Hazards

Concept of a hazard

Natural hazard = event which are perceived to be a threat to people, the built environment and natural environment. It has the POTENTIAL to affect humans. Occur in physical environments of atmosphere, lithosphere and hydrosphere

Natural disaster = hazardous event that causes unacceptably large numbers of fatalities and overwhelming property damage

Natural hazard becomes a disaster if 10+ people die, 100+ people affected, there is a declaration of a state of emergency, request for international assistance

Categorising hazards:

  • geophysical - caused by land processes e.g. earthquakes, volcanoes, landslide, avalanche etc.

  • atmospheric - caused by climate processes e.g. tropical storms, wildfires

  • hydrological - caused by water e.g. flooding

risk = exposure of people to a hazardous event presenting a potential threat to themselves their possessions and the built environment in which they live

risk increase over time due to increasing population:

  • building shanty towns on unstable tropical slopes

  • urbanising volcanic zones

  • living in active seismic areas

  • living in coastal areas susceptible to tropical storms and tsunamis

why do people put themselves at risk:

  • economic benefits

    • farming, tourism, mining, geothermal energy

  • personal preference

    • wealthy people

  • unpredictable nature of hazards

  • perception

  • urbanisation

  • lack of alternatives

    • poverty and lack of space - low income families are forced to build their slum house on a slope at risk of landslides

  • increasing risk due to land use change

    • e.g. deforestation increased risk of landslides

vulnerability = the potential for loss. This varies geographically, over time and among different social groups (varies over time and space)

Model of vulnerability and risk:

Perception of hazards:

Fatalism

  • a view of a hazard event that suggests that people cannot influence or shape the outcome, therefore nothing can be done to mitigate against it. People with such an attitude put in place limited preventive measures

Adaptation

  • people believe that they can prepare for and survive an event by predicting, prevention and protection

Fear

  • people feel so vulnerable to an extent that they feel so vulnerable to an event that they can no longer face living in the areas and move away to areas unaffected by the hazards

Factors affecting perception of hazard: Wealth

Increasing vulnerability

  • developing countries cities are growing far too rapidly leading to increased building in marginal areas e.g. low lying coastal areas, hillsides

Decreasing vulnerability

  • developed countries can afford technology needed to develop effective prediction and management techniques

  • developed countries can afford to build physical defenses to natural hazards

  • developed countries can train emergency services effectively

  • developed countries can educate locals on what to do during hazard event

Management of natural hazards:

  • Responses can come from individuals, local community, national governments, international agencies

Resilient communities are more able to effectively manage natural hazards

Integrated risk management

  • identification of hazard

  • analysis of risks posed

  • prioritising risks that are most serious

  • implementing a risk reduction plan

  • developing public awareness

  • maintaining and reviewing the entire process

  • = ongoing cycle of development and improvement

Risk is managed by:

  • Prediction

    • effective monitoring of hazards can allow for prior warning to be issued

  • Prevention

    • unrealistic but is possible in some circumstances e.g. flood defenses

  • Protection

    • protecting people and possessions/property from the impact of the event

Key components to hazard management:

  • governments teaching people to change their attitude and behaviour to natural hazards - decreasing vulnerability

  • community preparedness which involbes educating public on evacuation procedures, providing emergency medicine and food supply, construction of emergency shelters

  • modifying the losses which involves insurance pay out for any damages and economic losses in developed countries, international aid in developing countries

Successful management schemes:

  • cooling lava flows in Iceland with sea water

  • dynamite to divert lava flows on mt etna

Park model:

Shows changing quality of life through different phases of disaster

Hazard management cycle:

Plate tectonics

Earths structure

Continental crust:

  • mainly granite (SIAL - silicon, Aluminum, oxygen)

  • upper layer of earths crust and forms continental land masses

  • less dense (lighter)

  • 30-70km thick

  • over 1500 million years old

Oceanic crust:

  • mainly basalt (SIMA - silica, magnesium, oxygen)

  • lower layer of earths crust and is found beneath the ocean

  • more dense (heavier)

  • 5-10km thick

  • less than 2 million years old

Mantle:

  • largely composed of silicate rocks rich in iron and magnesium

  • widest section of the earth 2900km thick

  • upper mantle - rigid and together with crust forms lithosphere

  • middle part of mantle (asthenosphere) is in a semi-liquid state due to heat and pressure

  • lower part of mantle (mesosphere) - solid

  • mantle becomes denser the deeper it goes

  • temperatures near core reach 5000 degrees C

  • high temperatures near core believed to be responsible for generation of convection currents

  • separated from core by the Gutenburg Discontinuity (2900km below surface)

Core:

  • approximately size of mars

  • start about 2900km down - centre is 6350km down

  • most dense part of planet - 4x denser than crust

  • core temperature over 6000 degrees C

  • outer core is semi-molten - mostly iron

  • inner core is solid

Lithosphere - crust and upper mantle, where tectonics are found

Mesosphere - 3rd layer of atmosphere, between stratosphere and thermosphere

Asthenosphere - upper layer of mantle, where convection occurs

Gutenburg discontinuity - 2900km below earths surface, change is seismic waves

Moho discontinuity - boundary between crust and mantle, 10-12km below oceans

Inner core - innermost layer of earth, solid ball

Outer core - liquid layer between inner core and mantle

Mantle - between crust and core

Crust - outer most layer of rock

Continental crust - thick part of crust, forms land masses, old

Oceanic crust - thinner part of crust, underlies oceans basins, young

Tectonic theory

Continental drift: plates moving apart

evidence for continental drift

  • apparent fit of continents

    • continents fit together like a jigsaw

  • rock and mountain correlation

    • identical rock and mountain structures found on either side of ocean

  • paleoclimate data

    • coal has been found in cold regions and past glacial marks found in warm areas

  • fossil correlation

    • identical fossils found on opposite sides of ocean e.g. Mesosaurus fossils found south America and Africa

How plates move:

  • slab pull

    • as slab subducts the stress is transferred back up through brittle rock in lithosphere to the plate at the surface, pulling it down by slab pull

  • ridge push

    • hotter mantle rock flows up to fill the space - creating positive buoyancy and lift the ridge

    • as the new crust cools over time it becomes more dense and slides away laterally which pushes the plate apart by ridge push

  • convection currents

    • heat rises, cooler magma sinks

    • subduction zones in cooler areas

    • heat rising moves plates apart

Plate margins

15 plates make up earths crust

Constructive (divergent) margins:

  • 2 oceanic plates move apart (mid ocean ridges created)

  • 2 continental plates move apart (rift valleys created)

  • Ocean ridges:

    • when 2 plates pull apart there is a thinner, weaker zone in the crust and an increase in heat near surface - hotter expanded crust forms ridge

    • e.g. mid Atlantic ridge

    • volcanic activity occurs along ridge - creates submarine volcanoes (sometimes rise above sea level e.g. Surtsey Island - near Iceland)

    • Submarine volcanoes have fairly gentle sides because of lower viscosity of basaltic lava (thinner lava so can flow a long way before it cools)

    • eruptions are fairly frequent but gentle

    • as new crust forms and spreads, transform faults occur at right angles to the plate margin - parts of spreading plates on either side of these transform faults may be moving at different rates, leading to friction and ultimately to earthquakes (shallow focus)

  • Rift valleys:

    • occur at constructive margins in continental areas - 2 continental plates pulling apart

    • heating and up-doming of crust leads to fracturing and rifting

    • as sides of rift move apart, central sections drop down to form rift valleys

    • largest = great east african rift valley - 4000km long and 50km wide

    • has horsts and grabens - graben = fallen blocks

Destructive (convergent) margins:

  • oceanic-continental

    • denser oceanic plate forced under lighter continental one - process = subduction

    • as oceanic crust descends, friction with overlying continental crust builds up and causes major earthquakes

    • as plates converge, continental plate is uplifted, buckles and is folded to create chains of fold mountains - compression continues and can become symmetrical forming a recumbent fold - further compression can make the middle sections so thin it might break creating a nappe

    • the collision bends the plate downwards forming a deep ocean trench

    • melted oceanic plate rise in form of plumes - forming volcanic eruptions

    • eruption of magma takes place offshore - a line of volcanic islands known as island arc can appear e.g. Japan

    • friction leads to stress/tension that can build up and by released as deep focus earthquakes

    • benioff zone = further the rock descends, the hotter the surroundings become - this together with heat generated from friction, begins to melt oceanic plate into magma

    • ocean trench - e.g. peru-chile trench

  • oceanic-oceanic

    • one plate forced under the other = subduction

    • crust that is subducted may be marginally denser or is the one moving faster

    • ocean trenches and island arcs are main features e.g. Mariana trench

  • continental-continental

    • similar density so neither will be subducted

    • plates collide and are folded up into fold mountains

    • they have deep roots in lithosphere

    • no volcanic activity

    • can trigger shallow focus earthquakes

    • orogenesis = process of a fold mountain forming

Conservative margin

  • 2 plates move parallel to each other - they can move in opposite directions or same direction but at different speeds

  • no creation or destruction of crust

  • no subduction therefore no volcanic activity

  • as they move past each other friction builds as plates snag on one another and parts of the fault line lock and pressure builds - stress energy released and sends shock waves through earths crust (earthquakes)

  • e.g. san andreas fault line (california) - pacific plate moving at faster rate than north american plate

Hot spots

Not all volcanic activity can be related to present day active plate margin

Hot spots do not fit with plate tectonic theory

radioactive decay within earths core generates hot temperatures - if decay is concentrated then hot spots will form around core - these hot spots heat the lower mantle, creating localised thermal currents where plumes of magma rise vertically

how do they form:

  • magma is lighter than solid lithosphere and rises up

  • plumes burn through lithosphere create volcanic activity on surface

  • where crust is thin above a hot spot provides further opportunity for magma to escape as volcanic eruption

  • lava builds up over time eventually creating an island above present sea level

  • as hot spot remains stationary, movement of overlying plate results in formation of a chain of volcanoes

  • e.g. Hawaii

Volcanic hazards

Volcanoes found along ocean ridges, rift valleys, subduction zones and hot spots

vulcanicity - all volcanic activities related to magma being forced into the crust (usually at plate margins)

hazards with volcanoes:

  • submarine, coastal or island eruptions may cause tsunamis

  • pyroclastic flows of superheated gas, ash and pumice destroy life and property

  • dust emissions can seed torrential rainstorms causing dangerous wet ash and mud lahars

  • volcanic melting of snow creates lahars

  • ash fall ruins crops and machinery, pollutes the air and disrupts

  • flooding from lava flows block and divert rivers

benefits to volcanoes

  • lava and ash weather quickly create fertile soils

  • volcanoes make great tourist attractions along with geysers, hot springs and boiling mud = economic

  • igneous rocks contain valuable minerals such as gold, silver and diamonds

  • volcanic Sulphur is used in pharmaceuticals and agrochemistry industries

  • extinct volcanoes make great defensive sites e.g. Edinburgh castle

  • volcanic ash absorbs solar energy so temperatures are reduced

  • lava creates new land

  • igneous rocks make great building materials e.g. granite

  • hot rocks can generate geothermal power

How to measure magnitude of volcanoes:

  • measured on Volcano Explosivity Index (VEI)

  • relative scale = enables explosive volcanic erruptions to be compared to one another

  • VEI measures on volume of material ejected, height of eruption column, style and type of eruption, duration of eruption

  • as VEI increases, frequency decreases

Eruptions vary in form, frequency and type due to different types of plate margin, emissions and lava

types of magma:

  • basaltic - low silica, low viscosity, rich in minerals e.g. iron

  • andesitic - rich in iron, magnesium and calcium, higher silica and water content, more viscous, more acidic

  • rhyolitic - granite, very viscous, high silica content, high water content

constructive plate margins form shield volcanoes and produce effusive eruptions

destructive plate margins form composite volcanoes and produce explosive erruptions

Volcano classification:

  • fissure eruptions

    • cracks in the crust found at spreading ridges where tension pulls the plates apart allowing lava to spill out over a large area

    • basalt forms a large plateau, filling hollows other than building up into a typical cone shaped volcanic peak

    • columnar jointing produced by slow cooling of lava provides tourist attractions e.g. Giant Causeway

    • rifts and constructive plate margins

    • gentle eruptions

  • lava plateau

    • created by fissure eruptions

    • a wide area of flat featureless solidified lava that can be up to 1km thick covering large surface areas

    • multi layered because of repeated lava flows and occur where lava pours out of long fissures rather than a central vent, covering much larger areas with thick layers of magma

  • shield volcanoes

    • very wide volcano

    • built up slowly by accretion of thousands of flows of highly fluid lava that spread widely over a great distances and cool as thin, gently dipping sheets

    • lava also commonly erupt from vents along fractures that develop on flanks of cone

    • magma has very low gas content and is low in silica, allowing it to flow over large distances

    • hot spots and oceanic-oceanic destructive plate margins

    • gentle eruptions

  • composite cones

    • most common type found on land

    • classic pyramid shaped volcanoes consisting of layers of ash and lava that is usually andesitic

    • e.g. Mt Etna, Sicily

    • destructive plate margins (continental)

    • explosive eruptions

  • dome volcanoes

    • steep sided convex cones consisting of viscous lava

    • destructive plate margins (continental)

    • explosive eruption

  • ash cones

    • formed by ash, cinder, tephra and volcanic bombs ejected from central crater

    • sides are steep and symmetrical in a concave shape

    • destructive and constructive plate margin

    • explosive eruptions

  • calderas

    • when gases have built up beneath a blocked vent, it results in a catastrophic eruption that destroys the volcano summit - this emphasises magma chamber and allows sides of volcano to collapse inward, leaving an opening several km in diameter

    • may form a lake within it

    • destructive plate margin

    • very explosive

IMPACTS OF VOLCANOES

Primary:

  • Tephra

    • solid material of varying grain size - ranging from volcanic bombs to ash. All ejected into atmosphere

  • Pyroclastic fallout

    • material that has been ejected from a volcano during an eruption and falls back down to the ground

    • when it consists of mostly ash = ash fallout

    • ranges from large rocks to ash

    • heavier material deposited first (closer to volcano), small particles carried further

    • high velocity

  • Lahars

  • Lava flows

    • vary depending on lava

    • low viscosity lava travels long way faster

    • high viscosity lava travels shorter way as its slower (thicker) - easier to evacuate

    • both destroy everything in path by burning and burying

  • Volcanic gases

    • e.g. CO2, CO, sulphide

    • Nyos Crater 1986 - carbon dioxide emissions killed 1700 people

Secondary:

  • Lahars

    • melted snow and ice as a result of eruption combined with volcanic ash forms mud flows that move down course of river valleys at high speeds

    • destroy everything in path by flooding and burying

  • Flooding

    • eruption melts glaciers and ice caps e.g. Iceland

  • Acid rain

    • emit gases which combine with water vapour

    • can damage ecosystems

Monitoring and predicting - use seismic equipment to detect warning signs of events

Protection - designing buildings that will withstand hazard

Planning/preparation - identifying and avoiding places most at risk. Preparing for any effects and how to reduce effects

Evacuation - reduces injury and life loss

Restricting access to area - stops people getting too close = reduce death

Diverting lava - saves lives, reduces injury, reduces damage to roads, ports and businesses

Improved building design - reduces poverty/business damage, thus reducing injury, death, loss of jobs and lost to economy

Campaigns to increase awareness - encouraged to keep emergency kits in home = prepared = reduce death/injury

Volcanic hazard maps - educate people about risk areas, reduce injury and death by ensuring locals are prepared

Seismic hazards

Earthquakes

more violent earthquakes at destructive plate margins

more frequent earthquakes at conservative plate margins

earthquakes occur because of stress and energy building up between plates - released as seismic waves

3 focuses: shallow (0-70km), intermediate (70-300km), deep (300+km)

Richter scale: how magnitude of earthquakes is measured

2 types of seismic wave:

  • body waves: fastest moving

    • primary - fastest and travel longitudinally creating compressional stress in direction of movement. Travel through the earth with refraction

    • secondary - slower and transverse the direction of movement creating sheer stress. Only travel through solids

  • surface waves

    • move across surface of crust and produce most damage

    • love waves = transverse across line of direction of seismic wave. move objects from side to side

    • Rayleigh waves = move in longitudinal direction in same line of direction as the seismic wave. move objects vertically

Why does damage vary:

  • population density - more potential for loss of life and property damage

  • earthquake depth - shallower focus = more damage

  • building design - HICs better designed to withstand earth shaking - limits loss of life and damage caused

  • earthquake strength

  • geology - rock type, solid rocks = less damage

IMPACTS

primary:

  • ground shaking

    • severity depends on magnitude, depth, distance from epicenter and geology

    • causes buildings collapsing

  • rupturing

    • shaking can rupture the ground - visible breaking and displacement of earths surface

    • causes a major risk to engineered structures e.g. damns, bridges, nuclear power plants

secondary:

  • fires

    • resulting from broken gas pipes and collapsed electricity transmission systems

  • landslides

    • slope failure as a result of ground shaking

  • soil liquefaction

    • occurs when shaking of silts, sands and gravels causes them to lose their load bearing capacity and begin behaving like fluids

    • buildings and other structures may sink into ground

  • tsunamis

    • ocean waves with extremely long wavelengths, generated by earthquake tremors

Reducing risk of earthquakes

  • seismographs used to measure levels of activity (foreshocks may occur)

  • earthquake proof infrastructure - withhold shaking

  • earthquake drills carried out in schools

  • emergency kit in every home

Tsunamis

generated by shallow focus underwater earthquakes, eruptions

in open ocean tsunamis have very long wavelengths and low wave height and travel very quickly (700km/h)

on reaching shallow water they increase rapidly in height

1st warning for coastal populations is wave trough in front of tsunami, which causes a reduction in sea level known as drawdown

tsunami can reach heights of 25m

90% of tsunamis generated within pacific basin and are associated with tectonic activity

effects depends on

  • height of waves and distance they’ve travelled

  • length of event that caused tsunami

  • extent to which warmings can be given

  • coastal physical geography, both offshore and in coastal area

  • coastal land use and population density

Management

3 P’s

Storm hazards

Topical storms are intense low pressure weather systems that develop in tropics. Usually measure 200-700km in diameter

Begin with an area of low pressure resulting in surface hating into which warm air is drawn in a spiraling manner. These small scale disturbances can enlarge into tropical depressions with rotating wind systems and they continue to grow into a much more intense and rapidly rotating system

Measured on Saffir-Simpson scale

Conditions needed:

  • oceanic location with sea temperatures above 27 degrees c - provides a continuous source of heat in order to maintain rising air currents

  • ocean depth of at least 70m - moisture provides latent heat, rising air causes the moisture to be released by condensation and continuation of this drives the system

  • a location at least 5 degrees north or south of equator = Coriolis force can bring about the maximum rotation of air

  • low level convergence of air in lower atmospheric circulation system - winds have to come together near the centre of the low pressure zone

  • rapid outflow of air in upper atmospheric circulation - this pushes away warm air which has risen close to the centre of the storm

Impacts depend on intensity of storm, speed of movement, distance from sea, physical geography of coastal area, preparations made by community, warnings and community response

Impacts:

  • winds

    • often exceed 150km/hr

    • high winds cause structural damage to buildings (collapse), roads and bridges etc.

    • can bring down electricity transmission lines and devastate agricultural areas

    • huge amounts of debris flung about are a serious threat to peoples lives

  • heavy rainfall

    • can exceed 300mm

    • brings about severe flooding, landslides and mudslides

  • storm surges

    • high sea levels result when wind driven waves pile up and ocean heaves upwards as a result of lower atmospheric pressure

    • can have devastating effect on low lying coastal areas such as river deltas where the flooding can extend a long way inland

    • cause majority of deaths

    • agricultural areas can suffer for a long time as soil contaminated by sea water

Managing tropical storms

  • Prediction

    • data from geostationary satellites and land and sea data and round the clock surveillance of tropical storms that have the potential to become hazards by aircraft - compared with computer models so path can be predicted and people warned to evacuate

    • high economic risk with evacuation and false alarms lead to people becoming complacent and refuse future advice so essential that warnings are correct - in USA evacuating coastal areas costs 1 million dollars per km of coastline

    • not always possible to give more than 12 hours warning - in poorer areas communications are poor so insufficient for proper evacuation

    • 1997 - tropical cyclone warning in Bangladesh allowed for evacuation of over 300000 people = death toll below 100

  • Prevention

    • cloud seeding causes more precipitation = weakening tropical storm system

  • Protection

    • predicting landfall will enable evacuation to take place

    • emergency services on full alert

    • homes are strengthened to withstand strong winds

    • cyclone/hurricane drills

    • land use planning can identify areas at greatest risk and certain types of development can be limited in such areas

    • sea walls and flood barriers built and houses put on stilts

  • Preparedness

    • practicing evacuation plans to save lives, money, property etc.

    • poorer areas suffer more because land use planning, warning systems, defenses, infrastructure and emergency services are inadequate = higher death toll

    • richer countries have planning systems in place, warning systems, better defenses and infrastructure and emergency services that are much more comprehensive and better prepared

Wildfires

Types of wildfire

  • ground fires - fires that burn organic material in soil. Slow burning fire. They smoulder and burn for a long time

  • surface fires - burn on surface of ground. The most common fire. Burn dry leaf litter, broken twigs and branches. Easiest to control

  • crown fires - burn with huge flames and has intense heat. Burn from tree top to tree top and spread very quickly with wind and heat particularly on steep slopes. Most intense and most difficult to control

factors affecting wildfires

  • wind - influences speed at which fire spreads, direction in which fire travels, intensity of fire (wind provides more oxygen), likelihood of spotting (burning pieces of leaves twigs and bark that the wind carries ahead of the fire - causing new ‘spot’ fires to ignite)

  • topography (slope) - fire will burn faster uphill, flames can easily reach more unburnt fuel in front of the fire, radiant heat preheats the fuel in front of the fire (making it more flammable), for every 10 degree slope the fire will double its speed, by increasing speed the fire also increases in intensity becoming even hotter, opposite applies to fire travelling downhill

  • aspect of land - aspect is the direction that a slope faces. The direction a slope faces determines how much radiated heat it will receive from the sun, slopes facing south to southwest will receive the most solar radiation so are warmer than north facing slopes. Warmer slope = lower relative humidity, higher temperatures and rapid loss of moisture

  • temperature - higher temperatures absorb moisture from fuels and make them conductive to catch fire. Areas with lots of sun and higher temperatures tend to be dry and have more fire events

  • humidity - how much water the air can hold. Drier the air, the faster the vegetation dries out which intensifies a blaze. Consistent rain key for fire suppression. Humidity saps large amounts of energy from wildfires so high humidity lowers spread - when humidity above 15% risk is low. Humidity varies in day - lowest in early afternoon = more wildfires then

  • fuel - spread of wildfires depends on fuel composition. Trees and vegetation with lots of moisture tend to slow down fires than dry vegetation. Additionally some vegetation with high oil and resin make fires burn with more ease

  • times and seasons - el nino events lead to increased wildfires. Also more fires in summer as heat makes fuels drier and provides richer oxygen

  • space between fuel - if more fuels in close proximity = wildfires spread more easily

Causes of wildfires:

Natural

  • 2 things needed: ignition source and fuel

  • lightning main cause, other causes = lava flows

  • climate and weather affect frequency of electrical storms, frequency and duration of droughts which the vegetation and litter has opportunity to accumulate and dry out, type of vegetation growing in an area

Human

  • arson

  • falling power lines

  • discarded cigarettes

  • children playing with matches

  • camp fires not put out propely

  • sparks from machinery

  • broken glass left in vegetated areas (magnifies sun)

  • agricultural fires which get out of hands

Distribution of wildfires

  • key regions: Australia, USA, Canada, Southern Europe

  • most susceptible areas have dry vegetation and lightning strikes, as well as areas susceptible to drought

  • fires can clear vegetation and aid new seed germination, stimulate the growth of certain plants and rid area of insects and some parisites

IMPACTS:

primary

  • loss of crops, timber and livestock

    • forest fires can have a huge impact in timber producing areas - loss of trees takes many years to replace

    • in USA it has been estimated that over $10 million per day spent facing fires

  • loss of life

    • many fires are events from which people can get out of the way however some fires move so fast that people can be trapped

    • Australia bushfires 2009 - 173 people died

  • loss of property

    • urban expansion means urban rural fringes are susceptible e.g. LA

    • cost of damage and fighting fires can run into hundreds of millions of dollars

    • causes homelessness

  • release of toxic gases and particulates

    • large scale air pollution

    • largely caused by slash and burn practices (especially in Indonesia)

  • loss of wildlife

  • damage to soil structure and nutrient content

    • intense heat at ground level

    • destroys many soil nutrients and lead to alteration in soil structure

  • loss of crops

secondary

  • evacuation

    • emergency shelters/accommodation will have to be found along with food etc.

  • increased flood risk

    • loss of vegetation = less interception = increased flooding

  • loss of jobs

  • cost of rebuilding

  • cost of future preparedness and mitigation

  • review laws/advice for using countryside for leisure

  • disruption to transport

  • reduction in water quality and air quality

  • impact on tourism

  • weather changes temporarily

Managing event:

Preparedness, prevention, mitigation

  • managing vegetation

    • controlled burning to get rid of litter and creating firebreaks in vegetation in advance rather than during the event

  • managing built environment

    • increasing gap between houses and vegetation and incorporating more fire resistant methods in construction

  • being well insured

    • in wealthier countries, residents are urged to take out insurance against fire damage

  • modelling

    • studying ways in which fires behave with computer simulations in order to comprehend and predict fire behaviour

  • education

    • e.g. Smokey Bear educating Americans - 70% can recall fire safety message

    • average number of hectares lost to wildfires has fallen from 54 million in 1944 to 16.5 million today

  • warning systems

    • lookout towers and air patrols

  • community action

    • Australia 1983 - 47 dead, 2000 homes and cost $200 million

    • community education program established - community fireguard which assisted people in developing fire survival strategies

  • dealing with event as it happens

    • fighting fires - spraying water and chemicals

  • retardants

    • slow pace of wildfire

  • after fighting fires

    • replanting trees

wildfire prevention

  • cut down some trees - reduce fuel to reduce crown fire spreading

  • clear dead leaves and branches - little dry fuel

  • spark arrester on chimney to stop sparks - no embers to start fire and less heat

  • removing anything blocking driveway - escape route and fire service have easy access to fire

  • move firewood away from home - reduce fuel around house

  • cut grass often - reduce fuel around house, harder for surface fires to spread to contain fire

  • cut back branches - reduce fuel to reduce crown fire spreading

  • use materials that do not burn easily - no fuel and property doesn’t catch fire - decrease homelessness

Case studies

VOLCANOES

BIG E, ICELAND (HIC)

  • iceland on constructive plate margin but also a hot spot so a lot of volcanic activity

  • normally eruptions are effusive (mild)

  • on average iceland experiences erruption every 4 years

  • 1/3 of all lava erupted been in Iceland in last 10000 years

  • 85% of housing in Iceland is heated by natural geothermal heat

  • Iceland = one of least polluted cities in world

  • 20th March 2010: Big E erupted

  • Local impacts:

    • Jokulhlaups (glacial floods)

      • blocked roads, flooded farmland, cut electricity, local water supplies contaminated

    • Mudflows

    • ash covered farmland (5.5cm) = crops destroyed, harm farm animals

    • 2 tourists died

    • 800 people evacuated from homes and farms

  • global impacts:

    • no fly zone imposed across europe due to ash - largest shut down since WW2 - airlines losing £130 million a day

    • impact was felt as far as Kenya - 5000 workers laid off after vegetables left rotting in airports

    • Europe lost £2.5 billion of GDP due to eruption

    • Teachers, government and others got stuck abroad

    • less noise pollution from major airports and 2.8 million tonnes less CO2 emitted during period

EARTHQUAKES

TOHOKU, JAPAN (LIC)

  • destructive plate margin

  • 11th March 2011

  • measured 9 on richter scale

  • long term responses:

  • immediate responses:

  • factors affecting damage caused

  • primary impacts

    • 18000 dead/missing

    • tsunami triggered and swept 10km inland causing total devastation to an area of 500km2

    • buildings collapsed but many are eq proof

    • 200000 buildings damaged

    • electricity cut off in over 6 million homes

    • 1 million left with no clean drinking water

    • power cut at Fukishima power plant - radioactive materials escaped causing local radioactivity levels to increase up to 40000x - long lasting health impact

    • Fukishima dam flooded

  • secondary impacts

    • 500000 people forced to live in shelters

    • 2 million people left homeless as a result of tsunami

    • rail and road disruptions

    • lack of clean water

    • power cut at Fukushima power plant - radioactive materials escaped causing local radioactivity levels to increase up to 40000x - long lasting health impact

    • total cost to rebuild was £185 billion

  • Responses:

    • $300 billion project to reconstruct infrastructure (LT)

    • UK sent 70 medical support team to Japan and 2 search dogs

    • China sent $167000 in aid

    • Japan red cross sent 230 emergency teams to worst affected areas to provide medical support

    • Shelter box NGO sent 1500 boxes of aid (tents, bottled water etc.)

    • 100,000 Japanese soldiers deployed

    • Pakistan government sent 2 cargo planes carrying 24 tonnes of relief goods including food and water

    • shelters set up in schools for those who lived close to nuclear power plant

STORMS

HURRICANE KATRINA (HIC)

  • 95% of deaths came from drowning

  • levees were built on soft peat = flood defenses failed

  • 1300 dead

  • 800000 homeless

TYPHOON HAIYAN, PHILIPPINES (LIC)

  • 8th November 2013

  • category 5 ‘super typhoon’

  • Philippines is vulnerable because:

    • low literacy rate - less people can read typhoon warnings

    • GNI per capita - almost 10x less than America, less development of buildings and less preparation, response after is worse

    • between the tropics = warm, deep oceans

    • Tacloban = shape of land around it funnels storm surges towards Tacloban

  • EFFECTS OF TYPHOON HAIYAN

    • Primary

      • schools damaged and destroyed (social)

      • 90% of Tacloban city destroyed (social)

      • 600000 people displaced (s)

      • falling trees destroyed homes, businesses and killed people (s)

      • 2000 missing (s)

      • 26000 injured (s)

      • 6300 died (s)

      • phone lines and internet cut off (s)

      • 5m storm surge with waves up to 15m (en)

      • Tacloban flooded with up to 20 feet of water (en)

      • 195mph winds (en)

      • 1.1 million tonnes of crops destroyed - over 1 million farmers and 600000 hectares of agricultural land affected (en)

      • 1 million homes damaged/destroyed (s)

      • forests and habitats destroyed when trees uprooted (en)

      • 30 000 fishing boats destroyed (en/ec)

      • 4.4 million homeless (s)

    • Secondary

      • flooding caused roads to be blocked and people were stranded and isolated (s)

      • hospitals flooded and destroyed which meant it was difficult to treat survivors and those open were overwhelmed increasing death toll (s)

      • water supply contaminated and water pipes broken - no clean water (s)

      • ferry services and flights cancelled for weeks, flowing down aid efforts and reducing tourism (s/ec)

      • some survivors of typhoon were wounded by debris and these wounds become easily infected in warm, wet and filthy conditions (s)

      • people without access to food and water - starving (s)

      • 6 million lost jobs (ec)

      • 14 million affected (s)

      • $20 billion cost to philippines - 5% of its GNP (ec)

      • oil tanker ran aground causing 800000 litre oil leak - damaged 10 hectares of mangroves (en)

      • agriculture and fishing industries destroyed - cost $3.6 billion to rebuild (ec)

      • rice is staple food of philippines - crops destroyed costing $53 million (ec)

      • more deaths due to spread of disease (s)

WILDFIRES

Australia bushfires

MULTIHAZARDOUS ENVIRONMENT

Philippines:

UNFINISHED