Principles of Ecology Practice Flashcards

Introduction to Ecology and Historical Definitions

  • Etymology of Ecology: The term ‘ecology’ was first used by Ernest Haeckel in 1869. It is derived from two Greek words: ‘Oikos’ meaning ‘home’ and ‘logous’ meaning to study. It can be interpreted as the study of the ‘home life’ of living organisms or the households of the planet Earth.

  • Historical Definitions:

    • Odum: Defined ecology as the study of the structure and function of nature or the study of ecosystems.

    • Haeckel: Defined it as the total relationship of an animal to both its organic and inorganic environment.

    • Charles Elton of England: Defined it as the study of scientific natural history.

    • Andrewartha of Australia: Defined ecology as the study concerned with the distribution of organisms.

    • Clematis: Defined ecology as a science of community.

    • Begon, Harper, and Townsend: Jointly defined it as the description, explanation, and prediction of individuals, populations, and communities in space and time.

    • Krebs: Defined ecology as the scientific study of interactions which determine the distribution and abundance of organisms.

  • Modern Common Definition: The scientific study of the distribution and abundance of organisms and how these properties are affected by interactions between organisms and their living (biotic) and non-living (abiotic) environments.

Multi-disciplinary Nature and Organizational Levels

  • Holistic Science: Ecology is a multi-disciplinary and holistic science that overarches older disciplines like biology.

  • Levels of Organization: It focuses on the higher levels of the organization of life, specifically:

    • Organisms

    • Populations

    • Communities

    • Ecosystems

    • Biosphere

  • Scope: It deals with these levels and their functional processes within their natural environments.

Branches and Sub-disciplines of Ecology

  • Primary Divisions:

    • Autecology: Also known as population ecology; deals with the dynamics of species and populations and their interactions with the environment.

    • Synecology: A sub-discipline focused on the distribution, abundance, demography, and interactions between coexisting populations (e.g., forest ecology, grassland ecology, desert ecology, marine ecology, and limnology).

  • Recently Emerged Branches:

    • Palaeoecology: The study of organisms and their habitats in the geological past.

    • Conservation Ecology: The application of ecological principles for resource management, sustainable yields, and reducing species extinction risks.

    • Resource Ecology: Management of renewable and non-renewable resources.

    • Pollution Ecology: Study of problems associated with the movement of pollutants.

    • Chemical Ecology: Investigates chemical interactions between organisms.

  • Taxonomic Divisions: Ecology can also be split into Plant Ecology and Animal Ecology. Plant ecology is further subdivided by the ecosystem studied (e.g., desert or forest ecology).

Abiotic Environmental Factors: Resources and Physical Limits

  • Definition of Environmental Factors: Components of the environment (living and non-living) that have a direct or indirect influence on organisms.

  • Abiotic Factors: Non-living components including temperature, light, water, gases, wind, soil, and physiographic factors (altitude, slope, aspect).

  • Physical Resources vs. Physical Factors:

    • Physical Resources: Essential factors organisms need to stay alive. Plants need sunlight, water, CO2CO_2, nutrients, and soil. Animals need O2O_2, water, and nutrients. Absence of these leads to death (absolute factors).

    • Physical Factors: Abiotic factors that limit the quality of life or comfort but do not necessarily cause immediate death (e.g., pH, salinity, temperature).

  • Limiting Factors: Abiotic factors become limiting when they determine the presence or absence of a species.

    • Law of the Minimum (Justus Von Liebig, 1840): Optimization of growth is limited by the single factor in shortest supply, even if others are abundant.

    • Law of Tolerance (Victor Shelford, 1913): Organisms require physical factors within specific upper and lower tolerance limits.

The Influence of Temperature on Biological Systems

  • Physiological Impact: Temperature influences enzymes, which work best at intermediate ranges to retain shape and flexibility. Extreme temperatures reduce the rate of photosynthesis.

  • Tolerance Classifications:

    • Eurythermal: Organisms with a wide temperature tolerance.

    • Stenothermal: Organisms with a narrow temperature tolerance.

  • Animal Classifications:

    • Ectothermic (‘cold-blooded’ or poikilothermic): Body temperature regulated by the environment.

    • Endothermic (‘warm-blooded’ or homothermic): Internal regulation of body temperature.

  • Effect on Plants:

    • Opening of flowers: Occurs during specific day or night periods.

    • Vernalization: Seeds of biennials (e.g., carrots) requiring cold periods in spring or summer to germinate.

    • Chilling requirements: Peach and plum seeds must be exposed to cold to ensure they don't germinate in autumn.

    • Dormancy: Deciduous trees lose leaves in winter; buds are protected against cold.

    • Frost: A major determinant of plant distribution; many tissues cannot survive freezing/thawing.

Sunlight, Photoperiodism, and Ecosystem Responses

  • Energy Source: Sunlight is the ultimate energy source for photosynthesis. Chlorophyll is the dominant pigment. Red rays (600750nm600-750\,nm) induce greater tissue elongation.

  • Photoperiodism: The relative duration of daylight and darkness affecting physiology.

    • Short-day plants: Flower when light is less than a critical duration (< 14\,hours). Examples: Nicotiana, Chrysanthemum, and Xanthium.

    • Long-day plants: Flower when nights are shorter than a critical length. Examples: Spinach, wheat, barley, clover, and radish.

    • Day-neutral plants: Bloom regardless of photoperiod.

  • Transpiration: Intense light increases transpiration; dehydration can disrupt colloidal structures and impair enzymes.

  • Animal and Aquatic Effects: Light affects breeding, development (fish/silkworms), and locomotion. In aquatic systems, light quality and intensity determine the distribution of photosynthetic organisms.

  • Light Response Types:

    • Phototropism: Directional growth (e.g., stems grow toward light - positive; roots grow away - negative).

    • Phototaxis: Whole-organism movement toward or away from a light source.

    • Photokinesis: Variation in the intensity of locomotory activity based on light intensity, not direction.

    • Photonasty: Movement of plant parts in response to light where the direction of the stimulus does not dictate the direction of movement.

Water Availability and Adaptations in Plants and Animals

  • Plant Classification:

    • Hydrophytes: Grow in water or waterlogged areas.

    • Mesophytes: Grow in areas with moderate water.

    • Xerophytes: Grow in dry/desert areas.

  • Xerophyte Adaptations: Sunken stomata, reversed stomatal rhythms, thick cuticles, small/no leaves, and water-storage tissues.

  • Animal Adaptations to Desiccation:

    • Structural: Chitinous skeletons (insects), scales (reptiles), feathers (birds), hair (mammals).

    • Physiological: Reduced sweat glands, tolerance to water loss (e.g., camels).

    • Atmospheric Absorption: Some insects absorb water vapor from coastal fog (e.g., Namib desert).

Atmospheric Gases, Wind, and Edaphic (Soil) Factors

  • Gases:

    • Oxygen (O2O_2): Used for respiration.

    • Carbon Dioxide (CO2CO_2): Used for photosynthesis.

    • Nitrogen (N2N_2): Obtained by plants via bacteria, algae, or lightning.

  • Wind: Transports water vapor, assists in pollination and seed dispersal, causes soil erosion, and increases evaporation/heat loss.

  • Soil Texture:

    • Clay: Microscopic particles; holds much water/nutrients but poorly aerated/cold.

    • Sand: Larger particles; low nutrient/water retention but well-aerated.

    • Loam: Mixture of sand and clay; ideal for plants (aerated, moisture-retaining, nutrient-rich).

  • Soil Water Types:

    • Hygroscopic: Thin film around particles.

    • Capillary: Held in small spaces (primary source for plants).

    • Gravitational: Drains downward through soil.

  • Soil pH: Affects mineral availability. Acidic (pH < 7) suits Azaleas/ferns. Alkaline (pH > 7) suits Lucerne/xerophytes.

Physiographic Factors and Periodic Disturbances

  • Physiography: Altitude, slope, and aspect.

    • Altitude: As it increases, air temperature drops, solar radiation absorption reduces, and wind strength increases. Lower soil temperatures reduce root water/mineral absorption.

  • Disturbances: Fire, hurricanes, typhoons, and volcanic eruptions devastate communities, leading to Succession.

Biotic Factors: Trophic Roles and Interactions

  • Producers (Autotrophs):

    • Photosynthesis: Conversion of sunlight, CO2CO_2, and water into carbohydrates and O2O_2.

    • Chemosynthesis: Conversion of inorganic compounds to nutrients (specialized bacteria).

  • Consumers (Heterotrophs):

    • Primary/Secondary Consumers: Feed on living tissue.

    • Detritivores: Feed on dead matter (Detritus).

    • Detritus feeders: Consume waste directly.

    • Decomposers: Break down complex organic matter into simpler molecules.

  • Specific Interactions:

    • Predator: Uses another organism as energy/matter.

    • Parasite: Gets food from a host.

    • Prey: Energy source for predator.

    • Symbiont: Aids the organism in obtaining matter/energy.

    • Competitor: Reduces the ability of an organism to harvest resources.

  • The 90% Energy Rule: Approximately 90%90\,\% of energy is lost at each higher trophic level. Humans can save energy by ‘eating lower on the food chain’ (closer to producers).

Periodicity, Circadian Rhythms, and Seasonality

  • Diel Change (Day/Night):

    • Dawn: Transition to activity for birds, bees, butterflies.

    • Dusk: Activity for water lilies (folding), moths, foxes, owls.

  • Circadian Rhythms: Internal rhythmic activities of approximately 24hours24\,hours.

    • Free-running: Internal rhythm without external cues.

    • Entrainment: Use of light/temp to synchronize the internal rhythm to the environmental 24hour24\,hour cycle.

  • Seasonality:

    • Migration: Triggered by spring/autumn.

    • Dormancy: Torpor (reptiles), winter sleep (bears), hibernation (collecting fat before winter dormancy), and aestivation (dormancy during warm/dry conditions).

  • Reproduction:

    • Ephemerals: Desert plants blooming quickly after rain.

    • Seasonal Anestrus: Ewes in the Northern Hemisphere stop cycling during spring/summer due to day length.

Population Ecology: Density, Age Structure, and Sex Ratio

  • Population: Group of same-species individuals breeding in a particular space (Populus = people).

  • Attributes: Density, birth/death rates, immigration/emigration, age structure, and sex ratio.

  • Age Structure Categories:

    • Animals: Pre-reproductive, reproductive, and post-reproductive. Insects use eggs, pupae, and larvae.

    • Plants: Size classes (heightheight, diameterdiameter) are often better than age because dominant trees exclude younger individuals.

    • Plant Problem: The seed bank (seeds are of a different age than the plants they become).

  • Sex Ratio: Usually 1:11:1.

    • Primary: At conception (1:11:1).

    • Secondary: At birth (often weighted toward males in mammals).

    • Later shift: Swings toward females in older age groups in humans; remains male-weighted in birds.

Population Growth Models: Exponential and Logistic

  • Exponential Growth Model: Occurs in unlimited environments.

    • Equation: dN/dt=rmaxNdN/dt = r_{max}N

    • Population at time t: Nt=N0ermaxtN_t = N_0e^{r_{max}t}

    • Symbols: NtN_t = number at time tt, N0N_0 = initial number, ee = base of natural log, rmaxr_{max} = intrinsic rate of increase, tt = time.

  • Logistic Growth Model: Occurs as resources are depleted; results in a sigmoidal (S-shaped) curve.

    • Equation: dN/dt=rmaxN(1N/K)dN/dt = r_{max}N(1 - N/K)

    • Growth Phases:

    1. Positive acceleration (establishment): Slow initial growth.

    2. Logarithmic phase: Rapid growth.

    3. Negative acceleration: Slowing as NN approaches KK.

    4. Stable equilibrium: N=KN = K.

  • Comparison: Logistic growth is highest when N=K/2N = K/2.

Resource Limitation and Carrying Capacity

  • Carrying Capacity (K): The population size that an environment can support where birth rates equal death rates (growth=0growth = 0).

  • Density Dependence: As NN increases, competition for resources increases, decreasing natality and increasing mortality.

    • Density-Independent: Factors where influence does not change with population density.

Survivorship Curves and Reproductive Strategies

  • Survivorship Curves:

    • Type I: High juvenile survival, long life (e.g., humans).

    • Type II: Constant death rate throughout life (e.g., squirrels, many reptiles, American robins).

    • Type III: High juvenile mortality (e.g., plants, oysters, sea urchins).

  • Evolutionary Strategies:

    • K-selection: Competitive species in stable environments, low reproduction rate, high parental care, long lifespan (e.g., humans).

    • r-selection: Rapidly growing (J-curve), high reproduction rate, small body size, early maturity, no parental care, good colonizers (e.g., bacteria).

Population Regulation and Competitive Interactions

  • Competition: Happens when a resource is in short supply.

    • Intraspecific: Between individuals of the same species.

    • Interspecific: Between different species.

  • Gause’s Principle: Competitive exclusion principle; two species competing for the same limiting resource cannot coexist long-term.

  • Mechanisms of Competition:

    • Interference: Direct aggressive interaction (e.g., preventing establishment).

    • Exploitation: Indirect interaction through a shared limiting resource.

    • Apparent: Indirect interaction where two species share a predator; if species A increases, the predator population increases and hunts more of species B.

Direct and Indirect Interspecific Competition

  • Lotka-Volterra Competition Model: Derived from the logistic equation to describe two-species interactions.

    • Species 1: dN1/dt=r1N1(K1N1αN2)/K1dN_1/dt = r_1N_1(K_1 - N_1 - \alpha N_2) / K_1

    • Species 2: dN2/dt=r2N2(K2N2βN1)/K2dN_2/dt = r_2N_2(K_2 - N_2 - \beta N_1) / K_2

    • Constants: α\alpha and β\beta are conversion factors (competition coefficients) expressing individuals of one species in units of the other.

  • Economic Outcomes:

    1. Both coexist.

    2. Species 1 becomes extinct.

    3. Species 2 becomes extinct.

  • Intraspecific Strategies:

    • Scramble: Resources shared equally; in extreme cases, none get enough to survive/reproduce.

    • Contest: Some individuals claim enough resources, denying others; maintains numerical constancy.

Predation Models and Functional Types

  • Types of Predation:

    • Parasitoidism: Weak attacks strong (e.g., larvae consuming a living host).

    • Carnivory: Consumption of animals.

    • Cannibalism: Predator and prey are the same species.

    • Herbivory: Grazing/browsing plants; can kill plants if seeds or the whole plant are eaten.

    • Parasitism: Lives on or in a host for nutrition.

  • Lotka-Volterra Predation Equations:

    • Prey: dN1/dt=r1N1PN1N2dN_1/dt = r_1N_1 - PN_1N_2

    • Predator: dN2/dt=dN1N2qN2dN_2/dt = dN_1N_2 - qN_2

    • Symbols: PP = coefficient of predation, qq = mortality rate of predator, N1N2N_1N_2 = probability of encounter.

Categorization of Population Interactions

  • Positive Interactions: Increase survival ability.

    • Commensalism: One benefits (++), other unaffected (00). E.g., epiphytes, bird nests in trees.

    • Mutualism: Both benefit (+/++/+).

    • Symbiotic: Obligatory/permanent (e.g., Mycorrhizae, lichens).

    • Non-symbiotic: Live apart but dependent (e.g., fig trees and wasps).

    • Facultative: Non-obligatory.

  • Negative Interactions: Limit population densities.

    • Parasitism: One benefits (++), other harmed (--).\n - **Microparasites**: Viruses, bacteria (short duration).\n - **Macroparasites**: Flatworms, ticks, etc. (long generation time).\n - **Ectoparasites**: On the surface. **Endoparasites**: Inside the body.\n - **Amensalism**: One harmed (--), other unaffected (00).

  • Neutralism: Neither affects the other (0/00/0).

Human Population Dynamics and Historical Growth

  • Historical Milestones:

    • 10,000BC10,000\,BC: 510million5-10\,million

    • 1AD1\,AD: 170million170\,million

    • 18001800: 1billion1\,billion

    • 19301930: 2billion2\,billion (130years130\,years to double)

    • 19601960: 3billion3\,billion (30years30\,years to add a billion)

    • 19751975: 4billion4\,billion (15years15\,years to add a billion)

    • 19871987: 5billion5\,billion (12years12\,years to add a billion)

    • 19991999: 6billion6\,billion (12years12\,years to add a billion)

  • Recent Trends: Growth rate was near zero for much of human history. The modern era began in the 1700s1700s. Growth peaked at 2.0%2.0\,\% in the mid-1960s and fell to 1.4%1.4\,\% by 20052005.

  • Industrial Revolution: Growth occurred because death rates fell (not rising birth rates) due to improved farming, transportation, and public health.

The Demographic Transition Model

  • Transition Components: Growth=(BirthsDeaths)+(ImmigrationEmigration)Growth = (Births - Deaths) + (Immigration - Emigration).

  • Stages:

    • Stage 1: High birth and high death rates; little growth.

    • Stage 2: Death rates fall due to better living standards; birth rates remain high. High population growth.

    • Stage 3: Fertility falls; population growth slows.

  • Regional Differences: Mortality revolution in less developed countries occurred post-WWII through medical technology. Their growth reached 2.5%2.5\,\% in the 1960s.

  • Age Pyramids:

    • Expanding: Triangular; many young individuals (Developing countries).

    • Stable: Bell-shaped; reproductive groups equal pre-reproductive.

    • Diminishing: Pre-reproductive group is the smallest (e.g., Sweden).

Community Ecology Structure and Species Diversity

  • Community: Collection of populations interacting directly or indirectly.

  • Biological Structure:

    • Species Richness: Number of taxonomic groups present.

    • Relative Abundance: Proportional individuals of each species.

    • Evenness: Measures variation in relative abundance; less variation means more ‘even’.

  • Diversity Estimates: 1.75million1.75\,million living species described; estimates for Earth range from 350million3-50\,million.

  • Dominants: Single or few species that predominate numerically or through biomass/activity.

Interactions and Dominance in Ecological Communities

  • Types of Interaction:

    • Direct: Predation, competition, parasitism, mutualism.

    • Diffuse: Cumulative effect of small interactions.

    • Indirect: Mediated by a third species.

  • Indirect Interaction Examples:

    • Keystone Predation: Predator consumes dominant competitor, allowing weak competitors to coexist (e.g., Pisaster starfish).

    • Apparent Competition: Mimics competition outcome but results from a shared predator or parasite.

  • Keystone Species: Those with a disproportionate effect relative to abundance (e.g., corals building reefs that serve as habitat).

Vertical Stratification and Horizontal Community Structure

  • Terrestrial Stratification:

    • Canopy: Primary site of energy fixation.

    • Understory, Shrub Layer, Herb/Ground Layer, Forest Floor.

  • Aquatic Stratification: Gradient of light, temperature, and oxygen.

  • Horizontal Structure: Patchiness across the landscape driven by soil, moisture, and slope. Influences animal dispersal and foraging.

Ecological Succession: Primary, Secondary, and Climax

  • Succession: Temporal change in community structure.

  • Sere: A sequence of communities (grassshrubforestgrass \rightarrow shrub \rightarrow forest); each is a seral stage.

  • Primary Succession: Begins on sites previously without life (e.g., rock outcrops, dunes, glacial till). H.C. Cowles (1899) studied sand dunes at Lake Michigan.

  • Secondary Succession: Occurs on previously vegetated sites following a disturbance (e.g., abandoned farmland).

  • Climax Community: The endpoint which results in a stable equilibrium with the physical environment.

Ecosystem Concept: Structure and Function

  • Ecosystem: Functional system of complementary relationships, energy transfer, and matter circulation.

  • Structure: Autotrophs (energy capture), Heterotrophs (consumers/decomposers), and Inorganic/Dead Organic Matter.

  • Functional Processes: Energy transfer between trophic levels and nutrient cycling between abiotic and biotic components.

  • Disturbance: Fire, floods, and human actions make ecosystems shifting patterns on the landscape rather than permanent entities.

Ecosystem Productivity: NPP, GPP, and NEP

  • Gross Primary Productivity (GPP): Total energy fixed via photosynthesis/chemosynthesis.

  • Net Primary Productivity (NPP): GPPProducerRespirationGPP - Producer\,Respiration. NPP limits secondary productivity.

  • Net Ecosystem Productivity (NEP): Rate of energy production stored in live matter. Negative NEP means respiration exceeds production (common in old forests).

  • Measurement:

    • Terrestrial: Calculated as dry weight (ΔB=NPPGL\Delta B = NPP - G - L where GG is herbivory and LL is mortality).

    • Aquatic: Measured via O2O_2 production in light/dark bottles. Light bottle = NPP; Dark bottle = respiration.

    • Calorimetry: Measures useful energy by burning tissue to detect temperature change.

Secondary Productivity and Trophic Efficiencies

  • Net Secondary Production: AssimilationMaintenanceRespirationAssimilation - Maintenance\,Respiration.

  • Efficiencies:

    • Assimilation Efficiency: Assimilation/GrossAssimilationAssimilation / Gross\,Assimilation.

    • Secondary Production Efficiency: NetSecondaryProduction/AssimilationNet\,Secondary\,Production / Assimilation. Higher in ectotherms than endotherms due to lower basal metabolic rates.

    • Consumption Efficiency: GrossAssimilationoftrophicleveln/NetProductivityoftrophicleveln1Gross\,Assimilation\,of\,trophic\,level\,n / Net\,Productivity\,of\,trophic\,level\,n-1.

Trophic Structure, Food Chains, and Food Webs

  • Trophic Hierarchy:

    1. Primary Producers (Autotrophs)

    2. Primary Consumers (Herbivores)

    3. Secondary/Tertiary Consumers (Predators)

  • Food Chains: Grazing (source: living tissue) vs. Detritus (source: dead matter). Detritus chain is the major path in terrestrial/littoral systems.

  • Food Webs: Complex meshed food chains involving omnivores.

  • Ecological Pyramids:

    • Pyramid of Numbers: Numbers at lower levels are usually highest (Charles Elton).

    • Pyramid of Biomass: Total weight of standing crop; can be inverted in aquatic systems where turnover is high.

    • Energy Pyramid: Always broadest at the base (Second Law of Thermodynamics).

Laws of Thermodynamics and Energy Flow

  • First Law: Energy is neither created nor destroyed, only transformed.

  • Second Law: Energy transfer results in loss as heat/waste, increasing entropy. Trophic links are generally limited to 353-5 because of this loss.

Biogeochemical Cycles: Carbon, Nitrogen, Sulfur, and Phosphorus

  • Carbon Cycle: CO2CO_2 assimilation by plants. In water, DIC (dissolved inorganic carbon) exists as CO2CO_2, bicarbonate (HCO3HCO_3^-), or carbonate (CO32CO_3^{2-}) based on pH (pH < 4.3 is gas, > 8.3 is carbonate).

  • Nitrogen Cycle:

    • Fixation: N2NH3N_2 \rightarrow NH_3 (Biological by bacteria/cyanobacteria; needs 160kcalmol1160\,kcal\,mol^{-1}) or Nitrates via lightning.

    • Mineralization/Ammonification: Organic NNH3N \rightarrow NH_3 (protein breakdown).

    • Nitrification: NH3NO2NH_3 \rightarrow NO_2^- (Nitrosomonas) and NO2NO3NO_2^- \rightarrow NO_3^- (Nitrobacter).

    • Denitrification: NO3N2NO_3^- \rightarrow N_2 (Pseudomonas/fungi under anaerobic conditions).

  • Sulfur Cycle: Long-term sedimentary phase in rocks/fossil fuels. Gaseous phase includes H2SH_2S, SO2SO_2, and Dimethylsulfide (DMS). DMS from phytoplankton is the largest atmospheric sulfur emission.

  • Phosphorus Cycle: No significant atmospheric component. Source is the mineral apatite. Limited in aquatic systems; runoff causes algal blooms. Fractions include POP (particulate organic), DIP (dissolved inorganic), and DOP (dissolved organic).

Environmental Change and Global Warming

  • Definition: Change in statistical properties of climate over decades. Synonymous with global warming.

  • Natural Causes:

    • Plate Tectonics: Changes land/ocean geometry.

    • Orbital Variations (Milankovitch): Eccentricity, tilt, and precession.

    • Solar Output: variations in intensity.

    • Volcanism: Release of CO2CO_2 and particulates.

  • Human (Anthropogenic) Causes: Greenhouse gas emissions (CO2CO_2, methane, ozone, CFCs, nitrous oxide). Humans generate 130times130\,times the amount of CO2CO_2 of all volcanoes.

  • Evidence: Ice cores (Antarctic), tree rings (Dendroclimatology), pollen analysis (Palynology), beetle remains, and sea-level rise measurements.

  • Greenhouse Effect: Solar input is 342Wm2342\,W\,m^{-2}. 107Wm2107\,W\,m^{-2} is reflected (Albedo). Earth absorbs 168Wm2168\,W\,m^{-2} and must reradiate it as long-wave infrared radiation.

  • Current Stats: Global surface temperature increased 0.74±0.18C0.74 \pm 0.18\,^{\circ}C in the 20th century. Projections suggest a further 1.11.1 to 6.4C6.4\,^{\circ}C rise in the 21st century. The Kyoto Protocol aims to stabilize concentrations.