Econ 2050 Money and Finance - Equity Markets Complete Study Guide

Historical Origins and Evolutionary Milestones of Equity Markets

  • Foundations of the Modern Joint-Stock Model

    • The United Dutch Chartered East India Company (VOC): Recognised as the first true prototype of the modern, perpetual, limited, and joint-stock company. It was the largest private enterprise of the 17th17th century.

    • Secondary Markets and the First Exchange: VOC shares were traded in a secondary market, which facilitated the creation of the world’s first stock market in Amsterdam.

    • Credit and Equity Linkage: The Amsterdam Exchange Bank established a critical link between credit and stock markets by accepting VOC shares as collateral for loans.

    • Corporate Governance: The concept of a ‘Board’ to represent shareholder interests emerged from corporate governance reforms within the VOC.

    • Replication: The VOC model was subsequently replicated by England’s East India Company, which had a globally significant impact.

  • Timeline of Key International and Australian Developments

    • 16801680: ‘Jonathan’s Coffee House’ in Change Alley, London, began issuing a weekly list of stock and commodity prices for stockbrokers. At this time, approximately 150150 joint-stock companies existed in England.

    • 17921792: The ‘Buttonwood Agreement’ was signed by 2424 stockbrokers and merchants on Wall Street, New York, establishing rules for securities dealing.

    • 18011801: The London Stock Exchange (LSE) was formalised.

    • 18171817: The New York Stock and Exchange was formalised.

    • 18291829: In Australia, over-the-counter (OTC) trading began for the shares of the Bank of New South Wales (now Westpac).

    • 1830s1830s: The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) became a critical tool for aggregating capital for American railroads, which became the dominant business for the exchange.

    • 18671867: The introduction of the ‘Ticker Tape’ allowed common prices to be transmitted to investors across different locations.

    • 18711871: The Sydney Stock Exchange was established.

    • 18951895: New NYSE rules required listed companies to publish annual reports to improve transparency.

    • 18961896: The ‘Dow Jones Industrial Average’ (DJIA), the first prominent stock index, was published by the Wall Street Journal. Its initial value was 40.740.7. (By April 20262026, it reached 49,14949,149).

  • Crashes, Regulations, and Deregulation

    • 19071907: The largest stock market crash to that date occurred in October, eventually ended by the intervention of J.P. Morgan.

    • 19231923 - 19291929: A significant bull market on Wall Street led into the Great Crash of October 19291929. Share prices plummeted by 89%89\% from the peak and did not recover to their 19291929 levels until 19541954.

    • 19341934: The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was created in the United States to regulate securities trading.

    • 19751975: The era of fixed commissions for brokers ended, triggering a new era of competition. Australia followed with similar deregulation in 19841984.

    • 19871987: On Black Monday, the NYSE experienced its largest one-day fall, dropping 508points508\,\text{points} or 22.6%22.6\%. This led to the introduction of ‘circuit breakers’ to pause trading during extreme volatility.

    • 19901990: Open pit trading ended in Australia, transitioning to electronic systems.

    • 19911991: The Australian Securities Commission (later ASIC) was created for regulatory oversight.

    • 20002000: The Dot.Com bubble burst.

    • 20082008 - 20092009: The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) triggered the ‘Great Recession’.

    • 2020s2020s: This era has been defined by the Covid-19 pandemic and political divisions, alongside the rise of the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech stocks and a sustained bull market.

Types of Equity Securities

  • Ordinary Shares (Stock)

    • Definition: The fundamental form of corporate ownership.

    • Residual Claims: Ordinary shareholders rank last in the event of a company’s liquidation or wind-up.

    • Dividends: No special dividend rights; payments are based on company performance.

    • Voting Rights: Usually follows the ‘one share, one vote’ principle. In practice, many shareholders utilize proxy voting.

    • Dividend Imputation (Australia, 19871987): A tax system that prevents double taxation on company profits. It makes dividends more tax-effective for shareholders and reduces the tax bias that previously favoured debt over equity in corporate fundraising.

  • Preference Shares

    • Definition: Ownership stakes that provide specific advantages over ordinary shares, making them resemble debt instruments.

    • Priorities: Preference shareholders receive dividends before ordinary shareholders (often as a fixed obligation similar to interest) and have a higher claim on assets during liquidation.

    • Types of Preference Shares:

      • Non-participating: Dividends remain constant even if the firm’s returns exceed expectations.

      • Participating: Allows shareholders to receive higher dividends if the company performs exceptionally well.

      • Redeemable: The company has the right to buy back these shares, sometimes at a fixed redemption date.

      • Irredeemable: The company does not have a buy-back right at a set date.

      • Convertible: Can be converted into ordinary shares at a predetermined ratio at the discretion of the issuer or holder.

      • Adjustable Rate: Dividend payments are periodicially adjusted in line with changes in market interest rates.

Primary Equity Markets: Issuance and Capital Raising

  • Mechanisms of New Equity Issues

    • Underwriting and Agents: Investment banks often act as agents, underwriters, or market-makers. The underwriter ensures the issuer receives the required capital (for a fee) by agreeing to take on the risk of the market.

    • Initial Public Offerings (IPOs): Primary method for start-ups or private companies to ‘go public’.

      • Book Building: Investment banks call for bids from major institutions for blocks of shares to determine a likely public offering price.

      • Notable IPO Examples: Saudi Aramco (25.6B25.6\,\text{B}, 20192019), Alibaba Group (21.8B21.8\,\text{B}, 20142014), SoftBank Corp (21.4B21.4\,\text{B}, 20182018), Visa (18.1B18.1\,\text{B}, 20082008), Meta (16.0B16.0\,\text{B}, 20122012).

      • Direct Listings: Example: Spotify.

      • Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs): Examples: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Nikola.

    • Private Placements: Direct negotiations organized by investment banks with large institutional investors.

  • Alternative Capital Raising Methods

    • Dividend Reinvestment Schemes (DRS): Investors receive additional shares instead of cash dividends. In Australia, these remain taxable similarly to cash dividends.

      • Example Calculation:

        • Current Holdings: 10,000shares10,000\,\text{shares}

        • Dividend: 17cents/share17\,\text{cents}\text{/share}

        • Gross Dividend: 10,000×0.17=$1,70010,000 \times 0.17 = \$1,700

        • Market Value: $8.50/share\$8.50\text{/share}

        • DRS Discount (2%2\%): $8.50×0.98=$8.33\$8.50 \times 0.98 = \$8.33

        • New Shares Received: $1,700$8.33204shares\frac{\$1,700}{\$8.33} \approx 204\,\text{shares}

        • Total Holding Post-DRS: 10,204shares10,204\,\text{shares}

    • Rights Issues: Existing shareholders are offered the opportunity to buy new shares at a discount relative to the market price, usually proportional to their current holding.

      • Renounceable Rights: These rights can be sold to other parties on the market.

      • Non-renounceable Rights: These rights cannot be sold; the shareholder must either exercise them or let them lapse.

Secondary Equity Markets and High-Frequency Trading

  • Function of Secondary Markets

    • Secondary markets involve the trading of previously issued securities. Most Australians interact with this market via the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX).

    • Capital Accumulation: These markets provide liquidity, allowing equity holders to convert stock into money quickly and at minimal cost.

  • High Frequency Trading (HFT)

    • Mechanism: Uses ultra-fast fibre-optic cables and computer algorithms to execute trades in millionths of a second (near light-speed) to pre-empt other market participants.

    • Controversy and Risks:

      • Market Confidence: Concerns that the market is ‘rigged’ against standard investors.

      • Stability: Critics fear that the complexity and volume of HFT could cause events like the ‘flash crash’.

    • Arguments in Favour: Proponents argue HFT adds liquidity, depth, and enhances ‘price discovery’.

    • Note: The movie The Hummingbird Project (2019) explores this topic.

Stock Indices, Index Funds, and ETFs

  • Construction and Utility of Indices

    • Selection Criteria: Stocks are included based on market capitalisation, industry sectors (financials, resources, etc.), or the full list of companies.

    • Utilities: Provide historical perspectives, serve as a yardstick for portfolio performance, and act as forecasting tools for investment decisions.

    • Weighting Methods:

      • Price-Weighted: Sum of share prices divided by a ‘divisor’. (Example: DJIA used a divisor of 1212 for its original 1212 stocks; it now uses a ‘Dow Divisor’ for its 3030 stocks).

      • Market-Value Weighted: Weight of each company determined by multiplying its shares by market price.

  • Key Global and Local Indices

    • S&P/ASX 200: The premier Australian index; market-weighted, containing the 200200 largest/most liquid stocks, representing 86%86\% of the market (as of April 20262026).

    • All Ordinaries (All Ords): Broader index in Australia representing the top 500500 companies (93%93\% of market cap).

    • NASDAQ: Market-weighted index across three categories (industrial, banks, insurance).

    • S&P 500: 500500 leading US companies (~80%80\% of US market cap).

    • FTSE 100: Top 100100 LSE companies (~80%80\% of market cap).

    • Hang Seng: Top 3333 HKEX companies (~70%70\% of market cap).

  • Index Funds and ETFs

    • Origins: First Index Fund created in 19761976 by Jack Bogle (Vanguard). First ETF was the SPDR (‘Spider’) in 19921992 tracking the S&P 500.

    • Growth: Global ETF assets under management reached US$7.7trnUS\$7.7\,\text{trn} by the end of 20202020, with approximately 8,0008,000 varieties.

    • Justifications: Diversification, lower costs, and long-term growth.

    • Major Providers: SPDR, i-shares (Blackrock), and Vanguard.

    • Specialized ETF Risks:

      • Synthetic ETFs: Use derivative contracts (like swaps) instead of holding underlying assets. This introduces counterparty risk.

      • Leveraged ETFs: Use debt and derivatives to amplify returns, inheriting the risks of high leverage.

  • Future Consideration: The potential impact of share tokenisation on trading and counterparty risks.