FY25 Army Budget and Global Threat Assessment
FY25 Army Budget and Global Threat Assessment
FY25 Army Budget
- The FY25 army budget is 185.9billion.
- Some believe the budget needs to be increased based on current threats.
Threat Matrix Assessment
Russia (Putin)
- Putin shows no signs of ceasing efforts to dismember Ukraine.
- Recent attacks on Kyiv, including the death of an American citizen, indicate continued aggression.
- The US has been providing military equipment to Ukraine to deter war with Putin, particularly in NATO countries.
Iran
- Iran is considered a significant threat, especially to US interests, troop concentrations, partners, and allies in the Middle East.
- November is designated as "Death to America Day" in Iran since 1987, indicating hostility towards the United States.
- Iran possesses approximately 900pounds of highly enriched uranium at 60%, which has no clear commercial purpose and can be used for creating nuclear weapons.
- Iran's enrichment programs are located in secure locations, such as at the bottom of mountains, implying intentions to proceed safely with nuclear ambitions.
- Diplomacy with Iran has been attempted, but the effectiveness is questioned.
- It is perceived that Israel may consider taking military action to dismantle Iran's nuclear program.
- A nuclear-armed Iran is considered a threat to the US.
China
- There is concern that China might take Taiwan by force if the US and the West appear weak.
- Deterrence against China may have been weakened following the withdrawal from Afghanistan.
ISIS and Al-Qaeda
- ISIS and Al-Qaeda remain active and are still trying to find ways to attack the US.
Military Spending and War Prevention
- The objective of military spending is to prevent war, but if conflict occurs, it should be won.
Potential War with Iran
- The Ayatollah stated that any action against Iran's nuclear program would result in war with America.
- There is confidence in the US military's ability to win a potential war with Iran.
Strategic Implications
- The current global situation is considered a moment of choosing with high stakes.
- Getting the approach right could lead to normalization, deter China from taking Taiwan, and allow for a new conversation with Putin.
- Getting it wrong could escalate global conflicts.