Notes: Interdependence and the Gains from Trade (Mankiw Ch.3)

Chapter Objectives

  • Why do nations choose to be economically interdependent?
  • How can trade make everyone better off?
  • What is absolute advantage and comparative advantage?
  • What is the terms of trade?

Assumptions of the Simple Economy

  • Two goods: Meat and Potatoes
  • Two people: Ruby (cattle rancher) and Frank (potato farmer)
  • Both would like to eat both meat and potatoes
  • Each person can specialize in production based on their relative productivity

The Production Possibilities Frontier (PPF)

  • Panel (a): Shows Frank’s and Ruby’s production opportunities
  • Panel (b) and (c): Each’s PPF, assuming 8 hours of work per day
  • The trade-off (opportunity cost) is constant for both when modeling the simple economy

PPF Examples and Points

  • Point A (Frank’s choice): 4 hours on meat and 4 hours on potatoes
    • Meat produced: 4 ext{ oz}
    • Potatoes produced: 16 ext{ oz}
  • Point B (Ruby’s choice): 4 hours on meat and 4 hours on potatoes
    • Meat produced: 12 ext{ oz}
    • Potatoes produced: 24 ext{ oz}

Specialization and Trade

  • Frank specializes in potatoes: 8 hours producing only potatoes
    • Output: 0 ext{ oz meat}, \, 32 ext{ oz potatoes}
  • Ruby specializes in both goods: 6 hours for meat, 2 hours for potatoes
    • Output: 18 ext{ oz meat}, \, 12 ext{ oz potatoes}
  • Trade: 5 oz of meat for 15 oz of potatoes
  • After trade outcomes:
    • Frank: 5 ext{ oz meat}, \, 17 ext{ oz potatoes}
    • Ruby: 13 ext{ oz meat}, \, 27 ext{ oz potatoes}

How Trade Expands the Set of Consumption Opportunities

  • Specialization and trade enable Frank and Ruby to reach consumption points A* and B*, infeasible before trade
  • Trade allows each person to consume more meat and more potatoes overall

Gains from Trade and Consumption Points

  • Gains from trade arise from specializing in the activity with a comparative advantage
  • Specialization and trade raise total production in the economy
  • The implicit prices paid between trading partners reflect the gains from trade

Comparative Advantage: The Driving Force of Specialization

  • Absolute vs. Comparative Advantage:
    • Absolute advantage: the ability to produce a good using fewer inputs than another producer
    • Comparative advantage: the ability to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another producer
  • In a two-good, two-person world, a person can have an absolute advantage in both goods but cannot have a comparative advantage in both

Absolute vs. Comparative Advantage (Definitions)

  • Absolute advantage: produce more with the same resources; fewer inputs
    • Example:
    • A producer with higher output given the same inputs has an absolute advantage
  • Comparative advantage: lower opportunity cost for a good
    • OppCost of one good is the inverse of the oppCost of the other good

Comparative Advantage and Trade

  • Gains from specialization and trade are based on comparative advantage
  • Total economy output rises when each person specializes in their comparative advantage
  • Implicit prices (terms of trade) between trading partners reflect gains from trade
  • Trade can benefit everyone by allowing specialization according to comparative advantages

The Price of the Trade (The Terms of Trade)

  • For both parties to gain, the trade price must lie between their opportunity costs
  • If the trade price falls between the two opportunity costs, both parties are better off
  • Formal idea: the acceptable price range is bounded by each party’s opportunity costs of the traded goods

Case Study: Pizzas and Wings

  • Example dataset: daily production capacities for pizzas and wings
  • Gwen’s production: 60 pizzas in a day when solely producing pizzas
  • Absolute advantages:
    • Absolute advantage in producing pizza: Gwen
    • Absolute advantage in producing wings: Gwen
  • Comparative advantage is determined via opportunity costs (table-based approach)

Opportunity Cost Table (Case Study)

  • Frank the farmer (simple economy) and Ruby the rancher setup from earlier slides
  • Opportunity costs (from the provided table):
    • 1 oz of Meat costs 4 oz potatoes for Frank
    • 1 oz of Potatoes costs \frac{1}{4} \text{ oz meat for Frank}
    • 1 oz of Meat costs 2 oz potatoes for Ruby
    • 1 oz of Potatoes costs \frac{1}{2} \text{ oz meat for Ruby}
  • Interpretation: lower opportunity cost for a good in a country indicates comparative advantage in that good for that country

Revisiting the Simple Economy Case: When Can Trade Happen?

  • If Frank proposes a deal: 5 oz of meat for 15 oz of potatoes, can trade occur?
  • Depending on the other party’s opportunity costs, the trade may or may not be favorable

Case Study: Trade Feasibility (Gwen and Blake)

  • Gwen vs. Blake: determine if trade is beneficial by comparing opportunity costs and proposed terms
  • Example 3: Gwen proposes 1 pizza for 2.5 wings; this can be a winning trade because 2.5 lies between Gwen’s and Blake’s opportunity costs for wings per pizza

Revisit: Opportunity Cost and Absolute/Comparative Advantage in the Simple Economy

  • Use the quantity table to identify who has absolute advantage in each good
  • Compare opportunity costs to identify who has comparative advantage in each good

Practice Question: Labor Hours (Alpha and Beta)

  • Each country has 24 labor hours per week
  • Production requirements:
    • Alpha: 1 coffee requires 2 hours; 1 donut requires 8 hours
    • Beta: 1 coffee requires 3 hours; 1 donut requires 6 hours
  • Determine:
    • Absolute advantage in each good
    • Comparative advantage in each good
    • The terms of trade

Practice Question: Outputs in 24 Hours (Alpha and Beta)

  • Maximum outputs in 24 hours:
    • Alpha: 12 coffees (since 24/2 = 12) or 3 donuts (since 24/8 = 3)
    • Beta: 8 coffees (24/3 = 8) or 4 donuts (24/6 = 4)

Practice Question: Opportunity Cost Tables (revisited)

  • For Alpha:
    • OC of 1 coffee in donuts: \frac{2}{8} = \tfrac{1}{4} donut per coffee
    • OC of 1 donut in coffees: \frac{8}{2} = 4 coffees per donut
  • For Beta:
    • OC of 1 coffee in donuts: \frac{3}{6} = \tfrac{1}{2} donut per coffee
    • OC of 1 donut in coffees: \frac{6}{3} = 2 coffees per donut

Practice Question Answers (Summary)

  • Absolute advantage in coffee: Alpha
  • Absolute advantage in donut: Beta
  • Comparative advantage in coffee: Alpha
  • Comparative advantage in donut: Beta
  • Terms of trade: any price of donuts per coffee in the interval between the two countries’ OC for coffee in donuts, i.e. between frac{1}{3} and frac{1}{2} donuts per coffee
  • Equivalently, the reciprocal interval for price in coffees per donut lies between 2 and 3 coffees per donut

Quick Connections to Foundational Principles

  • Trade creates gains from specialization when agents have different comparative advantages
  • The overall production possibility frontier of the economy expands with specialization and trade
  • Prices (terms of trade) arise from the relative opportunity costs and help allocate resources efficiently
  • The model abstracts from transport costs, tariffs, and other real-world frictions to illustrate the core gains from trade

Practical and Ethical Implications

  • Trade can improve welfare but may create winners and losers domestically; policy can influence distributional outcomes
  • Adoption of free trade vs. protectionism has ethical and practical considerations for employment, wages, and consumer prices
  • The analysis highlights the importance of recognizing opportunity costs in decision making and public policy