Gerrymandering and Congressional Districting
Origins and Terminology of Gerrymandering
- Etymology of the Term: The word "gerrymandering" is a portmanteau derived from the name of a political figure and the word "salamander."
- The Original Example: The term originated in Massachusetts in the year 1812.
- Visual Description: A congressional district was drawn in such a specific and convoluted way that it resembled a "salamander dragon creature."
- Modern Definition: Gerrymandering is defined as the manipulation of congressional districts to benefit a particular political party, primarily regarding the Democrats and the Republicans.
- Current Practice: Whichever political party is in charge of a specific state legislature is responsible for drawing districts that provide a strategic advantage to their party.
The Constitutional Mandate and the Census
- The Role of the Census: The United States Constitution mandates that a census must be conducted every 10 years.
- Purpose of the Census: The census is the official process of determining who lives where and calculating how many people live in specific areas.
- Balance of Power: The data gathered from the census is used to determine the balance of power within the United States House of Representatives.
- Legislative Background: This system is rooted in the "Great Compromise," which created a bicameral legislature:
- The Senate: Each state receives exactly 2 senators, regardless of the state's geographic or population size.
- The House of Representatives: Seats are assigned based on the population of the state.
Structure of the United States House of Representatives
- Membership Count: There are currently 435 members in the United States House of Representatives.
- Term Length: House members serve 2-year terms, meaning all members are up for reelection every 2 years.
- Apportionment and the "Equality Gap":
- Each House member represents approximately 750,000 people.
- Per the Constitution, every state is guaranteed a minimum of 1 House member.
- Inconsistency occurs because the math is not perfect. For example, if a state has fewer than 750,000 people, they still get one representative. However, a state with 1,200,000 people might still only have one representative, leading to a representation gap.
- Static Membership: While representatives have been added in the past as new states joined the union, the number has held steady at 435 for a long time and is unlikely to change in the near future.
- State Control: The Constitution stipulates that states determine the manner in which elections are held. Consequently, state legislatures decide how to divide their allocated House seats into specific districts.
Demographic Patterns in Gerrymandering
- Democratic Voter Hotspots: Voters who typically support the Democratic party are primarily found in larger cities and densely populated urban areas.
- Republican Voter Hotspots: Voters who typically support the Republican party are primarily located in rural and more spread-out geographic areas.
- Visual Representation (The Dot Map):
- Blue dots (Democrats) appear very close together in clusters.
- Red dots (Republicans) are more widely dispersed across the map.
- Single-Member States: States like North Dakota and South Dakota have only one House member due to their lower population counts.
Case Study: Gerrymandering in Texas
- Landscape: Texas is characterized as a large, very diverse state with specific high-population centers including El Paso, the DFW Metroplex (Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, Grapevine), San Antonio, Austin, and Houston.
- Strategic Districting Examples:
- District 13: Drawn to get close to the Dallas-Fort Worth area before taking a sharp turn and circling back.
- District 23: This district is geographically massive, described as being larger than some European countries. It stretches from near El Paso all the way down to near San Antonio.
- District 15: Noted for its unique shape, which some observers compare to the character "The Grinch."
- District 25: Stretches from near Abilene and loops around to get extremely close to the DFW area without actually touching the core urban center.
- Walling Off Voters: In Texas, the Republican-led legislature draws lines to "wall off" Democratic-leaning urban counties like Bexar County (San Antonio) to prevent Democratic votes from "infecting" or flipping surrounding districts from red to blue.
- Candidate Example: The congressman for the specific district mentioned in the lecture is August Pflueger.
- Philosophy of Selection: Instead of voters picking their representative, gerrymandering allows representatives to essentially "pick" their voters because they have access to data on how residents vote.
Gerrymandering in Other States
- Georgia (Republican-led):
- Focuses on the population center of Fulton County (Atlanta).
- Surrounding counties include Cobb County, Gwinnett County, and DeKalb County.
- The legislature draws large swaths of rural areas and walls off the urban voters to ensure legislative control.
- Illinois (Democrat-led):
- As a "blue state," the goal is to protect Democratic strongholds.
- Districts are drawn as long slivers across the state to capture specific groups of voters while excluding rural areas that might shift the political balance.
- Rather than creating geographically compact boxes, they create extended shapes to ensure the area stays blue.
- California (Democrat-led):
- The eastern part of California is more conservative and rural.
- The state legislature draws large districts in the east to contain rural voters and prevent them from impacting the more liberal districts.
- Specific attention is paid to areas like Los Angeles, Hollywood, and Riverside (including the Moreno Valley area along the 215).
Comparative Advantage and Implications
- The Ease of Gerrymandering: It is generally considered easier for Republicans to gerrymander than for Democrats.
- Reasoning: Democratic voters are highly concentrated in cities, making it easy to draw a single line around a big city. Republican voters are highly dispersed across rural areas, making it harder to capture or isolate them without drawing extremely complex lines.
- Persistence: This practice is considered normal and legal under current standards and has been occurring for hundreds of years.
- Outcome: The effects of gerrymandering are most apparent in the results of the United States House of Representatives races and state house elections nationwide.