Detailed Study Notes on Interest Rates

Interest Rates

Topic 3.1: Interest Rates and Adjustments

  • Interest Rates Overview

    • Interest rates serve as the price of using money.

  • Effective Annual Rate (EAR)

    • Definition: The total amount of interest that will be earned at the end of one year.

    • Example Calculations:

    • With an EAR of 5%, a $100 investment grows as follows:

      • After 6 months:
        100 imes (1.05)^{0.5} = 102.47

      • After 1 year:
        100 imes (1.05)^{1.0} = 105.00

      • After 2 years:
        100 imes (1.05)^{2.0} = 110.25

  • Adjusting Discount Rate to Different Time Periods

    • When computing Present Value (PV) or Future Value (FV), the discount rate must align with the cash flows' time period.

    • Utilize the formula for Equivalent n-Period Discount Rate:
      \text{Equivalent n-Period Discount Rate} = (1 + r)^{n} - 1

Topic 3.2: Valuing Monthly Cash Flows

  • Example: Savings Accumulation

    • Problem Statement: Determine the required monthly savings to accumulate $100,000 over 10 years with a bank account that has an EAR of 6%.

  • Step 1: Calculate Equivalent Monthly Discount Rate

    • Given the EAR of 6%, find the monthly rate:
      r = 6\% \rightarrow \frac{r}{12} = 0.4868\% \text{ per month}

  • Step 2: Determine Inputs and Valuation Formulas

    • Inputs:

    • Future Value (FV) = $100,000

    • Number of periods (n) = 120 months

    • Monthly interest rate = 0.4868%

    • Future Value of Annuity Formula:
      FV = C \times \left( \frac{(1 + r)^{n} - 1}{r} \right)

  • Step 3: Solve for Monthly Savings (C)

    • Rearranging the formula to find C:
      C = \frac{FV}{\left(\frac{(1 + r)^{n} - 1}{r}\right)}

    • Calculation:
      C = \frac{100,000}{\left(\frac{(1.004868)^{120} - 1}{0.004868}\right)} \approx 615.47

Topic 3.3: Interest Rate Quotes and Adjustments

  • Annual Percentage Rates (APR)

    • Definition: The amount of interest earned in one year, not accounting for compounding effects.

    • Limitations:

    • Does not reflect actual earnings over the year.

    • Cannot be used as a discount rate.

    • Formula for interest rate per compounding period:
      \text{Interest rate per compounding period} = \frac{APR}{m} \quad (m = \text{number of compounding periods per year})

  • Converting APR to EAR

    • EAR is calculated from APR using:
      EAR = (1 + \frac{APR}{m})^{m} - 1

    • Where m is the number of compounding periods per year.

  • Lecture Example (EAR for 6% APR)

    • Changes in compounding period affect EAR calculations.

Topic 3.4: Application - Discount Rates and Loans

  • Common Financial Problems

    • Calculate required loan repayments.

    • Determine the remaining balance on an amortizing loan.

  • Amortizing Loan Characteristics

    • Definition: A loan where repayments include both interest and a portion of the principal amount.

  • Example Calculation: Monthly Loan Repayments

    • Problem: Borrow $30,000 over 60 months at an APR of 6.75%, compounded monthly.

    • Calculating inputs:
      r = \frac{0.0675}{12} = 0.005625 \quad n = 60 \quad PV = 30,000

    • Monthly payment formula:
      C = \frac{PV}{\left(\frac{(1 + r)^{n} - 1}{r}\right)}

    • Solve to find:
      C \approx 590.08

Topic 3.5: The Determinants of Interest Rates

  • Market Forces in Interest Rate Determination

    • Interest rates are shaped by relative supply and demand for funds.

    • Interest Rate Formula:
      r = \text{real risk-free rate} + \text{inflation premium} + \text{risk premium}

  • Nominal vs Real Interest Rates

    • Nominal Interest Rate: Represents the rate at which money will grow when invested.

    • Real Interest Rate: Adjusted for inflation; reflects growth of purchasing power.

  • Fisher Equation

    • The relation between nominal rates, real rates, and inflation:
      (1 + r) = (1 + r_{real})(1 + \text{inflation})

    • Rearranged:
      r_{real} = \frac{(1 + r)}{(1 + \text{inflation})} - 1

  • Example of Real Interest Rate Calculation

    • Given Data:

    • 2005: Bond rates = 5.1%, Inflation = 2.7%

    • 2016: Bond rates = 1.7%, Inflation = 1.3%

    • Calculation of real interest rate for each year using Fisher Equation:

    1. 2005: r_{real} = \frac{(1 + 0.051)}{(1 + 0.027)} - 1 \approx 2.34\%

    2. 2016: r_{real} = \frac{(1 + 0.017)}{(1 + 0.013)} - 1 \approx 0.39\%

  • Conclusion

    • Understanding interest rates involves recognizing their components, adjustments, and effects on financial decisions.

    • Proper calculations enable informed decisions in investment, savings, and loan management.