Chapter 14

External Validity

  • Example 1: Generalizing a particularly negative dating experience with a Kevin to form the conclusion that all Kevin’s are bad → overgeneralization where the name of a period is presumed to cause their behavior

  • Example 2: Generalizing that a communication style that previously worked will work in future relationships → undergeneralization, where you ignore the characteristic that you don’t like

  • Example 3: Generalizing what has worked for you in the past in a similar situation will also work for another → Over-generalization can be attributable to either 1) over-generalizing the specific behavior or 2)

  • Example 4: Generalizing the same behavior with the same person will work across different contexts → overgeneralization based on situation

Generalization

  • One of the most critical, yet under-discussed, aspects of research methods is generalization

  • Generalization is the extent to which the findings in your study apply to a larger population or different circumstances

    • Do 22-year-old students at OSU represent all 22-year-old students? All 22-year-olds?

    • Are the effects of financial stress and depression during COVID applicable to financial stress and depression now?

  • If you recruit people and they are highly heterogeneous in terms of their characteristics, what is the larger population you are attempting to generalize to?

  • External validity is related to the ability of the findings of our study to generalize to other circumstances

    • Person, Settings, Treatments, and Outcomes

      • Person: Do the findings of my study apply to another group of people who have different characteristics (ex., race, gender, income, severity of problems)

        • Example: Would the findings of my couple therapy intervention in heterosexual couples also apply to gay and lesbian couples?

      • Setting: Do the findings of my study apply to a nearly identical sample (ex., same proportion of gender), but in a different context

        • Example: Would the findings of my couple therapy intervention in heterosexual couples conducted in a research lab also be found in a community-based mental health clinic

      • Treatments: Would treatments that are very similar to each other have the same effect?

        • Example: Principles of cognitive behavioral therapy are seen in over half a dozen treatments for marital problems (ex., Behavioral Couple Therapy (BCT), Gottman Couple Therapy (GCT)). Does it matter if couples get BCT or GCT?

          • What if BCT has half the number of sessions, requires less training, and is cheaper to train therapists in?

      • Outcomes: Do the effects that were found in the study generalize to other, closely related examples?

        • Example: Couple therapy is effective for reducing conflict. To what extent can we also say that it is effective in increasing intimacy and couples coping together

  • It is plausible and even necessary to make generalizations to other populations, settings, treatments, and outcomes

    • It is impossible to study every known treatment, in every population, in every setting

  • We must gauge how big a generalization is appropriate

    • Generalizing that therapy reduces generalized anxiety symptoms to social anxiety symptoms isn’t too much of a stretch

    • Generalizing that therapy reduces generalized anxiety symptoms to psychosis is far too big a stretch

  • Increase generalizability through multiple conditions, samples, populations, settings, etc.

    • Test for differences within your sample (age, race, gender)

    • Use different measures assessing the same construct (ex., testing clinical levels of depression, depressive symptoms)

  • It is, however, impossible to identify all possible conditions, subpopulations, and settings

    • Knowledge is cumulative

    • This is why scientists have a program of research (ex., studying the same thing in different ways over the course of a career)

  • We must also be careful by adding in too many subpopulations

    • Expensive

    • Time consuming

    • Treat to statistical conclusions’ validity (if there are differences in the effects in various subpopulations, then you’ve messed up your stats!)

      • Example: If your correlation between two variables is .30 in one group and -.30 in another, when analyzing them together, the correlation is 0 → we’re missing two effects that are actually there

Characteristics of Your Study and Generalization

  • Gender

    • Historically, gender has been equated to biological sex, but this is no longer the case

    • Biological sex refers to an individual’s physiology, while gender is a social construct related to identity

    • When writing a grant, I must have a scientific rationale for the exclusion of a specific gender, and my study must include both to increase generalization

  • Race and Ethnicity

    • Much like gender, race, and ethnicity are inappropriately equated

    • Race is categorization based on skin color (most common) or other physical features (less common), while ethnicity refers to the cultural heritage

      • Race is general, while ethnicity is more specific - Asian would be considered a race, but Chinese or Japanese would be ethnicity

      • By using the term Asian (race), you are assuming all Asian cultures are the same in relation to what you are studying

  • Culture reflects the attitudes, norms, expectations, interpretations, knowledge, language, and expression of a social group

  • A majority of studies represent White middle-class adults from the industrialized world

    • Several major/large-scale longitudinal (ex., MIDUS) have predominantly White middle-class adults, but have made strides to include others (ex., recruitment of an exclusively African American sample from Milwaukee)

  • Gender, race/ethnicity, and culture will influence your study in numerous ways

    • Contribute to how they interpret the questions (ex., asking someone if they are feeling down or blue is commonly accepted in the US, but this doesn’t translate to other languages)

    • Scales that we use may indicate pathology, but in other cultures, it may be a sign of health (ex., individual decision making)

    • Individuals coming from less wealthy countries may not be literate in any language (common among Hispanic Immigrants)

    • The phenomenon of interest may not be acceptable to disclose (ex., mental health), and participants are unwilling

Threats to External Validity

  • Interaction with “Units” (ex., participants) → the effect/association differs across various subgroups of participants, such as race, education, income, or level of the variable

    • An intervention is effective at reducing the effects of depression, but only for those who are more severely depressed

    • An intervention is only effective for men and is not effective for women

  • Interaction with Treatment Variations → the effect/association differs across closely related treatments (ex., variations)

    • Couple therapy does not reduce the risk of divorce, but couple therapy and simultaneous individual therapy are effective for reducing the risk of divorce

  • Interaction with Outcomes → the effect/association differs across outcome variables

    • Couple therapy is effective for reducing conflict, but it does not increase intimacy

  • Interaction with setting → the effect/association differs across the context in which the study was tested

    • Group therapy is highly effective in general, but is ineffective in inpatient hospital settings

  • College students are a significant threat to the external validity of processes that are general and not specific to college students

    • 2 out of 3 studies in psychology journals used college student samples

College Students and External Validity

  • Locations

    • College towns tend to be more liberal than the surrounding areas

    • Manhattan, Kansas Vs Manhattan, New York

    • Florida vs California vs New York vs Minnesota

  • Recruitment

    • College students are generally in introductory psychology courses (Freshmen and Sophomores)

    • Participation in research is often a requirement (not even extra credit)

  • Sample Characteristics

    • There is a selection effect where college students have higher cognitive abilities than those who were not accepted into college

    • College is a time of substantial biopsychological change - you may be catching students in a time period when the phenomenon being studied is or is not particularly salient

      • Example: Alcohol use in college students

  • There is actually an inverse relationship between high school SAT scores and college GPA

  • Berkson’s paradox

    • You find the inverse of an expected/hypothesized relationship due to sample selection

  • Overall, there is a positive relationship between SAT and college GPA, but if you only sample a specific slice of students (those accepted), then you’re censoring your data

    • You are not including those who did not get into college, and missing those who got into college but went to a better school

  • In-person vs online studies

    • Would you rather complete an online survey that is 2 hours long or go to a lab for one hour and be hooked up to physiological equipment?

  • Colleges are becoming more and more diverse and representative of the larger population

    • Still have a generalizability issue related to the pursuit of a college degree

Generalization Across Situation

  • In addition to generalizing to a larger population, which is an absolutely critical piece of research, so is generalization across situations.

  • Measurement Example:

    • If you are testing the relationship between marital conflict and divorce, you can have participants engage in a conflict discussion task, have a couple therapist interview them, and have them complete a survey - do you get the same results??

  • Experimental Conditions Example:

    • If you conduct a conflict discussion task in a laboratory, do couples fight the same way at home?

Replication

  • Replication vs Reproductivity

    • Replication: a researcher designing a study in the exact manner another researcher designed the study to determine if they get the same findings

      • Mirror recruitment, methods, measures, and statistical analysis

    • Reproductivity: taking another researcher’s data set and statistical analysis and determining if they can get the same findings

  • Statistics vary, but most studies cannot be replicated

    • Ranges from discipline to discipline, but can be less than 1% to 25% of studies that cannot be replicated