Distributions

Uniform Distribution: all outcomes occur with equal probability, such as a die or wheel

  • PDF - 1/n where n = total # of outcomes

Binomial Distribution: experiment with n trials and two possible results where P does not change from trial to trial i.e. n coin flips

  • PDF - Cnxpx(1-p)n-x where n = # of trials, x = number of successes, p = probablilty of success

  • Expected Value - np

  • Variance - np(1-p)

Poisson Distribution: estimates the # of outcomes during a set time or space

  • PDF - lambdax/x! * e- lambda where lambda = mean number of occurrences, x = outcomes of interest

  • Expected Value - lambda

  • Variance - lambda

Hypergeometric Distribution: experiment with n trials and two possible results where P does change from trial to trial i.e. odds of 3 red balls in 5 pulls from a bag

  • PDF - Crx * CN-rn-x / CNn where x = # of successes in trials, r = # of successes possible, N = # of elements total, n = # of trials

  • Expected Value - nr/N

  • Variance - (N - n)/(N - 1) * nr/N * (1 - r/N)

Negative Binomial Distributon: experiment with n trials and two possible results where P does not change from trial to trial and the trials end after a certain amount of successes i.e. odds of 5 tails before 3 heads

  • PDF - Cr+x-1r-1 pr (1-p)x where r = # of successes, x = # of failures

  • Expected Value - r(1-p)/p

  • Variance - r(1-p)/r2

Uniform Distribution (Random Variables): All points on the interval are equally likely

  • PDF - 1/(B - A) for A <= x <= B, 0 elsewhere

  • Expected Value - integral from -infinity to infinity xf(x)

  • Variance - E(x2) - [E(x)]2

Standard Normal Distribution: standard bell-shaped curve with mean = 0 and std dev = 1

  • PDF - 1/sqrt(2pi) * e-(z)²/2 for -infinity to infinity

  • CDF - P(z <= a) = Phi(a)

Exponential Distribution: time until an event occurs

  • PDF - lambda * e-lambda(x)

  • CDF - 1 - e-lambda(x)

  • Expected Value - 1/lambda

  • Variance - 1/lambda2

Discrete Joint Distribution