Multiplier Effect Flashcards
Multiplier Effect
- The multiplier effect refers to additional shifts in aggregate demand.
- For example, when expansionary fiscal policy increases income:
- This income increase leads to additional increases in consumer spending.
- Which cause incomes to increase again.
- And consumer spending to increase again, and so on.
Multiplier Effect Example
- Consider an increase in government purchases by 20 billion.
- Aggregate-demand curve shifts to the right by exactly 20 billion initially.
- Consumers respond by increasing spending, causing the aggregate-demand curve to shift right again.
- An increase in government purchases of 20 billion can shift the aggregate-demand curve to the right by more than 20 billion.
- This multiplier effect arises because increases in aggregate income stimulate additional spending by consumers.
- An increase in government purchases of 20 billion initially increases aggregate demand by 20 billion.
- The multiplier effect can amplify the shift in aggregate demand.
Multiplier Effect: Size of Effect
- The size of the multiplier effect depends on the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC).
- MPC is the fraction of extra income that consumers spend.
- The remaining portion of the extra income is saved.
- For example, if the MPC is 0.80, then for every new dollar, 80 cents is consumed, and 20 cents is saved.
Multiplier Effect: Example with MPC
- Suppose government spending is increased by 20 billion, and the MPC is 0.50.
- 1: AD increases by 20 billion.
- 2: AD increases by 20 billion x 0.5 = 10 billion.
- 3: AD increases by 10 billion x 0.5 = 5 billion.
- 4: AD increases by 5 billion x 0.5 = 2.5 billion.
- 5: AD increases by 2.5 billion x 0.5 = 1.25 billion, and so on.
- Total Effect = 20 + 10 + 5 + 2.5 + 1.25 + … = 40 billion.
- Multiplier = 1 / (1 – MPC)
- In our example, 20 billion in government purchases results in:
- 20 billion x (1 / (1 - 0.5)) = 20 billion x (2) = 40 billion increase in AD.
- What if MPC is larger? Suppose MPC = 0.80?
- 20 billion x (1 / (1 – 0.8)) = 20 billion x (5) = 100 billion increase in AD.
- Notice that the larger the MPC, the larger the multiplier effect.