UK 2035 NDC – Quick-Review Notes

  • Policy paper outlines UK’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) for 20352035 under the Paris Agreement, detailing ambitious targets and robust policies to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

  • © Crown copyright, Open Government Licence; the document is publicly available online, ensuring transparency and accessibility.

  • Target: The UK aims to cut all greenhouse gases (GHG) by at least 81%81\% by 20352035 compared to 19901990 levels, excluding International Aviation and Shipping (IAS) emissions. This ambitious target was formally announced at COP2929. The target aligns directly with the independent advice from the Climate Change Committee (CCC) and is consistent with the legally binding Carbon Budget 66 targets. Key financial commitments include £8.3billion{8.3}\,\text{billion} for the Great British Energy plan and £3.4billion{3.4}\,\text{billion} for the Warm Homes initiative, alongside implementing the Clean Power 20302030 Action Plan.

  • The UK is committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 20502050. As part of this commitment, coal power generation is being phased out, with a complete ban implemented by September 20242024. Internationally, the UK launched the Global Clean Power Alliance at COP2929 and has pledged £11.6billion{11.6}\,\text{billion} in International Climate Finance (ICF) by 2025/262025/26, which includes a significant £3billion{3}\,\text{billion} specifically allocated for nature-based solutions.

  • Base year for calculating emissions reductions are 19901990 for carbon dioxide (CO<em>2<em>2), methane (CH</em>4</em>4), and nitrous oxide (N<em>2<em>2O), and 19951995 for F-gases (HFCs, PFCs, SF</em>6SF</em>6, NF<em>3<em>3). Based on these baselines, the estimated base emissions were 817.1MtCO</em>2e817.1\,\text{MtCO}</em>2e (million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent). The challenging target level for 20352035 is set at 155.3MtCO2e155.3\,\text{MtCO}_2e, reflecting the deep decarbonisation required.

  • Inventory data for emissions are revised annually to ensure accuracy and reflect the latest scientific understanding. The UK’s NDC progress will be comprehensively assessed using the 20372037 national inventory, providing a clear post-target evaluation. The implementation window for policies and measures to achieve the NDC target spans from 20312031 to 20352035, with 20352035 being the single-year target.

  • The scope of the NDC is economy-wide, covering all sectors within the UK. The gases covered include carbon dioxide (CO<em>2<em>2), methane (CH</em>4</em>4), nitrous oxide (N<em>2<em>2O), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulphur hexafluoride (SF</em>6</em>6), and nitrogen trifluoride (NF3_3). Geographically, the NDC extends to the UK, its Crown Dependencies, and selected Overseas Territories. Covered sectors include Energy, Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture, Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF), and Waste. International Aviation and Shipping (IAS) emissions are explicitly excluded from the national target, consistent with international reporting guidelines.

  • No specific information regarding mitigation co-benefits or economic impact modelling is required for this NDC submission. Domestic planning and implementation are governed by the Climate Change Act 20082008, which establishes a legal framework for emissions reductions. The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) leads national climate policy, with independent advice provided by the Climate Change Committee (CCC).

  • Carbon budgets, which set legally binding emissions limits for five-year periods, are typically set 1212 years in advance to provide long-term certainty. Carbon Budget 77 (CB77) is due to be set in 20262026. The Third National Adaptation Programme (NAP33) outlines the UK's strategy for adapting to climate change impacts and covers the period from 20232023 to 20282028.

  • Local authorities and Devolved Administrations play crucial roles in climate action. This includes the CHAMP (Cities and Regions for Net Zero) pledge, the Urban Transition Mission aimed at accelerating decarbonisation in cities, and the ambition for Core Cities across the UK to achieve net-zero sooner than the national 20502050 target.

  • Devolved Administrations have their own ambitious targets: Northern Ireland aims for a 77%77\% reduction by 20402040; Scotland is committed to achieving net-zero by 20452045; and Wales targets a 63%63\% reduction by 20302030.

  • The UK’s comprehensive Net Zero Strategy serves as its Long-Term Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development Strategy (LT-LEDS) under the Paris Agreement. An updated strategy is forthcoming to reflect evolving policies and ambition.

  • Energy: The Clean Power 20302030 plan aims to deliver a fully decarbonised, reliable, and affordable electricity system by 20352035. The Warm Homes Plan supports energy efficiency upgrades in homes. The Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate sets ambitious targets for new car sales to be 80%80\% ZEVs by 20302030 and new van sales to be 70%70\% ZEVs by 20302030.

  • Industry: A new industrial decarbonisation strategy is expected in 20262026. Significant investment of £21.7billion{21.7}\,\text{billion} is allocated for Carbon Capture, Usage, and Storage (CCUS) and hydrogen projects to decarbonise heavy industry.

  • Agriculture: Environmental Land Management (ELM) schemes incentivise sustainable farming practices and emissions reductions. The Methane Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed in 20222022 demonstrates commitment to addressing agricultural methane emissions.

  • LULUCF (Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry): Ambitious targets include increasing woodland cover to at least 16.5%16.5\% in England by 20502050. There's also a strong focus on restoring degraded peatlands, which are significant carbon sinks. A new Tree Taskforce was established in 20242024 to accelerate tree planting efforts.

  • Waste: The Deposit Return Scheme (DRS) for drinks containers is planned for 20272027. Simpler Recycling initiatives will be rolled out between 20252025 and 20262026 to standardise household recycling. The Extended Producer Responsibility (pEPR) for packaging is set to begin in 20252025.

  • The UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) cap has been tightened considerably to drive deeper emissions reductions, and its scope will be expanded to include the maritime sector in 20262026 and Energy from Waste (EfW) facilities in 20282028. Furthermore, a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will be introduced starting 20272027 to prevent carbon leakage and ensure a level playing field for domestic industries.

  • International actions: The UK has pledged to support a global target of 1500GW1500\,\text{GW} of energy storage and grids by 20302030. The UK will also join the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action (COFFIS) and has committed £5million{5}\,\text{million} to a global methane fund.

  • Devolved additional plans: Northern Ireland aims to plant 9,000hectares9,000\,\text{hectares} of new forestry by 20302030. Scotland has detailed strategies for decarbonising Heat in Buildings. Wales’s Net Zero Wales plan includes 123123 specific policies to achieve its decarbonisation targets.

  • Just Transition: The Office for Clean Energy Jobs has been established to support workers and communities transitioning away from fossil fuels. Skills England and comprehensive apprenticeships reform are in place to ensure a skilled green workforce.

  • Gender-responsive action: The UK endorses the COP2929 Gender Pledge, demonstrating commitment to gender equality in climate action. It also actively supports the Equal by 3030 initiative and participates in the IEA Gender Council to promote women's participation in the energy sector.

  • The UK’s Net Zero Public Participation Strategy is due in 20252025, aiming to engage citizens in climate action. The NDC document itself will be formally laid before Parliament, ensuring democratic oversight and accountability.

  • Youth engagement: The UK has endorsed the Universal Youth Clause, committing to involve young people in climate policy. A review of the Department for Education (DfE) Sustainability Strategy is scheduled for 20252025 to further integrate climate education into the curriculum.

  • Devolved public engagement: Northern Ireland is conducting a public consultation on its climate plans. Scotland has its public engagement strategy for climate change covering 2021202120262026, and Wales has a similar framework for 2022202220262026, fostering broad societal involvement.

  • Business & civil society: The Net Zero Council has been relaunched to strengthen collaboration between government, business, and civil society on climate action. The UK Business Climate Hub actively aids Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) in their decarbonisation efforts.

  • National circumstances are detailed in the UK Biennial Transparency Report, providing context for the NDC. The UK reiterates its commitment to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as an integrated framework for sustainable development.

  • The Environment Act 20212021 is a cornerstone of UK environmental policy. It mandates the development of an Environmental Improvement Plan and establishes legally binding targets for various environmental indicators.

  • Biodiversity: A key target is to protect 30%30\% of land and sea areas by 20302030, contributing to global biodiversity efforts. The UK National Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) targets were submitted in 20242024.

  • Marine: Efforts focus on maintaining clean and healthy seas. The UK is also building a blue carbon evidence partnership to enhance understanding and protection of marine carbon sinks.

  • Fisheries: The climate objective is integrated into the Fisheries Act. The UK Seafood Fund provides support for the adoption of more efficient engines in fishing vessels, reducing their carbon footprint.

  • Northern Ireland’s Marine Plan is expected to be adopted in 20252025. A comprehensive Blue Carbon Action Plan for NI is also slated for completion by March 20252025.

  • Food security: The UK Food Security Report, updated in 20242024, provides a detailed assessment of national food resilience. The UK has endorsed the COP2828 declaration on sustainable agriculture, committing to food systems transformation.

  • Circular economy: A dedicated Strategy Taskforce has been established for England to accelerate the transition to a circular economy. Food waste reduction efforts are supported through initiatives led by WRAP (Waste and Resources Action Programme).

  • Northern Ireland has a draft Circular Economy Strategy in development. Scotland’s Circular Economy (Scotland) Act was passed in 20242024, providing a strong legislative framework. A comprehensive circular economy strategy for Wales is also forthcoming.

  • Clean Air: An updated UK Clean Air Strategy is upcoming. A new industrial Best Available Techniques (BAT) framework is being introduced to minimise industrial air pollution. Devolved administrations also have their own clean-air plans tailored to regional needs.

  • Education & skills: A review of the UK’s education strategy for sustainability is scheduled for 20252025. Green skills action plans are being developed and implemented in Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales to ensure the workforce has the necessary competencies for a green economy.

  • Jersey, the Isle of Man, and Gibraltar are actively integrating climate change education into their curricula. Carbon Literacy training is being rolled out across various sectors to raise awareness and promote low-carbon behaviours.

  • Article 66: The UK is currently not planning to use Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs) under Article 66 of the Paris Agreement but reserves the right to do so in the future if deemed necessary.

  • Global Stocktake (GST) outcomes: The UK’s NDC aligns with the outcomes of the GST, specifically the call for global emissions to be cut by over 60%60\% relative to 20192019 levels by 20352035, ensuring consistency with IPCC 1.5C1.5^{\circ}\text{C} pathways.

  • The Clean Power 20302030 plan targets an electricity grid intensity of less than or equal to 50gCO2e/kWh50\,\text{gCO}_2e/\text{kWh} in 20302030. Significant support for heat pump deployment is provided through the Boiler Upgrade Scheme and the Clean Heat Market Mechanism.

  • Just transition away from fossil fuels: The government is consulting on whether to introduce a presumption against new oil and gas licences in the North Sea. The £21.7billion{21.7}\,\text{billion} investment in CCUS aims to decarbonise existing industrial facilities and create new green jobs.

  • Forestry: The UK co-chairs the Forest and Climate Leaders’ Partnership, advocating for global action. It is committed to halting and reversing deforestation by 20302030.

  • No information on response measures (impacts of NDC implementation on other countries) is required for this NDC submission.

  • Accounting: The UK adheres to IPCC 20062006 guidelines for national GHG inventories, with later supplements integrated where applicable. Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR55) are used for calculating CO2_2 equivalent emissions.

  • No Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs) are currently planned for use, but any future use would strictly follow the rules and procedures established under the CMA (Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement).

  • Fairness: By 20352035, the UK’s per-capita emissions are projected to reach 2.1tCO2e2.1\,\text{tCO}_2e (excluding IAS), which is broadly consistent with global 1.5C1.5^{\circ}\text{C} pathways, demonstrating a fair contribution to global decarbonisation.

  • The UK’s NDC demonstrates clear progression beyond its 20302030 NDC and reflects the highest possible ambition, as consistently advised by the Climate Change Committee (CCC).

  • The UK has committed £11.6billion{11.6}\,\text{billion} in International Climate Finance (ICF) for the period 2021202120262026. This includes a significant trebling of adaptation finance to £1.5billion{1.5}\,\text{billion} specifically for 20252025 alone.

  • Extensive references list includes detailed CCC advice, finance communications, and other supporting documents.

  • Legislative references for devolved and sectoral acts ensure legal compliance and accountability across the UK.

  • Key sector strategies: Includes details on the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate, the Oil and Gas Authority (OGA) Plan, Sustainable Farming Incentive (SFI), and the Methane Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).

  • Specific details on the Tree Taskforce, the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) consultation response, and the energy storage pledge.

  • Additional international declarations and initiatives related to ZEVs and Product Efficiency.

  • Public engagement and nature strategies specific to Overseas Territories and Crown Dependencies.

  • Criteria for the 30by3030\text{by}30 target (protecting 30%30\% of land and sea), Environmental Improvement Plans, and various nature/biodiversity strategies.

  • Comprehensive marine and coastal legislations and strategies across the UK and its devolved regions.

  • Frameworks for food and agriculture policies specific to devolved regions and Overseas Territories.

  • Waste and circular economy acts, strategies, toolkits, including Gibraltar’s plan.

  • Clean air ordinances, monitoring plans, and active travel strategies for promoting sustainable transport.

  • Detailed skills plans: Northern Ireland’s green skills strategy, Scotland’s industrial strategy, and Wales’s Net Zero Skills plan.

  • Heat policy instruments: Boiler Upgrade Scheme and product standards to promote energy-efficient heating solutions.

  • The document is published under the Open Government Licence v3.03.0 (OGL).