Ecological Survey Design Notes

Context and goals of the lecture

  • Focus on decisions researchers must make before, during, and after fieldwork related to ecological survey design and field assessments.

  • Grounded in practical principles rather than lots of journal articles; emphasis on key literature and foundational concepts.

  • Suggested core references:

    • Quinn and Kearns? (incorrect spelling in transcript) but cited: experimental design and data analysis for biologists – a foundational text (PDF available via library).

    • Elliot (papers related to benthic and coastal ecology).

    • Kingsford and Battershill – chapters on temperate marine environments, rocky shores, surveys, and sampling design.

  • Preview of upcoming topics: monitoring of disturbed/disturbed habitats, actual experimental design, and data analysis.

Core aim of surveys in ecology

  • Surveys aim to describe spatial and temporal patterns as accurately as possible (stock assessments, diversity estimates, community structure).

  • Basis for state-of-the-environment monitoring and fisheries management (regional councils, catch allowances).

  • Real-world constraint: budgets are finite; need to balance accuracy and cost.

  • Sampling unit should represent a usable portion of the ecosystem to tell a true story of what exists elsewhere in the system.

Linking questions to methods

  • Type of question dictates methods (e.g., census vs general surveys):

    • Census: often used to survey individuals, common in social sciences (psychology, pre-election polls).

    • In marine benthic and ventic ecology, focus on distribution and abundances of organisms.

  • Important to have a representative sample to avoid biased inferences.

  • Over-arching design decisions are driven by the question and prior knowledge about the area.

Key concepts: accuracy, precision, and bias

  • Accuracy: closeness of the estimate to the true value.

  • Precision: variability of repeated measurements (how tight the distribution around the mean is).

  • Bias: systematic error that shifts estimates away from the true value.

  • Trade-offs:

    • High accuracy with low precision can still mislead if variability is large.

    • High precision with low accuracy means estimates are consistently wrong.

  • How to improve accuracy and precision:

    • Increase replication (more samples) to narrow the spread and reduce SE.

    • Improve sampling design to remove biases.

  • Conceptual examples (stock/biomass):

    • Case 1: Accurate and high precision – estimates cluster tightly around the true value.

    • Case 2: Accurate mean but low precision – tight around a mean that is close to true value but with wide tails elsewhere.

    • Case 3: High precision but biased – estimates tightly clustered but far from the true value.

    • Case 4: Biased and imprecise – both mean is off and high variability.

  • Key takeaway: design to minimize bias, reduce error, and lower variability through robust sampling.

  • Quantitative links:

    • Standard error of the mean: SE=σn{SE} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} where σ\sigma is the population or sample standard deviation and $n$ is the number of replicates.

    • Accuracy and precision are about how close estimates are to true values and how tightly repeated estimates cluster, respectively.

Fundamental design choices based on questions

  • Your sampling design depends on the area of interest, habitat heterogeneity, and the question:

    • Random sampling (unstratified) tends to produce less precision in heterogeneous systems but is unbiased overall.

    • Stratified random design: divide area into strata (habitat types) and sample within each stratum; allows better representation of heterogeneity and targeted inference.

    • Systematic sampling (gridded/spatially regular): easy to implement and can be representative, but risks aliasing if there is periodicity or cyclical patterns.

    • Systematic with potential bias: starting point matters; randomization reduces bias.

    • Nested sampling: use different sampling intensities for different organism sizes or densities within a larger sampling unit.

    • Before–after control–impact (BACI) designs: baseline data collected before an activity, control and impact areas compared to assess change; Megan to cover in more detail later.

  • Before fieldwork, you should decide on the spatial and temporal scope, sampling units, and replication strategy, guided by prior knowledge and pilot data where possible.

Approaches to allocate sampling effort

  • Random design (simple random): pick random coordinates within the study area; equal chance of selection.

    • Pros: unbiased sampling across area; simple to implement.

    • Cons: may yield clustering in some zones; may under-sample heterogeneous areas.

  • Stratified random design: partition area into strata (habitats) and allocate samples across strata, often proportionally to area (

    • Proportional allocation: allocate samples to strata in proportion to area size.

    • Notation: let $Ai$ be area of stratum i, total area A=</em>iAiA = \sum</em>i A_i, and total samples $n$; then

    • n<em>i=nA</em>iAn<em>i = n \cdot \frac{A</em>i}{A} for each stratum i.

    • Example: 30% intertidal, 50% subtidal, 20% rocky reef with total $n = 10$ samples leads to

    • n<em>intertidal=100.30=3n<em>{intertidal} = 10 \cdot 0.30 = 3, n</em>subtidal=100.50=5n</em>{subtidal} = 10 \cdot 0.50 = 5, nrocky=100.20=2n_{rocky} = 10 \cdot 0.20 = 2.

    • Pros: better representation of habitat heterogeneity; more efficient use of resources.

    • Considerations: some strata may be more variable; you can further weight sampling toward more variable strata (adaptive weighting) after pilot survey.

  • Unequal/optimized stratification (optimal allocation): allocate more samples to strata with higher variability to maximize precision.

  • Systematic sampling within strata: grid-based sampling at regular intervals; advantages in consistency, but risks aliasing if temporal or tidal cycles are not aligned with sampling times.

  • Systematic sampling pitfalls (aliasing): sampling at fixed intervals can misrepresent cyclical/periodic processes (e.g., tides, recruitment seasons) if not synchronized with these cycles.

  • Systematic sampling and equal opportunities: ensure each area has an equal chance of inclusion to preserve statistical validity; otherwise, randomization is necessary.

Preliminary sampling and site familiarization

  • Before large field campaigns, perform preliminary (pilot) sampling to:

    • Assess area and habitat diversity (identify distinct habitats, e.g., intertidal, subtidal, rocky reefs).

    • Gauge how many samples are needed to capture habitat heterogeneity and distribution patterns.

    • Check logistics: access routes, equipment needs, team size, budget, and time constraints.

    • Determine the size and density distribution of the target organisms; understand which sampling units are appropriate (e.g., core sizes for benthic sampling).

  • Pilot data informs decisions about stratification levels, sampling unit sizes, replication needs, and whether a more intensive approach is warranted in particular habitats.

Sampling units, spatial scale, and organism size considerations

  • The sampling unit should be representative of the ecosystem portion being studied.

  • Practical considerations:

    • How many sampling units to use within the area? More units generally improves precision and coverage.

    • The size of sampling units (e.g., quadrats, cores) influences the likelihood of capturing organisms of interest.

    • The organism of interest should typically constitute a small fraction of the sampling unit (rough guideline: about 5% or less of the unit size) to avoid oversampling a single patch and biasing results.

  • Examples by sampling unit type:

    • Sediment cores for small organisms (e.g., benthic invertebrates): choose core diameter and depth to match target organism size and density.

    • Larger organisms (e.g., echinoids) may require larger cores or different sampling methods to avoid zero or single captures in a core; poor sampling units reduce information on density and distribution.

  • Nested sampling considerations:

    • For scarce/mobile organisms, evaluate within larger quadrats; for abundant/patchy organisms, sample smaller areas within the larger area to capture variation without excessive effort.

    • Be cautious when extrapolating nested-nested results to broader regions due to zonation and habitat specificity.

How many samples? A practitioner-friendly view of power and replication

  • More samples generally increase precision and reduce SE, but budgets constrain replication.

  • A classic practical example (transect-based fish surveys):

    • Researchers test different transect lengths and numbers to determine a “sweet spot” where the standard error relative to the mean plateaus.

    • They observe a curve: increasing sampled area initially improves precision, but after a point, returns diminish (plateau).

    • Decision example from the slide: with transects of 25 m length and 5 m width, using 6 replicates achieved a plateau in SE/mean, suggesting sufficient design for balanced precision and effort.

  • Implication for planning:

    • Use pilot data to perform a power-like analysis to figure out how many transects and what length yield robust estimates without over-sampling.

    • Power analysis and power curves help identify diminishing returns and justify the chosen sample size.

Multi-species sampling and nested designs

  • When multiple species are measured within a single sampling unit, consider nested sampling strategies:

    • For rare/mobile species, sample within a larger quadrat or area to capture sparse occurrences.

    • For common/dense organisms (e.g., barnacles on a rocky shore), sample within smaller areas to manage counting effort and avoid oversampling dense patches.

  • Cautions with nested designs:

    • Patchy distributions and zonation can limit extrapolations; patterns observed in a small area may not hold in other zones.

    • Different habitats (exposure, depth, gradient) may host different communities; hierarchical sampling should respect these boundaries.

Practical rules and planning takeaways

  • Before fieldwork:

    • Gather existing site knowledge and prior data to inform sampling strategy (avoid reinventing the wheel if the site is well-studied).

    • If knowledge is lacking, perform preliminary sampling to estimate habitat distribution and organism variability.

    • Verify the suitability of sampling units (size, density, distribution) and the feasibility of replication given time and budget.

  • General design guidance:

    • Large-scale spatial variation often benefits from stratification by habitat type.

    • Verify that sampling units are appropriate for the target organisms and that the sampling effort aligns with the study’s aims.

    • Plan replication thoughtfully; more replication generally improves precision, but budgets and logistics are real constraints.

    • Maintain randomization to avoid biases; randomization should be used in selection of sampling units or within strata when feasible.

  • When to use which approach:

    • If area is homogeneous and uniform, simple random design may suffice.

    • If there are distinct habitats or gradients, stratified random with proportional allocation is advantageous.

    • If there are known periodic patterns (tidal cycles, seasonal recruitment), consider systematic designs with timing adjusted to capture those patterns or use intensified sampling around expected events.

    • If time-series or management interventions are involved, BACI-like designs may be appropriate to detect changes.

  • The practical message: there is no one-size-fits-all design; the best approach uses pilot data, knowledge of habitat heterogeneity, and a clear link between the question and the sampling framework.

Design pitfalls to avoid (summary)

  • Ignoring prior site knowledge; assuming homogeneity when it is not.

  • Over-reliance on a single sampling method or unit size that misses key organisms or habitats.

  • Systematic sampling without accounting for periodic processes (aliasing) and with a risk of missing important phases.

  • Underestimating the importance of randomization and replication; biased site selection or too few replicates inflate error and bias.

  • Extrapolating results from patchy/habitat-specific patterns to broader regions without considering zonation.

What’s next in the course (context)

  • Megan will cover monitoring in disturbed habitats and impacted sites.

  • Later lectures will delve into experimental design specifics and data analysis for the field data collected.

  • The Rocky Shore data analysis labs will give hands-on practice with the concepts discussed here.

Quick glossary of terms from today

  • Census: a survey of all individuals in a population; often used in social sciences.

  • Random design: each sampling unit has an equal probability of being selected.

  • Stratified random design: area divided into strata (habitats), with random sampling within each stratum; allocation can be proportional to area or optimized by variance.

  • Proportional allocation: allocate sampling effort to strata in proportion to their area: n<em>i=nA</em>iAn<em>i = n \cdot \frac{A</em>i}{A}.

  • Optimal allocation: allocate more samples to strata with greater variability to maximize precision.

  • Systematic sampling: sampling at regular intervals (e.g., every x meters); risks aliasing if not aligned with periodic processes.

  • Systematic yet randomized: introduce random starting points to reduce bias.

  • Nested sampling: using different sampling scales for different targets within a larger sampling unit.

  • BACI design: Before-After-Control-Impact design to assess environmental impacts of activities.

  • Accuracy: closeness of estimates to the true value.

  • Precision: variability of repeated measurements (tightness around the mean).

  • SE (standard error): SE=σnSE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} for the mean; describes precision of the estimate.

  • Patchiness and zonation: uneven distribution of organisms across habitats; important for interpretation of nested designs.

  • Aliasing: misinterpreting cyclic patterns as real trends due to sampling at inappropriate times or intervals.

  • Pilot sampling: pre-survey sampling to inform methodology, logistics, and feasibility.