Session 11: FTFL Entry Strength & Obstacle Management

Strong FTFL Entries

  • Define FTFL from the previous candle’s OCL / OCR.

  • A level is considered “powerful” only if the very next candle (next day or next week) taps that FTFL.

    • Immediate tap ⇒ high-probability setup.

    • No tap on the next candle ⇒ strength drops; treat as a secondary idea.

  • If FTFL contains valid SCFL & TTFL layers, an immediate tap compounds probability.

Timing & Level Priority

  • Sequence to keep a level high-probability:

    1. Previous candle forms FTFL.

    2. Next candle must touch it.

  • If price skips the FTFL for one full period, re-classify it as “less powerful” and reduce exposure.

Risk Management Guidelines

  • Normal risk on strong FTFL: e.g.

    • Usual stake =100.

  • Reduced risk on weak/aged FTFL:

    • Stake ↓ to about 20\% (e.g. 20) of normal.

Obstacles (Key-Level Roadblocks)

  • Any swing high/low, RBS/SBR, apex resistance/support can block the path to TP.

  • Definition: “Obstacle = key level that can prevent price moving higher or lower.”

  • Mark obstacles on the SAME timeframe as the entry:

    • Weekly entry ⇒ scan weekly chart for obstacles.

    • Daily entry ⇒ scan daily chart for obstacles.

  • Typical actions at an obstacle:

    • Partial TP (e.g. 80\%).

    • Tighten or trail stop.

Target Placement

  • If no obstacle exists on the entry timeframe, let trade run to previous period extreme:

    • Bull moves ⇒ previous day/week high or close.

    • Bear moves ⇒ previous day/week low or open.

  • When obstacles exist between entry and target, manage accordingly (partial exit or stop adjust).

Confirmation Entries (when FTFL is not tapped promptly)

  • Wait for continuation / reversal pattern on current timeframe before trading.

  • New trade then targets the previous period extreme on that (current) timeframe.

Practical Examples Recap

  • USDJPY weekly: previous week created FTFL, current week tapped it immediately ⇒ strong trade with 1{:}46 R:R.

  • Gold weekly: similar logic—if current week had tapped FTFL, it would have been high-probability; failure to tap downgrades the zone.

Quick Checklist

  • [ ] FTFL drawn from previous candle?

  • [ ] Next candle tapped it?

  • [ ] STFL / TTFL present in the zone?

  • [ ] Obstacles on the same timeframe?

  • [ ] Risk sized per level strength?

  • [ ] TP aligned with previous period extreme or before first obstacle?