Housing Market in China

Land System in China

  • Different from the US where property rights are private; in China, individuals cannot own land.
  • Land ownership belongs to the state; decisions are made by the government.
  • Individuals purchase land use rights for a period, typically 70 years in urban China.
  • After 70 years, the land use right does not belong to the purchaser anymore.
  • Main difference from the US is in the taxation system.
  • In the US, landlords pay property tax to local government annually, which is a major fiscal income for public expenditures.
  • In China, homeowners do not pay property tax annually.
  • Government fiscal income comes from:
    • Land sales revenue.
    • High tax rates during property transactions (sometimes as high as 10% of the transaction value).

Local Government Finances

  • Local governments can attract companies or factories to produce in their region, which generates tax income.
  • Selling cheap industrial land attracts businesses but can lead to high housing prices.
  • High housing prices can make housing unaffordable for many households, even compared to major US cities like Los Angeles.
  • Local governments heavily rely on land sales for income and lack sustainable income sources like property tax.

Housing Market Structure

  • Private Sector:
    • New residential properties developed by private companies and sold to end-users (households).
    • Secondhand market: Sales of existing properties to households.
    • Rental housing market: Landlords directly rent properties to individual renters.
    • Landlords lease properties to institutions/private companies who then divide the lease into short-term contracts for renters.
  • Public Sector:
    • Government builds public housing and sells or rents it to eligible households.
      • Eligibility:
        • Household income cannot be too high.
        • Some cities offer rental housing subsidies to attract talent, even with high incomes.

Unique Aspects of Chinese Housing Market

  • Location Preference: Unlike the US, city centers are preferred over suburbs due to densely populated urban spaces.
  • Commuting: Commuting from suburban areas to city centers can take over an hour in cities like Shanghai.
  • Rent Distribution: Higher rents are found in city centers.
    • Shared Housing: Multiple bedrooms in one apartment are rented to individual, often unacquainted, college graduates.
  • Density of public resources:
    • Universities, hospitals, primary and middle schools are clustered around the city center.
    • Restaurants and entertainment facilities are also densely located around the city center.

Reasons for Purchasing Houses

  • Providing children with quality education:
    • Households purchase homes in school catchment zones to secure enrollment in top primary schools.
    • Competition for school placement is converted into housing market competition.
    • Housing units within school catchment zones can be significantly more expensive.
    • For instance, purchasing a unit within the catchment zone of highly ranked primary school may cost 10,000,000 RMB more than a similar unit just outside the zone.
  • Marriage: Couples usually purchase their first home before getting married, with the groom paying a larger percentage.
    • Due to a disproportionate gender distribution (more marriageable males), competition is converted into the housing market.

Sales of New Housing Units

  • Presale System: Developers sell housing units before they are built, providing only a contract.
    • Buyers pay a significant amount (e.g., $1,500,000) and may have to wait one to two years to receive the property.
    • Buyers often borrow a mortgage from the bank, paying a percentage (e.g., 30%) while the bank pays the remaining 70%.
    • Risk during market downturns: Developers may lack the cash flow to finish construction.
    • Government intervention: State-owned enterprises may take over unfinished projects from bankrupt developers.

Sales of Existing Homes

  • Unique Brokerage Market: Concentrated brokerage market, especially in Beijing and Shanghai.
    • One company may have over 50% market share in Beijing and over 20% in Shanghai.
    • Dominant companies offer free listing services, attracting a large number of sellers (over 90%).
    • These company provide services such as VR models of the properties for free.
    • Commission is only paid if the property is successfully sold.
    • Monopoly concerns: The dominant company controls information and may manipulate pricing signals.
  • High tax rates for transactions:
    • VAT (Value Added Tax): More than 5% of the capital gain of the seller (or total value if sold within two years of purchase).
    • Commission Fee: 2-3%.
    • Income tax: 1-2%.
  • Restrictions and policies:
    • Housing purchase and sales restrictions implemented to stabilize the market.
    • Examples: purchase restrictions based on hukou (household registration) or years of work in the city.