FY25 Army Budget and Global Threat Assessment

FY25 Army Budget and Global Threat Assessment

FY25 Army Budget

  • The FY25 army budget is 185.9billion185.9 billion.
  • Some believe the budget needs to be increased based on current threats.

Threat Matrix Assessment

Russia (Putin)
  • Putin shows no signs of ceasing efforts to dismember Ukraine.
  • Recent attacks on Kyiv, including the death of an American citizen, indicate continued aggression.
  • The US has been providing military equipment to Ukraine to deter war with Putin, particularly in NATO countries.
Iran
  • Iran is considered a significant threat, especially to US interests, troop concentrations, partners, and allies in the Middle East.
  • November is designated as "Death to America Day" in Iran since 1987, indicating hostility towards the United States.
  • Iran possesses approximately 900pounds900 pounds of highly enriched uranium at 60%60\%, which has no clear commercial purpose and can be used for creating nuclear weapons.
  • Iran's enrichment programs are located in secure locations, such as at the bottom of mountains, implying intentions to proceed safely with nuclear ambitions.
  • Diplomacy with Iran has been attempted, but the effectiveness is questioned.
  • It is perceived that Israel may consider taking military action to dismantle Iran's nuclear program.
  • A nuclear-armed Iran is considered a threat to the US.
China
  • There is concern that China might take Taiwan by force if the US and the West appear weak.
  • Deterrence against China may have been weakened following the withdrawal from Afghanistan.
ISIS and Al-Qaeda
  • ISIS and Al-Qaeda remain active and are still trying to find ways to attack the US.

Military Spending and War Prevention

  • The objective of military spending is to prevent war, but if conflict occurs, it should be won.

Potential War with Iran

  • The Ayatollah stated that any action against Iran's nuclear program would result in war with America.
  • There is confidence in the US military's ability to win a potential war with Iran.

Strategic Implications

  • The current global situation is considered a moment of choosing with high stakes.
  • Getting the approach right could lead to normalization, deter China from taking Taiwan, and allow for a new conversation with Putin.
  • Getting it wrong could escalate global conflicts.