factors such as marketing labels like "all natural/organic," "free range/cage free," "hormone free," or "humanely raised" can complicate the decision process. - Cognitive Capacity: The ability to store, process, and analyze information is finite. - Limited Time: Decisions must often be made quickly, preventing thorough investigation. - Social Relations: The need to assess how choices impact a family unit and the larger society. - Personal Price: Financial or personal costs involved in the decision.
Outcome: These factors cause people to select the "good enough" option (satisficing) as opposed to the mathematically optimal one.
PAGE 6: HEURISTICS AND MENTAL SHORTCUTS
Heuristics
Definition: Individuals tend to make decisions using mental shortcuts instead of employing long, rational, and optimal reasoning processes.
Availability Heuristic
Function: Using data that comes to mind quickly and easily when making a decision about resources and options.
Mechanism: Allows for faster decision-making by drawing information directly from memory.
Memory Bias: People tend to recall material that is exciting, controversial, and immediate.
Potential Problem: This process causes individuals to ignore or minimize better options because they fail to seek out verified and researched data and statistics.
Affect Heuristic
Definition: Relying on emotions, rather than concrete information, to make decisions.
PAGE 7: LOSS AVERSION
Loss Aversion
Definition: The emotional impact of a loss is felt much more intensely than the joy experienced from an equivalent gain.
Impact Magnitude: This effect can be psychologically times as powerful as an equivalent gain (psychologically twice as powerful).
Behavioral Result: We are inclined to hold on to what we already have rather than trying to acquire new objects or resources.
Consequence: The negative impact of potential loss prevents us from taking calculated risks even when they offer potential worthwhile returns.
PAGE 8: SUNK-COST FALLACY AND HERD MENTALITY
Sunk-Cost Fallacy
Definition: An emotional and psychological connection to a costly decision already made.
Core Behavior: The tendency to stick with something that we have already invested heavily in (emotionally, financially, or temporally), even when letting go is clearly the better choice.
Common Examples: - Bad social relationships. - Poor financial investments. - Switching jobs or educational majors.
Herd Mentality/Bandwagon Effect
Definition: Individual decisions are swayed based on what other people are doing, rather than assessing what the best outcome for the individual actually is.