Notes: Interdependence and the Gains from Trade (Mankiw Ch.3)
Chapter Objectives
- Why do nations choose to be economically interdependent?
- How can trade make everyone better off?
- What is absolute advantage and comparative advantage?
- What is the terms of trade?
Assumptions of the Simple Economy
- Two goods: Meat and Potatoes
- Two people: Ruby (cattle rancher) and Frank (potato farmer)
- Both would like to eat both meat and potatoes
- Each person can specialize in production based on their relative productivity
The Production Possibilities Frontier (PPF)
- Panel (a): Shows Frank’s and Ruby’s production opportunities
- Panel (b) and (c): Each’s PPF, assuming 8 hours of work per day
- The trade-off (opportunity cost) is constant for both when modeling the simple economy
PPF Examples and Points
- Point A (Frank’s choice): 4 hours on meat and 4 hours on potatoes
- Meat produced: 4 ext{ oz}
- Potatoes produced: 16 ext{ oz}
- Point B (Ruby’s choice): 4 hours on meat and 4 hours on potatoes
- Meat produced: 12 ext{ oz}
- Potatoes produced: 24 ext{ oz}
Specialization and Trade
- Frank specializes in potatoes: 8 hours producing only potatoes
- Output: 0 ext{ oz meat}, \, 32 ext{ oz potatoes}
- Ruby specializes in both goods: 6 hours for meat, 2 hours for potatoes
- Output: 18 ext{ oz meat}, \, 12 ext{ oz potatoes}
- Trade: 5 oz of meat for 15 oz of potatoes
- After trade outcomes:
- Frank: 5 ext{ oz meat}, \, 17 ext{ oz potatoes}
- Ruby: 13 ext{ oz meat}, \, 27 ext{ oz potatoes}
How Trade Expands the Set of Consumption Opportunities
- Specialization and trade enable Frank and Ruby to reach consumption points A* and B*, infeasible before trade
- Trade allows each person to consume more meat and more potatoes overall
Gains from Trade and Consumption Points
- Gains from trade arise from specializing in the activity with a comparative advantage
- Specialization and trade raise total production in the economy
- The implicit prices paid between trading partners reflect the gains from trade
Comparative Advantage: The Driving Force of Specialization
- Absolute vs. Comparative Advantage:
- Absolute advantage: the ability to produce a good using fewer inputs than another producer
- Comparative advantage: the ability to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another producer
- In a two-good, two-person world, a person can have an absolute advantage in both goods but cannot have a comparative advantage in both
Absolute vs. Comparative Advantage (Definitions)
- Absolute advantage: produce more with the same resources; fewer inputs
- Example:
- A producer with higher output given the same inputs has an absolute advantage
- Comparative advantage: lower opportunity cost for a good
- OppCost of one good is the inverse of the oppCost of the other good
Comparative Advantage and Trade
- Gains from specialization and trade are based on comparative advantage
- Total economy output rises when each person specializes in their comparative advantage
- Implicit prices (terms of trade) between trading partners reflect gains from trade
- Trade can benefit everyone by allowing specialization according to comparative advantages
The Price of the Trade (The Terms of Trade)
- For both parties to gain, the trade price must lie between their opportunity costs
- If the trade price falls between the two opportunity costs, both parties are better off
- Formal idea: the acceptable price range is bounded by each party’s opportunity costs of the traded goods
Case Study: Pizzas and Wings
- Example dataset: daily production capacities for pizzas and wings
- Gwen’s production: 60 pizzas in a day when solely producing pizzas
- Absolute advantages:
- Absolute advantage in producing pizza: Gwen
- Absolute advantage in producing wings: Gwen
- Comparative advantage is determined via opportunity costs (table-based approach)
Opportunity Cost Table (Case Study)
- Frank the farmer (simple economy) and Ruby the rancher setup from earlier slides
- Opportunity costs (from the provided table):
- 1 oz of Meat costs 4 oz potatoes for Frank
- 1 oz of Potatoes costs \frac{1}{4} \text{ oz meat for Frank}
- 1 oz of Meat costs 2 oz potatoes for Ruby
- 1 oz of Potatoes costs \frac{1}{2} \text{ oz meat for Ruby}
- Interpretation: lower opportunity cost for a good in a country indicates comparative advantage in that good for that country
Revisiting the Simple Economy Case: When Can Trade Happen?
- If Frank proposes a deal: 5 oz of meat for 15 oz of potatoes, can trade occur?
- Depending on the other party’s opportunity costs, the trade may or may not be favorable
Case Study: Trade Feasibility (Gwen and Blake)
- Gwen vs. Blake: determine if trade is beneficial by comparing opportunity costs and proposed terms
- Example 3: Gwen proposes 1 pizza for 2.5 wings; this can be a winning trade because 2.5 lies between Gwen’s and Blake’s opportunity costs for wings per pizza
Revisit: Opportunity Cost and Absolute/Comparative Advantage in the Simple Economy
- Use the quantity table to identify who has absolute advantage in each good
- Compare opportunity costs to identify who has comparative advantage in each good
Practice Question: Labor Hours (Alpha and Beta)
- Each country has 24 labor hours per week
- Production requirements:
- Alpha: 1 coffee requires 2 hours; 1 donut requires 8 hours
- Beta: 1 coffee requires 3 hours; 1 donut requires 6 hours
- Determine:
- Absolute advantage in each good
- Comparative advantage in each good
- The terms of trade
Practice Question: Outputs in 24 Hours (Alpha and Beta)
- Maximum outputs in 24 hours:
- Alpha: 12 coffees (since 24/2 = 12) or 3 donuts (since 24/8 = 3)
- Beta: 8 coffees (24/3 = 8) or 4 donuts (24/6 = 4)
Practice Question: Opportunity Cost Tables (revisited)
- For Alpha:
- OC of 1 coffee in donuts: \frac{2}{8} = \tfrac{1}{4} donut per coffee
- OC of 1 donut in coffees: \frac{8}{2} = 4 coffees per donut
- For Beta:
- OC of 1 coffee in donuts: \frac{3}{6} = \tfrac{1}{2} donut per coffee
- OC of 1 donut in coffees: \frac{6}{3} = 2 coffees per donut
- Absolute advantage in coffee: Alpha
- Absolute advantage in donut: Beta
- Comparative advantage in coffee: Alpha
- Comparative advantage in donut: Beta
- Terms of trade: any price of donuts per coffee in the interval between the two countries’ OC for coffee in donuts, i.e. between frac{1}{3} and frac{1}{2} donuts per coffee
- Equivalently, the reciprocal interval for price in coffees per donut lies between 2 and 3 coffees per donut
Quick Connections to Foundational Principles
- Trade creates gains from specialization when agents have different comparative advantages
- The overall production possibility frontier of the economy expands with specialization and trade
- Prices (terms of trade) arise from the relative opportunity costs and help allocate resources efficiently
- The model abstracts from transport costs, tariffs, and other real-world frictions to illustrate the core gains from trade
Practical and Ethical Implications
- Trade can improve welfare but may create winners and losers domestically; policy can influence distributional outcomes
- Adoption of free trade vs. protectionism has ethical and practical considerations for employment, wages, and consumer prices
- The analysis highlights the importance of recognizing opportunity costs in decision making and public policy