Exam Review: Methodology, Birth Rates, and International Migration
Social Science and Research Methodology Concepts
Social Desirability Bias:
The tendency for people to report good behavior and hide bad behavior in surveys so they look good to others.
Correlation:
Describes when two things move or change at the same time.
Does not mean that one thing causes the other.
Omitted Variable:
Happens when a study misses a hidden third factor that actually causes changes in both observed things, making them look falsely connected.
Temperature and Accident Example: Hot weather is the missing factor when ice cream sales and car accidents rise together, because heat independently causes more ice cream buying and more outdoor driving.
Skincare Example: If a skin product seems to fix a pimple overnight, doing a facial massage at the same time might be the missing hidden cause of the improvement.
Counterfactual:
Asking what would have happened if a specific action or treatment was never applied.
Important for proving real cause and effect.
Skincare Example: To know if a product cured a pimple, you must ask if it would have cleared up on its own overnight without any product.
Policies Without Teeth (Weak Laws):
Laws made to fix social problems that fail because the punishments for breaking them are tiny or missing.
Displaced Populations and Migration Theories
Attitudes Toward Immigrant Labor in Japan:
Job Factors: Japanese women in insecure, non-professional jobs have the most negative views toward foreign workers.
Concerns: These workers fear immigrants will take their jobs, even though economic data shows this is not true.
Environmental Relocation in the United States:
Government Action: The US government spent public money to move an entire community in Louisiana due to rising sea levels and shoreline erosion.
Legal Status of Climate-Displaced Persons:
International Law: The term "climate refugees" has no official legal recognition.
Consequences: People forced to move by climate change do not get official refugee rights, such as legal work permits.
Main Theories of Migration:
Neoclassical Economic Theory: Views migration as individuals moving to places with higher wages and better jobs to earn more money.
New Economics of Labor Migration: Views migration as a choice made by whole families to share money and lower economic risks together.
South Korean Demographics and Social Welfare Structure
South Korean Foreign Caregiver Pilot Program:
Date and Place: Started in September 2024 in Seoul.
Program Details: Hired trained caregivers from the Philippines to help households with childcare and housework.
Goals: Aimed to help raise low birth rates and reduce stress for working parents, especially new mothers.
Demographic Thresholds:
If birth rates fall below a critical number, a nation's economy, social safety nets, and population face severe danger.
Gender Inequality in South Korea:
Media vs. Reality: Women write 90% of South Korean TV dramas and work as top directors and actors, but this cultural presence has not led to real socioeconomic equality.
Weak Anti-Discrimination Laws: Gender inequality remains high because laws against discrimination lack strict penalties or enforcement.
Old Welfare System:
The national welfare system relies on a traditional model centered on a male breadwinner.
Single older women who never married a male earner get very little state welfare support, leaving many in severe poverty.
Questions and Answers:
Question: What is the tendency to overreport good behavior and underreport bad behavior in a survey called?
Answer: Social desirability bias.
Question: Which women in Japan show the most negative attitudes toward immigrant labor?
Answer: Women in insecure, non-professional jobs (because they fear their jobs are being taken).
Question: The US federal government spent funds to relocate a community threatened by sea level rise and coastal erosion in which state?
Answer: Louisiana.
Question: What is it called when two things move together?
Answer: Correlation.
Question: South Korea launched a pilot program in September 2024 hiring trained caregivers from the Philippines to address what, and ease pressure on whom?
Answer: Low birth rates and working parents.
Question: Provide a specific example of political or policy failure regarding South Korea's persistence with gender inequality.
Answer: Anti-discrimination policies lack strict penalties ('have no teeth'), and the welfare system is built around a male breadwinner model, leaving single elderly women without support.
Question: In the example where hot weather drives both ice cream sales and car accidents, what is the heat factor called?
Answer: Omitted variable.
Question: What does it mean in practice for people displaced by climate change that 'climate refugees' are not recognized under international law?
Answer: They are excluded from refugee benefits, such as official work authorization.
Question: What is the term for what would have happened without the treatment or action?
Answer: Counterfactual.
Question: What are the two main theories of migration?
Answer: Neoclassical economic theory and New Economics of Labor Migration.